(펌) 내년 보스톤 25인의 향방 (읽은 글들중 가장 정확해 보임)

[Go51]

Providence Journal이라는 신문에 내년 보스톤선수들의 계약상황과 예상이 실렸네요. 앞으로 이런 사실을 기반으로 선수이동에 대해 논의했으면 하는 마음으로 글을 올립니다. (시간이 없어 번역은....)
김병현선수의 경우는 연봉조정대상이라 그전에 장기계약을 하려 할 듯 싶다는 예상이 실렸네요. (그리고 선발로 전환시킨다는 얘기도)

Sean McAdam: Epstein, Sox have their work cut out
01:00 AM EDT on Sunday, October 19, 2003

NEW YORK -- In time, the wounds will heal and the extra-inning loss in Game 7 that ended the Red Sox season in such sudden and brutal fashion will fade -- though never completely recede -- from memory.

Then, the Red Sox will begin the business of putting together their club for 2004.

As always with this franchise, there will be no shortage of difficult decisions and the roster churn will be significant. Of the 25 players on the LCS roster for the Red Sox, 15 were acquired by Theo Epstein, who's been on the job only 11 months.

A good portion of the team's nucleus -- Pedro Martinez, Derek Lowe, Trot Nixon, Nomar Garciaparra and Jason Varitek -- is eligible for free agency after next season.

In anticipation of that, Epstein may move some of the free-agents-to-be a year ahead of time rather than risk losing them for just draft picks in return.

Falling shy of the World Series may prompt Epstein to move more aggressively. The current core has yet to win the Red Sox a pennant, and a full-scale revamping of the roster can't be ruled out.

A look at the Sox roster, each player's contractual status and a projection for next season.

PITCHERS

PEDRO MARTINEZ

Contract status for 2004: $17.5 million.

Projection: Soon, the Sox will set about trying to get Martinez signed beyond next season, a daunting task made all the more difficult by the pitcher's rather ordinary postseason (1-1 in four playoff starts). The Sox have to come to grips with the fact that Martinez is neither as dominant as he was from 1998-2000, nor is he as durable, as the result of his pitching on regular rest in October demonstrated.

But few pitchers can virtually guarantee that they'll win 80 percent of their decisions. If the Sox find a huge chasm between Martinez's asking price and their view of his market value, it's not inconceivable that they could try to deal him. But remember: Martinez has 10-5 rights, meaning he can refuse any deal.

DEREK LOWE

Contract status for 2004: Red Sox hold a $4.5-million option, which they must exercise by Nov. 7.

Projection: The Sox will pick up the option without hesitation, as the salary is a relative bargain for a starter who has won 38 games over the last two seasons. Lowe can be inconsistent, but he's also a horse, averaging better than 216 innings over the last two seasons.

TIM WAKEFIELD

Contract status for 2004: $4.35 million.

Projection: Despite being the losing pitcher in Game 7, Wakefield's value to the team was never more obvious than in the postseason. He won two of the Sox' three games in the LCS. In the Division Series, he started one game and relieved in another.

JOHN BURKETT

Contract status for 2004: Free agent.

Projection: Before the season, Burkett said he was likely to retire. As the season wore on, having reached double-figures in wins for the second straight year, he seemed to waiver a bit on his decision. If he wanted to come back to Boston, he'd have to take a massive pay cut from the $5.5 million he earned this year. More than likely, Burkett will decide to hang 'em up.

JEFF SUPPAN

Contract Status for 2004: Free agent.

Projection: The Sox passed on his option Friday. It's unlikely they will pursue him at a lesser price.

MIKE TIMLIN

Contract status for 2004: Free agent.

Projection: Timlin signed for a modest figure this year ($1.85 million). The Sox might re-sign him if he were willing to take a modest raise.

SCOTT WILLIAMSON

Contract status for 2004: Arbitration-eligible.

Projection: After earning $1.6 million in a two-year deal signed with the Reds, Williamson stands to earn somewhere in the neighborhood of $3.5 million. The Sox, without an obvious closer, are likely to try to work a two-year deal with Williamson and avoid arbitration.

BYUNG-HYUN KIM

Contract status for 2004: Arbitration-eligible

Projection: For all the disappointment over Kim's relief work in September and his subsequent gesture before Game 3 of the ALDS, the Sox will bring him back as a member of the starting rotation. As with Williamson, look for them to strike a multiyear deal to keep Kim out of arbitration.

SCOTT SAUERBECK

Contract status for 2004: Arbitration-eligible

Projection: A massive disappointment, the Sox might be tempted to non-tender Sauerbeck. But given the dearth of left-handed relievers, they may sign him with an eye toward dealing him later.

ALAN EMBREE

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $3 million

Projection: Will return as lefty set-up man.

RAMIRO MENDOZA

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $3.6 million.

Projection: The Sox will hope a fresh start can rescue Mendoza from the scrap heap. In a best-case scenario, Mendoza will pitch better in the Grapefruit League and induce another club (Milwaukee?) to take him and at least part of his salary.

BRANDON LYON

Contract status for 2004: Under the Red Sox' control.

Projection: Will contend for the fifth-starter berth.

TODD JONES

Contract status for 2004: Free agent

Jones, left off the Division Series roster and used only once in the LCS, will likely be set free.

POSITION PLAYERS

KEVIN MILLAR

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $3.3 million, the second year of a two-year deal with a team option for 2005.

Projection: Will return as starting first baseman

TODD WALKER

Contract status for 2004: Free agent.

Projection: Walker's terrific postseason only boosted his value on the free agent market and likely outpriced him for the Sox' budget. Unless Walker is willing to take a minimal raise -- he made $3.5 million this season -- he will go elsewhere. The Sox could then chase after either Luis Castillo or Fernando Vina, whose $4.5-million option will not be picked up by the Cardinals.

NOMAR GARCIAPARRA:

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $11.5 million, the final year of a multiyear deal.

Projection: As with Martinez, the Sox will quickly determine whether Garciaparra can be signed to an extension. If he can't, they could move him to the Dodgers and go after either free agent Miguel Tejada or Japanese import Kaz Matsui.

BILL MUELLER

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $2.1 million, the second year of a two-year deal with a club option for 2005.

Projection: Will likely return as starting third baseman, though if Walker leaves and another third baseman interests them, Mueller could shift to second.

MANNY RAMIREZ

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $20.2 million

Projection: In the immediate aftermath of his late-summer vacation, the Sox' inclination was to move him -- and damn the financial consequences.

Ramirez responded well upon his return, but if they could find someone to take a significant part of the five remaining years, they wouldn't hesitate to move him.

JOHNNY DAMON

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $7.95 million, the third year of a four-year deal.

Projection: The Sox offered Damon around at midseason, proposing a deal for Odalis Perez that the Dodgers rejected. They would have jumped at the rumored Carlos Beltran-for-Damon deal, too, though the talk never got too far. With all they have to contend with, moving the mercurial Damon won't be a top priority. But it can't be ruled out, either.

TROT NIXON

Contract status for 2004: Arbitration-eligible

Projection: The Sox will do anything to avoid a trip to arbitration, where Nixon could reasonably expect to almost double his $4 million salary from this year. Look for them to try to work a two- or three-year deal at around $6 million per.

JASON VARITEK

Contract status for 2004: Signed for $6.8 million, the final year of a multiyear deal

Projection: Will return as starting catcher. The Sox may wait to see how quickly Kelly Shoppach develops before making any long-term extension offers to Varitek, who enjoyed a brilliant season.

DOUG MIRABELLLI

Contract status for 2004: Arbitration-eligible

Projection: If he's willing to accept a (very) modest bump from his $800,000 salary this year, Mirabelli will be welcomed to return as the backup, his value heightened by his handling of knuckleballer Tim Wakefield. Otherwise, No. 2 catchers are relatively easy to find.

[오코스]

김병현부분만 해석:9월의 부진함에 대한 그리고 그에 상응하는 AL디비젼 3차전의 제스쳐에 대한 실망에도 2004년의 스타팅멤버로 삭스는 그를 넣으려 한다. 킴과 윌리암슨을 장기계약을 함으로써 연봉조정을 삼진아웃시키길 고대한다.

[BK fighting!!!]

우왕~~기쁜소식이네요.전부 번역해서 소식방에 올려주기를~~~~~부탁해요.

[Bk, my lord!]

starting rotation -> 선발선수 아닌가요? ㅎㅎ 아닌가. 워커 방출되면 태하다나 카스틸로 -_-b굿

[캭테일아]

어이없내 9월 방어율이 0점인데 이것도 찌라시로 판명!

[오코스]

선발선수라는 해석이 맞구요. 9월 방어율이 0인것도 맞습니다. 참고로 방어율 추이는 이적했던 6월-4.5 , 7월-0.96 , 8월-5.74 ,9월-0.0 입니다. 자료소스는 http://www.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/mlb/stats/mlb_individual_player_gamebygamelog.jsp?playerID=218294&statType=2&club_context=mlb

[한국의자존심]

기분좋다 ^^

[리지]

토드워커는 수비땜에 어쩜 방출될지 몰겠네요..오티즈가 워커보담은 쌀테니 지명타자쓰고..테하다를 데리고올수 있을까....^^ 불펜투수들이 우루루 계약끝이네. 사워벡이랑 토드존스,멘도자를 어찌할꼬.

[리지]

보스톤이 버켓옹을 500만이상을 주고 델구 있을것같진 않네요. 수판이 FA가 되는군여. 4선발로 병현쓰 다년계약이라믄 5년에 2천만정도? 무라드가 어찌할른지....ㅋㅋ어, 근데 왜 감독얘긴 없지? 보스톤 퇴출! 이라고 떠야하는거 아닌가..쩝