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브랙시트는 세계적 연쇄사건을 촉발했다, 그런데 또 무엇이 있는가?
Brexit: Global Trigger Event, Fake Out Or Something Else?
세계 경제사태를 제대로 알지 못하는 사람들은 영국의 브랙시트 투표를 둘러싼 긴장사태가 무언지 아는데 혼란 스러울 것이다. 불행하게도 이번 사건의 진짜 여파는 전세계를 강타한 것인데, 그게 주류언론이 말하는 내용대로가 아니고, 더 무언가가 도사리고 있다...
Those people who do not avidly track global economic events may be a bit confused by the growing tensions surrounding the U.K. referendum to exit the European Union, otherwise known as the “Brexit.” Or, they are completely indifferent. Unfortunately, the potential fallout surrounding the event could very well affect the entire world, but perhaps not in the manner the mainstream media and international financiers would have us believe…
나는 통상적인 세계경제 상황을 정리하고 싶다, 그것은 브랙시트가 영국 바깥에 사는 사람들에게 사실 큰 문제가 되지 않는다. 그럼 문제는 무엇에 있는가...
만일 유럽연합이 재정적으로 안정되어져있다면, 브랙시트는 별 문제가 아닐 것이다. 또 은행에 자금이 충분하다면, 또 국가 채무가 적정수준이라면, 또 유럽연합이 실질적이고 성공적인 국제기구라면 영국민이 유럽연합을 떠난다고 투표한 것이 별 문제가 아니라는 것이다. 그런데 문제는 이런 제반 상황이 소위 전문가의 말과 다르고, 언론이 떠드는 말과는 정반대의 상황인데 그렇기 때문에 심각한 문제가 발생한다. 한마디로 유럽연합은 경제 붕괴의 상황에 처했는데, 이는 독립적인 경제분석가들이 늘상 하던 소리였다. 그리스 경제붕괴사태를 보자면 - 그때문에 유럽연합의 안정에 대한 심한 의심이 확산되었음을 보자. 그런 소국이 경제문제가 일어나도 유럽이 벌벌떠는 형국이었으니, 유럽연합은 근본적으로 위험한 상태였음이다.
I would point out that under normal global economic conditions, the Brexit really shouldn’t matter much to anyone outside of the U.K. If the EU was fiscally stable, if its banks were solvent and its national debts well in hand, if the EU was actually a practical and successful supranational body, then the damage done by a British vote to leave the union would be minimal. Of course, this is not the case. As many other independent economic analysts and I have been outlining for years, the European Union is on the verge of economic breakdown. Look at it this way ? if financial turmoil in a tiny member state like Greece can cause widespread doubts about the EU’s stability, then there is something fundamentally volatile about the entire structure. The Brexit matters greatly to the future of the EU because, theoretically, if one of its most prominent members says adios, then other members may do the same. As it stands now, the EU cannot afford to have even one member, economically large or small, drop out of the system.
이제 영국이 유럽연합을 떠나게 되는데, 이게 미국을 포함해서 전세계에 막대한 타격을 준다, 그 이유는 현재 세계가 서로 엮여져 돌아가고 있는데 그 톱니바퀴가 빠짐으로써 당하는 충격파이기 때문이다. 또 세계는 완전히 하나의 집단처럼 아예 세계 단일공동체로 돌아가던 거대한 수레바퀴가 멈춰버리는 황당함이기 때문이다. 상호 의존된 단일공동체는 경제적으로 극심한 취약성을 드러냈다, 그 이유는 세계 시스템이 생존하기 위해서는 어떤 톱니바퀴 조각이라도 빠져서는 생존이 안되기 때문이다. 이제 영국이 빠지니까 전체 시스템도 멈추는 황당함이 발생한다.
The Brexit matters to the rest of the world including the U.S. because of the brilliantly-destructive program of interdependency and globalism that has shaped our financial house for decades. Interdependency leads to extreme economic weakness because no piece of the global system has the tools to survive without the other pieces; and on top of this, when one part of the machine goes down, ALL the other parts are affected.
정말 두려운 바보같은 이런 집단주의 체제이다 : 그런데 유럽연합은 고의적으로 이런 결함을 가진채 건설되었음이다. 여러분이 세계의 주요 경제국의 재정적인 기초를 조사해보면, 금융 사기도박이 도사리고 있음을 알게된다. 그것은 이렇다: 세계적인 수출과 수입이 감소세이다, 세계적인 원자재 교역도 감소하고, 제조업도 감소, 도소매도 감소, 고용율도 감소, 진짜 실업율은 엄청나게 높은데, 노동부는 실업자를 고의성이 잇다고 간주하고 아예 세질않는 웃기는 통계조작을 하고, 복지와 무료식권수혜자 숫자는 치솟는다. 그러면 세계경제는 한마디로 말해서 얍삽한 거품 놀이터로 전락한 셈이다. 이것은 스스로를 찌르는 폭발 지점을 찾아다니는 거품인 것이고.. 오늘 벌어진 브랙시트는 바로 거품이 폭발한 것에 다름아니다.
It is a truly horrible and seemingly idiotic system; but not so idiotic if you accept the reality that it is deliberately engineered to fail. When you examine the fiscal foundations of every major economy in the world today, what you find is a financial shell game. The fundamentals tell us the truth; with global exports and imports in decline, global shipping of raw materials in decline, manufacturing in decline, retail in decline, employment in decline, real unemployment numbers including those people no longer counted by the Labor Department skyrocketing and the number of people on welfare and food stamps skyrocketing. In reality, the global economy is one massive thin-skinned bubble searching for a sharp object to impale itself on. The Brexit may very well be that sharp object.
유럽연합을 말하자면 이 조직은 사회주의 성향을 가진 종말적 구상을 갖춘 초국가 기구이다. 그들은 다문화주의를 강요하고, 문화적 마르크스 주의를 강제하고, 이슬람 난민이 서구사회로 물밀듯이 밀고 들어오게 하는 초유의 황당의 극치를 가는 국가 연합체이다. 그것은 서로 섞이지 않는 이념과 가치관, 언어, 문화의 차이를 완전 개무시하고 그냥 혼잡하게 엉켜있으라는 강요이다. 그러면 뭐가 되느냐고? 되는게 목표가 아니고 서로 끼여서 그런 극심한 차이와 황당함을 견뎌내라는 강요외에 아무 것도 아니다. 그럼 왜 이런 강요를 하냐고? 바로 그 의문의 답이 우리가 직시해야한 현실인데, 그들 지배층은 전세계인류를 하나의 덩어리로 뭉치게하고 하나의 바퀴로 돌릴테니 알아서 엉켜서 견뎌내라는 소리이다. 그것만이 생존 방식이라는 소리이다. 이는 적자생존의 치사함을 견뎠더니, 이제는 혼합 반죽의 숨막힘이 찾아온 것이다.
Before I go into the various details surrounding Thursday’s vote, I want to state that I am in full support of the British movement to leave the European Union. The reasoning behind a successful Brexit is solid. The European Union’s rabid socialist tendencies have created a doom scenario for all those shackled to the supranational body. Forced multiculturalism and cultural Marxism has opened a floodgate of Islamic refugees which hold ideological beliefs completely incompatible with western principles and heritage while at the same time introducing a massive vampiric drain on the prevailing social welfare systems.
The EU’s governing body is a mostly faceless and unaccountable bureaucracy that hands down legal dictates from on high while the general population of the member states have little or no input. The European Central Bank’s monetary policies support failed financial institutions and fraudulent markets while siphoning tax dollars from stronger and more successful nations in order to feed the debt addictions of weaker countries. The very philosophical engine behind the EU is one of collectivism; it is a system that requires a hive mentality in order to function. only a fool would WANT to participate in such a political and financial farce. That said, I think we need to take stock of certain underlying realities. First, as mentioned earlier, the EU, like most other economies today, is an interdependent structure and is thus designed to fail. The EU is not the golden goose for globalists, it is just another appendage that can be sacrificed or rearranged in order to achieve greater goals. The EU is a means to an end, it is not the ultimate prize. The ultimate prize for globalists would be a system like the EU with a single currency and a single monetary authority, but this new system would erase all sovereign borders and install a single governmental authority as well. What does this mean? It means that the failure of the EU does not necessarily mean a failure for the internationalists. For groups of globalists that promote an ideology of Fabian Socialism, a breakdown of the EU, whether partial or total, can be used as leverage for a larger and more centralized global power structure in the long term. Mark my words, when the system comes crashing down (whether after the Brexit or after another trigger event), internationalists will say that the EU failed not because it was centralized, but because it was not centralized ENOUGH. Even though I support the Brexit movement based on the principle that supranational unions are a heinous affliction upon free individuals and nations, I have no illusions that a successful Brexit vote will actually harm the globalists. In fact, they may very well desire the U.K. to leave the EU. Why? As noted, the global economy is on the verge of implosion. The onLY elements of the system that are not yet crashing are stock markets. This is because stock markets do not in any way reflect the fundamentals of the economy, they only reflect investor perceptions of the economy. Perceptions can be manipulated for a time, and public psychology can be subdued by false optimism and lies. It can take years for a population to psychologically accept the idea that they are in the midst of a recession or depression. Therefore, it can take years for stock markets to finally reflect the legitimate dangers within the economy. Central banks at the behest of globalist institutions like the International Monetary Fund and the Bank For International Settlements have spent incredible amounts of capital and energy managing public perception. Through subversive monetary policies, they have weakened national economies to the point of collapse, and this collapse is meant to create enough chaos to inspire the masses through fear to support greater centralization. While certain banking institutions may fall, the bankers themselves have no intention of taking any blame for the inevitable collapse. If you examine modern history (the past century), you will find in the aftermath of every crisis that globalist organizations have consistently blamed nationalism and sovereignty while promoting socialism and centralization as the most civilized solution. That is to say, globalists create widespread war and financial terror, blame conservative ideals such as sovereignty, then argue that such ideals must be eradicated for the greater good of the greater number. We have to be honest in our exploration of the Brexit event and admit that in this case the globalists win either way. If the Brexit succeeds, the globalists can allow the market systems they have been inflating for years to finally crash. They can then blame those dastardly "far-Right extremists" in the U.K. for triggering a domino effect within the global financial system, conveniently scapegoating British conservatives, moderates and sovereigns for a breakdown that was going to happen eventually anyway. Their solution will once again be to argue for the end of “barbaric” conservative principles and install complete centralization and socialism as the cure. If the Brexit fails, or if it is a controlled fake out, they can artificially boost markets for perhaps another month while distracting the public away from the negative fundamentals yet again. We should also not overlook the possibility that the referendum vote may be rigged one way or the other. Current polls indicate a tie between the “Leave” crowd and the “Remain” crowd. Any vote this close is the easiest kind of vote to rig a few percentage points to either side. I believe the Brexit vote may be allowed to succeed, here’s why… 1) Elites including George Soros have suddenly decided to dive into the market to place bets on the negative side. Dumping large portions of their stock holdings, shorting equities and buying up gold and gold mining shares. Soros has been preparing his portfolio for a successful Brexit vote while at the same time publicly warning of the supposed dire consequences if the referendum passes. The last time Soros put this much capital into the markets was in 2007, just before the crash of 2008. 2) The IMF and the BIS have been warning since late 2015 (for six to eight months) that a global economic downturn is on the way in 2016. We saw considerable volatility at the beginning of this year, and markets are due for another shock. The last time the BIS and IMF were so adamant about an impending crash was in late 2007, just before the 2008 market plunge. 3) While the Federal Reserve has not yet implemented a second rate hike (I still believe they could use a rate hike this year to stab markets in the back if necessary), Janet Yellen pulled a maneuver which was almost as upsetting to investors. After the Fed policy meeting last week, markets were moderately exuberant and stocks were rising, then, Yellen opened her mouth and blamed the Brexit for the rate hike delay… Here is what the Fed has done: By delaying the second hike for another month, and then blaming the Brexit vote as a primary reason, they have created a bit of a paradox. If the Brexit vote passes, the Fed is asserting that they may not hike rates for a while, giving market investors the impression that the global economic recovery is not all that it is cracked up to be. If the Brexit vote fails, then the Fed MUST hike rates in July, otherwise, they lose all credibility. I believe Yellen’s claim that the Brexit vote was the cause of the hike delay was highly deliberate. It has triggered what may become a growing firestorm in equities and commodities. From the point of view of investors, if the Brexit passes, then all hell breaks loose. If the Brexit fails, then the Fed will hike rates and once again, all hell breaks loose. Or, the Fed refuses to hike rates even though its number one scapegoat is out of the picture, it loses all credibility, and all hell breaks loose. It’s a lose/lose/lose scenario for the investment world, which is probably why global markets plunged after Yellen’s remarks. Investors have been relying on the predictability of central bank intervention for so long that now when ANY uncertainty arises, they run for the hedges. The Fed decision to blame the Brexit for their rate hike delay could indicate foreknowledge of a successful Brexit vote. 4) The recent murder of British lawmaker Jo Cox is perhaps the weirdest piece in the puzzle of the Brexit. For one thing, it makes no sense for a pro-Brexit nationalist (Thomas Mair) to attack and kill a pro-EU lawmaker when the polls for the “Leave” group were clearly ahead. one could simply argue that the guy was nuts, but I’m rather suspicious of “lone gunman,” and his insanity has yet to be proven. I see no reason for this man, insane or not, to be angry enough to kill while the Brexit side was winning in all the polls. If someone was using him as a weapon only to discredit the Brexit vote or sway the public towards staying in the EU, you would think that they would have initiated the murder closer to the day of the referendum when it would have the most effect. The information flooded public has days to digest new data and forget Jo Cox. My theory? Thomas Mair has handlers or he is just a mentally disturbed patsy, and his purpose is indeed to paint the Brexit movement as “angry” or crazy. But this does not necessarily mean the intent behind the assassination of Jo Cox was to break the back of the Brexit movement. Rather, the goal may only be to perpetuate a longer term narrative that conservatives in general are a destructive element of society. We kill, we’re racists, we have an archaic mindset that prevents “progress,” we divide supranational unions, we even destroy global economies. We’re storybook monsters. Even the cultural Marxists at the Southern Poverty Law Center somehow produced documents allegedly linking Mair (a veritable unknown) to Neo-Nazi groups in 1999. Wherever the SPLC is involved, the official story is always skewed. The murder of Jo Cox has had a minimal effect on Brexit polling numbers. In the end, the elites may find Thomas Mair more useful as a mascot for the Brexit AFTER the vote, rather than before the vote. So now the Brexit movement, which is conservative in spirit, is labeled a “divisive” and “hateful group”, and if the referendum is triumphant, they will also be called economic saboteurs. There is also the possibility that the Brexit is yet another fake out. We have seen many of them over the past few years. So many in fact that a lot of analysts in the Liberty Movement have grown pretty cynical, as if the system could be propped up forever. The issue is always, of course, one of timing. All fundamentals indicate that the global economy is going down regardless of what central banks and international financiers do in the long run. The only question is whether or not they feel it is time to pull the plug on one of the last remaining bubbles (stocks). A successful Brexit could be a perfect scapegoat for the next leg down in the economy, or it could be a perfect placebo to boost markets for a short time if it fails. In either case, I have no doubt that the outcome has already been decided. http://alt-market.com/articles/2931-brexit-global-trigger-event-fake-out-or-something-else |
출처: 피터김의 체험 나누기 원문보기 글쓴이: Peterkim
