트럼프, 첫 100일 만에 새로운 세계 질서 주장

[Gloria]

https://asiatimes.com/2025/01/trump-claiming-new-world-order-in-first-100-days/

트럼프, 첫 100일 만에 새로운 세계 질서(뉴월드오더; 신세계질서) 주장
대통령 ​​당선자는 파괴자로 묘사되고 그의 MAGA--MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, 

기반은 그보다 덜한 것을 기대하지 않으므로 세계적 불안정은 거의 확실하다

도널드 트럼프가 2025년 1월 20일에 백악관으로 복귀하면서 미국 외교 정책에 상당한 격변이 일어나고 외교 방식이 바뀌는 시기가 왔다고 널리 여겨진다.

트럼프가 선호하는 스타일인 허세와 외국 지도자들에 대한 위협은 이미 가자에서 아무리 불안정하더라도 평화 협정을 만드는 데 도움이 된 것으로 보인다. 이 협정은 조 바이든과 그의 팀이 트럼프의 새 행정부와 협력하여 협상했다.

하지만 분석가들은 트럼프가 1월 7일에 인질을 빨리 풀어주지 않으면 "모든 지옥이 무너질 것"이라고 맹렬히 언급한 것은 실제로는 이스라엘의 베냐민 네타냐후에게 무언가를 빨리 해내라는 위협이었다고 말한다. 그리고 이로 인해 이스라엘 정부는 협정에 동의할 수밖에 없었다.

트럼프는 첫 임기 동안 이런 거친 스타일을 사용했다. 그리고 그린란드를 사고, 캐나다를 합병하고, 파나마 운하를 다시 통제하겠다고 최근에 위협한 것은 이런 일이 다시 일어날 것임을 시사한다. 특히 미국의 전통적인 동맹국들에게는 좋지 않을 수도 있습니다.

그뿐만 아니라 트럼프의 절친한 친구 중 한 명인 일론 머스크는 영국과 독일의 정부를 바꾸려는 시도에 대해 공개적으로 자랑하고 있습니다. 이는 포퓰리스트 지도자들의 세계적 동맹을 강화하려는 움직임으로 보입니다.

여기에 우크라이나 전쟁을 종식시키기 위한 러시아와의 약속된 협상, 이란에 대한 최대 압박 캠페인 재개, 중국과의 대립 강화를 더하면 미국 외교 정책을 근본적으로 재편할 수 있는 모든 요소가 갖춰집니다.

세 가지 특정 측면이 두드러지며 트럼프의 외교 정책 독트린이 어떤 모습일지 조기에 알 수 있습니다. 첫째는 서반구에 초점을 맞춘 것입니다. 트럼프의 초점은 아메리카 대륙에서 미국의 지배력을 주장하고 인식된 전략적 취약성을 제거하는 데 동시에 맞춰져 있는 듯합니다.

그린란드, 캐나다, 파나마 운하가 헤드라인을 장식했지만, 트럼프가 국무장관으로 임명한 마르코 루비오는 강경한 접근 방식으로 유명하기 때문에 쿠바, 니카라과, 베네수엘라와의 미국 관계에도 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.

Donald Trump’s return to the White House on January 20, 2025, is widely seen as ushering in a period of significant upheaval for US foreign policy and a change in the way diplomacy is done.

Trump’s favored style – bluster and threats against foreign leaders – already seems to have paid off in helping to craft a peace deal, however shaky, in Gaza. The deal was negotiated by Joe Biden and his team in coordination with Trump’s incoming administration.

But analysts suggest Trump’s fierce comments on January 7 that “all hell would break lose” if the hostages weren’t soon released were actually a threat to Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, to get something done quickly. And this forced the Israeli government to commit to a deal.

Trump used this abrasive style in his first term. And his recent threats to buy Greenland, annex Canada and resume control of the Panama Canal suggest it will happen again. That may not bode well, especially for traditional allies of the US.

Not only that but Elon Musk, one of Trump’s close confidants, is openly bragging about his attempts to change governments in the UK and Germany – in an apparent move to shore up a global alliance of populist leaders.

Add to that a promised deal with Russia to end the war in Ukraine, a renewal of the maximum-pressure campaign against Iran and a doubling down on confrontation with China, and you have all the ingredients of a fundamental remaking of US foreign policy.

Three particular aspects stand out and give an early indication of what the Trump doctrine of foreign policy might look like. First is the focus on the Western hemisphere. Trump’s focus here appears to be simultaneously asserting US dominance in the affairs of the Americas and eliminating any perceived strategic vulnerabilities.

While Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal have dominated the headlines, there are also implications for US relations with Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela, with Trump’s pick as secretary of state, Marco Rubio, being known for his hawkish approach.