국내외 금융기관 환율, 금속 우리나라 경제 전망(UPDATE 111014) 출처: 블룸버그

[카이로스]

2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/KRW 환율전망 (From 연합인포맥스 & Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		1140.00	1110.00	1090.00	1070.00	1080.00
Westpac Banking		1185.00	1184.00	1183.00	1174.00	1157.00
Citigroup		1200.00	1200.00	1200.00	1200.00	1110.00
Scotia Capital		1130.00	1115.00	1100.00	1085.00	1070.00
Societe Generale		1190.00	1100.00	1000.00	975.00	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		1230.00	1180.00	1150.00	1120.00	--
Credit Suisse Group		1135.00	1118.00	1104.00	--	--
Standard Chartered		1200.00	1120.00	1075.00	1025.00	1000.00
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		1160.00	1120.00	1050.00	--	980.00
Barclays		1100.00	1025.00	1025.00	1025.00	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		1050.00	1040.00	1030.00	1020.00	1010.00
UBS		1090.00	1080.00	--	--	975.00
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		1190.00	1160.00	1130.00	1100.00	--
BNP Paribas		1080.00	1040.00	1010.00	1000.00	990.00
Nomura Bank International		1020.00	1000.00	990.00	975.00	960.00
JPMorgan Chase		1070.00	1050.00	1020.00	1010.00	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		1025.00	1025.00	1050.00	1100.00	1100.00
HSBC Holdings		1070.00	1060.00	1050.00	--	1030.00
Average		1125.83	1095.94	1073.94	1062.79	1038.50

2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/JPY 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		77.00	78.00	79.00	80.00	82.00
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken		76.00	79.00	79.00	80.00	80.00
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		80.00	82.00	84.00	86.00	--
Westpac Banking		76.00	76.00	76.00	78.00	81.00
Bank of New Zealand		76.00	78.00	80.00	82.00	83.00
Scotia Capital		80.00	82.00	83.00	84.00	85.00
Aletti Gestielle SGR		79.00	81.00	84.00	87.00	--
Societe Generale		76.00	78.00	79.00	80.00	--
BMO Capital Markets		76.00	76.00	77.00	--	80.00
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		77.00	78.00	79.00	82.00	--
Investec		77.00	77.00	78.00	80.00	82.00
National Bank Financial		75.00	77.00	79.00	81.00	82.00
Nordea Bank		80.00	80.00	--	--	80.00
Alpha Bank		77.00	78.00	80.00	82.00	--
Credit Suisse Group		70.00	73.00	78.00	--	81.00
Standard Chartered		76.00	76.00	75.00	74.00	74.00
DZ Bank		81.00	85.00	87.00	88.00	--
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		75.00	77.00	80.00	--	86.00
Barclays		75.00	78.00	79.00	80.00	81.00
Danske Bank		75.00	77.00	78.00	--	--
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria		77.00	81.00	82.00	84.00	84.00
Royal Bank of Scotland		78.00	76.00	73.00	75.00	73.00
UBS		75.00	75.00	--	--	75.00
National Australia Bank		76.00	76.00	76.00	77.00	--
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		74.00	75.00	77.00	78.00	--
Prestige Economics LLC		77.00	76.00	76.00	75.00	75.00
Vadilal Enterprises		79.00	80.00	82.00	83.00	85.00
TD Securities		76.00	78.00	78.00	83.00	85.00
UFS Finance Investment Company		81.00	83.00	82.00	--	84.00
Silicon Valley Bank		76.00	75.00	73.00	72.00	70.00
BNP Paribas		75.00	73.00	70.00	70.00	75.00
Den Norske Bank		80.00	80.00	--	90.00	--
Emirates NBD		80.00	85.00	90.00	--	--
Nomura Bank International		79.00	80.00	80.00	83.00	85.00
JPMorgan Chase		75.00	74.00	73.00	72.00	75.00
Schneider Foreign Exchange		77.00	81.00	73.00	75.00	68.00
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		77.00	77.00	77.00	78.00	79.00
Rabobank		79.00	80.00	82.00	83.00	--
Morgan Stanley		75.00	74.00	77.00	80.00	82.00
Redtower		96.00	103.00	108.00	--	--
HSBC Holdings		72.00	72.00	72.00	--	--
Average		77.27	78.54	79.34	80.06	79.70
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 JPY/KRW 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		14.81	14.23	13.80	13.38	13.17
Westpac Banking		15.59	15.58	15.57	15.05	14.28
Scotia Capital		14.13	13.60	13.25	12.92	12.59
Societe Generale		15.66	14.10	12.66	12.19	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		15.97	15.13	14.56	13.66	--
Credit Suisse Group		16.21	15.32	14.15	--	--
Standard Chartered		15.79	14.74	14.33	13.85	13.51
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		15.47	14.55	13.13	--	11.40
Barclays		14.67	13.14	12.98	12.81	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		13.46	13.68	14.11	13.60	13.84
UBS		14.53	14.40	--	--	13.00
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		16.08	15.47	14.68	14.10	--
BNP Paribas		14.40	14.25	14.43	14.29	13.20
Nomura Bank International		12.91	12.50	12.38	11.75	11.29
JPMorgan Chase		14.27	14.19	13.97	14.03	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		13.31	13.31	13.64	14.10	13.92
HSBC Holdings		14.86	14.72	14.58	--	--
Average		14.83	14.29	13.89	13.52	13.02
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 EUR/KRW 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		1516.20	1443.00	1395.20	1348.20	1350.00
Westpac Banking		1540.50	1491.84	1443.26	1490.98	1480.96
Scotia Capital		1582.00	1583.30	1562.00	1519.00	1498.00
Societe Generale		1582.70	1540.00	1440.00	1443.00	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		1599.00	1475.00	1472.00	1456.00	--
Credit Suisse Group		1566.30	1598.74	1633.92	--	--
Standard Chartered		1536.00	1456.00	1451.25	1414.50	1420.00
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		1508.00	1433.60	1365.00	--	1372.00
Barclays		1375.00	1383.75	1414.50	1435.00	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		1396.50	1362.40	1400.80	1407.60	1424.10
UBS		1308.00	1306.80	--	--	1267.50
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		1570.80	1566.00	1548.10	1540.00	--
BNP Paribas		1566.00	1539.20	1515.00	1500.00	1465.20
Nomura Bank International		1428.00	1430.00	1435.50	1413.75	1392.00
JPMorgan Chase		1476.60	1449.00	1428.00	1434.20	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		1424.75	1465.75	1512.00	1584.00	1573.00
HSBC Holdings		1540.80	1526.40	1512.00	--	--
Average		1501.01	1473.58	1470.53	1460.48	1424.28
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/CNY 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		6.35	6.30	6.25	6.20	6.15
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		6.22	6.16	6.10	6.04	--
Westpac Banking		6.35	6.34	6.34	6.30	6.24
Citigroup		6.30	6.24	6.18	6.12	6.05
Scotia Capital		6.25	6.16	6.06	5.97	5.88
Societe Generale		6.31	6.25	6.19	6.11	--
BMO Capital Markets		6.35	6.30	6.25	--	6.10
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		6.35	6.30	6.25	6.20	--
National Bank Financial		6.42	6.35	6.20	6.10	6.00
Nordea Bank		6.30	6.21	--	--	6.03
Credit Suisse Group		6.32	6.25	6.19	--	--
Standard Chartered		6.31	6.24	6.18	6.12	6.06
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		6.30	6.30	6.25	--	6.20
Barclays		6.31	6.25	6.18	6.10	--
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria		6.30	6.24	6.17	6.09	6.00
Royal Bank of Scotland		6.35	6.29	6.22	6.16	6.10
UBS		6.30	6.28	--	--	6.00
National Australia Bank		6.20	6.05	5.95	5.85	--
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		6.29	6.22	6.14	6.13	--
TD Securities		6.15	6.00	5.90	5.80	5.60
BNP Paribas		--	6.31	6.28	6.24	6.18
Den Norske Bank		6.34	6.29	--	6.19	--
Emirates NBD		6.35	6.25	6.15	--	--
Nomura Bank International		6.25	6.16	6.08	6.02	5.95
JPMorgan Chase		6.30	6.20	6.10	6.00	--
Schneider Foreign Exchange		6.35	6.35	6.28	6.23	6.18
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		6.28	6.21	6.15	6.09	6.03
HSBC Holdings		6.35	6.30	6.25	--	6.15
Average		6.31	6.24	6.17	6.10	6.05
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/THB 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		30.80	30.50	30.30	30.00	30.00
Kasikorn Bank		29.00	--	--	--	28.00
Westpac Banking		31.30	31.20	31.20	31.00	30.60
Citigroup		30.70	30.70	30.70	30.70	30.00
Scotia Capital		30.50	30.00	29.50	29.10	28.60
Societe Generale		31.20	30.50	30.30	30.00	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		31.50	32.00	31.30	30.00	--
Credit Suisse Group		30.20	30.00	29.80	--	--
Standard Chartered		32.00	31.00	30.50	30.00	29.50
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		30.50	30.00	30.00	--	30.80
Barclays		30.30	29.00	28.80	28.50	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		29.40	29.20	29.00	28.80	28.60
UBS		30.30	30.00	--	--	27.00
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		31.20	30.80	30.50	30.10	--
BNP Paribas		29.70	29.30	28.70	28.50	28.30
Nomura Bank International		29.70	29.50	29.30	29.10	28.90
JPMorgan Chase		29.00	28.80	28.50	28.30	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		29.00	28.50	28.00	28.00	29.00
HSBC Holdings		28.60	28.00	27.50	--	27.50
Average		30.26	29.94	29.64	29.44	28.98
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 UDS/HKD 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75	--
Westpac Banking		7.81	7.80	7.76	7.75	7.75
Citigroup		7.78	7.77	7.77	7.76	7.76
Scotia Capital		7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75
Societe Generale		7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75	--
Credit Suisse Group		7.75	7.75	7.75	--	--
Standard Chartered		7.81	7.79	7.78	7.78	7.78
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		7.82	7.75	7.76	--	7.78
Barclays		7.78	7.78	7.78	7.78	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80
UBS		7.80	7.80	--	--	7.80
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		7.81	7.79	7.77	7.75	--
BNP Paribas		7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80	7.80
Nomura Bank International		7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75	7.75
JPMorgan Chase		7.76	7.76	7.76	7.76	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		7.78	7.78	7.78	7.78	7.78
HSBC Holdings		7.80	7.80	7.80	--	7.80
Average		7.78	7.78	7.77	7.77	7.78
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/SGD 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		1.26	1.24	1.23	1.22	1.22
Westpac Banking		1.31	1.31	1.31	1.30	1.29
Citigroup		1.29	1.29	1.29	1.29	1.22
Scotia Capital		1.26	1.25	1.24	1.23	1.22
Societe Generale		1.30	1.23	1.21	1.20	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		1.32	1.33	1.28	1.25	--
Credit Suisse Group		1.25	1.23	1.22	--	--
Standard Chartered		1.35	1.32	1.30	1.28	1.24
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		1.25	1.24	1.22	--	1.23
Barclays		1.26	1.19	1.19	1.18	--
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria		1.23	1.23	1.23	1.22	1.22
Royal Bank of Scotland		1.18	1.17	1.16	1.15	1.14
UBS		1.21	1.21	--	--	1.15
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		1.32	1.28	1.25	1.22	--
BNP Paribas		1.20	1.18	1.17	1.16	1.15
Nomura Bank International		1.21	1.20	1.19	1.18	1.17
JPMorgan Chase		1.18	1.17	1.16	1.15	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		1.19	1.18	1.17	1.17	1.19
HSBC Holdings		1.23	1.22	1.21	--	1.19
Average		1.25	1.24	1.22	1.21	1.20
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 USD/TWD 환율전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Wells Fargo		30.00	29.80	29.50	29.50	29.80
Westpac Banking		30.60	30.60	30.50	30.40	30.10
Citigroup		30.80	30.80	30.80	30.80	29.20
Scotia Capital		30.00	29.70	29.50	29.20	29.00
Societe Generale		31.20	31.80	31.40	31.20	--
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ		31.00	32.00	30.50	29.50	--
Credit Suisse Group		30.00	29.80	29.70	--	--
Standard Chartered		31.00	29.30	28.60	28.50	27.90
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		30.00	31.00	30.50	--	29.00
Barclays		29.50	28.00	27.50	27.00	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		29.10	29.20	29.30	29.40	29.50
UBS		29.50	29.60	--	--	30.20
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp		30.80	30.40	30.10	29.70	--
BNP Paribas		29.30	28.70	28.30	27.80	27.30
Nomura Bank International		28.30	28.10	27.90	27.70	27.50
JPMorgan Chase		28.00	28.00	27.80	27.50	--
Commonwealth Bank of Australia		28.00	28.00	28.50	28.50	29.50
HSBC Holdings		28.00	27.70	27.40	--	26.80
Average		29.73	29.58	29.28	29.05	28.82
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 Copper 금속전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Danske Bank A/S		8250.00	8750.00	9000.00	9500.00	10000.00
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA		8750.00	8550.00	8450.00	8200.00	7900.00
Toronto-Dominion Bank/Toronto		7385.00
Deutsche Bank AG		7850.00	8700.00	9000.00	9400.00	9100.00
Westpac Banking Corp		7500.00	6950.00	6701.00	7934.00	9222.00
BNP Paribas SA		8475.00	7539.00	9240.00	9150.00	8100.00
UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking		8500.00	8700.00	8700.00	8800.00	9000.00
Commerzbank AG		9100.00	9400.00	9600.00	9450.00	9050.00
National Australia Bank Ltd		9250.00	9200.00	9150.00	9050.00	8850.00
Barclays PLC		12000.00	10800.00	12000.00	12800.00	12400.00
Societe Generale SA		8600.00	8670.00	8675.00	8700.00
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		9900.00	9900.00	11000.00	9800.00	10400.00
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		9900.00	10700.00	11500.00	9500.00	9000.00
ANZ Banking Group Ltd/Melbourne		10030.00	10141.00	9920.00	9700.00	9590.00
Standard Chartered Bank		8700.00
JPMorgan Chase & Co		10000.00
Standard Chartered Bank		10500.00
Average		9099.41	9076.92	9456.62	9383.38	9384.33
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 Gold 금속전망 (From Bloomberg)
Commerzbank AG		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Norddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale		1690.00	1680.00	1735.00	1835.00	1840.00
Credit Suisse Group AG		1700.00	1780.00	1850.00	1870.00	1900.00
Danske Bank A/S		1700.00	1725.00	1750.00	1775.00	1800.00
Toronto-Dominion Bank/Toronto		1800.00
Deutsche Bank AG		1750.00	1750.00	1850.00	2000.00	2000.00
Westpac Banking Corp		1675.00	1631.00	1576.00	1660.00	1738.00
Prestige Economics LLC		1750.00
National Australia Bank Ltd		1580.00	1520.00	1480.00	1440.00	1410.00
UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking		1775.00	1700.00	1750.00	1850.00	1900.00
Barclays PLC		1875.00	1930.00	2075.00	2020.00	1975.00
Societe Generale SA		1950.00	2050.00	2200.00	2350.00
Commerzbank AG		1800.00	1800.00	1700.00	1800.00	1900.00
BNP Paribas SA		1925.00	1930.00	2070.00	2155.00	2170.00
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		1750.00	1800.00	1850.00	1900.00	1950.00
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		1650.00	1650.00	1550.00	1400.00	1600.00
ANZ Banking Group Ltd/Melbourne		1680.00	1720.00	1630.00	1550.00	1480.00
Standard Chartered Bank		1450.00
JPMorgan Chase & Co		1500.00
Erste Bank AG/Austria		1834.00
Standard Chartered Bank		1450.00
Average		1714.20	1761.86	1790.43	1828.93	1820.23
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 Nickel 금속전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Danske Bank A/S		20000.00	22000.00	23500.00	24000.00	25000.00
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA		21050.00	21000.00	20900.00	20600.00	20700.00
Toronto-Dominion Bank/Toronto		17968.00
Deutsche Bank AG		21000.00	22000.00	23000.00	24000.00	23000.00
Westpac Banking Corp		18750.00	18047.00	17578.00	19570.00	21527.00
Prestige Economics LLC		22000.00
BNP Paribas SA		22425.00	23125.00	22225.00	20750.00	20300.00
Commerzbank AG		22400.00	22900.00	22800.00	22400.00	21950.00
National Australia Bank Ltd		23120.00	23580.00	23930.00	23470.00	23000.00
Barclays PLC		27000.00	25000.00	24000.00	23000.00	24500.00
Societe Generale SA		25670.00
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg		25000.00	26500.00	28000.00	24000.00	23000.00
Bank of America Merrill Lynch		21500.00	23500.00	22500.00	17500.00	18000.00
ANZ Banking Group Ltd/Melbourne		24470.00	25352.00	24911.00	24250.00	23809.00
Standard Chartered Bank		22500.00
JPMorgan Chase & Co		22000.00
Credit Suisse Group AG		24500.00	24000.00	23000.00	22000.00	22000.00
Standard Chartered Bank		24000.00
Average		22519.61	23083.67	23028.67	22128.33	22232.17
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 우리나라 경제성장률 전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Action Economics		5.40	4.80	4.80	4.50	--
DBS Bank		4.70	4.20	4.40	4.00	--
Good Morning Shinhan		4.80	5.00	4.80	4.70	--
HI Investment & Securities Co Ltd		5.40	4.80	4.60	4.40	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		4.90	4.70	5.30	4.80	--
SC First Bank		4.60	4.60	5.00	5.00	--
Citigroup		4.30	4.60	4.60	4.60	--
Thomson		4.70	3.90	3.20	3.60	--
Average		4.85	4.58	4.59	4.45	#DIV/0!
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 우리나라 물가지수 전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
DBS Bank		4.10	3.20	3.50	--	--
Royal Bank of Scotland		3.20	2.90	2.90	3.10	--
SC First Bank		4.00	3.20	3.20	3.20	--
Thomson		5.00	--	--	--	--
Citigroup		4.00	3.40	3.40	3.40	--
DBS Group		4.40	3.20	3.20	3.20	--
Nomura International		3.90	--	--	--	--
Average		4.09	3.18	3.24	3.23	#DIV/0!
2011.10월 국내외 금융기관 우리나라 금리 전망 (From Bloomberg)
구   분		2011.4Q	2012.1Q	2012.2Q	2012.3Q	2012.4Q
Barclays Capital Group		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25
Citigroup Global		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25
DBS Group Holdings		3.75	4.00	4.00
Forecast Sigapore Pte		3.75	4.00	4.00	4.00	4.00
HSBC Holdings PLC		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25
ING Groep NV		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25
Reuters Hong Kong		3.75	4.00	4.00	4.25	4.25
RBS		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25	3.25
신한금융투자		3.50	3.75	4.00	4.00	4.00
Societe Generale		3.50	3.75	3.75	4.00	4.00
Standard Chartered		3.25	3.50	3.75	4.00	4.00
UBS AG		3.25	3.25	3.25	3.50	3.75
Average		3.42	3.54	3.58	3.64	3.66