금융 위기 단계는 임박한 2매크로 이벤트 신호 3 단계

[giseg07]

깊은 캐스터 : 금융 위기 단계는 임박한  2매크로 이벤트 신호 3 단계

모두가 그들이 하지 않을 것에 대해 말하고, 그들은 무엇을 할것인지 정확히 하는것입니다. - 짐 Oberweis, Oberweis 투자 관리, 02/12/13

네, 그렇군요 Oberweis씨.주요한 힘은 경쟁력 통화 평가 절하 "전쟁"지속적인 금융 위기의 = 2 단계를 시작했습니다. 그러나 이 전쟁은 이제 막 시작했습니다. 구현되지 않으며 동의할 수 있는 동안에 G-20의 "초안"을 서약합니다.

 이 전쟁은 앞으로 몇 달 동안 통제 불능의 분노를 하기 시작할때 가차없이 다가오고 있고 3 단계의 시작이 표시되지 않습니다. 모두 투자자와 트레이더는 3 단계를 준비해야합니다.

준비가되지 않은 사람은 파괴 될 것입니다 반면 3 단계 준비를 한 투자자 및 상인, 부유 할 수 있습니다.

G-20 서약은 경쟁력 평가 절하 자제 하는것 - 초안 "

블룸버그, 2013년 2월 14일

 모두가 그들이 하지 않을 것에 대해 말하고, 그들은 무엇을 할것인지 정확히 하는것입니다. - 짐 Oberweis, Oberweis 투자 관리, 02/12/13

 네, 그렇군요 Oberweis씨.주요한 힘은 경쟁력 통화 평가 절하 "전쟁"지속적인 금융 위기의 = 2 단계를 시작했습니다. 그러나 이 전쟁은 이제 막 시작했습니다. 구현되지 않으며 동의할 수 있는 동안에 G-20의 "초안"을 서약합니다

  이 전쟁은 앞으로 몇 달 동안 통제 불능의 분노를 하기 시작할때 가차없이 다가오고 있고 3 단계의 시작이 표시되지 않습니다. 모두 투자자와 트레이더는 3 단계를 준비해야합니다.

준비가되지 않은 사람은 파괴 될 것입니다 반면 3 단계 준비를 한 투자자 및 상인, 부유 할 수 있습니다.

결말의 과정에서 지금,이단계는 거의 모든 세계의 주요 피아트 통화 파워 중 국가부채는 하이퍼 포화도에 의해 표시되었습니다.

PIIGS 국가뿐 아니라 프랑스, 영국, 일본, 미국 경제 성장 및 세무 시스템의 지속 가능한 속도 주어져 상환받을수 없는 빚을 가졌습니다. (그들이 대처하는 것보다 더 많은 자원을 가지고 있지만 중국은 부채 집중도에 문제가 있습니다.)

따라서 자신의 중앙 은행 (그리고, 결과적으로, 다른)은 서로 힘대힘으로 통화를  (2 단계) 평가절하할수있는 레이스를 시작했습니다.

과대 평가 통화의  국가들은, 예를 들어, 감소하는 수출의 고통을 느끼고, 그들은 동료 G-20 회원보다 더 빠른 가치를 감하는 책임감에 있습니다. 그래서 통화 평가 절하의 전쟁은 강화하고 널리 확산되고있다 - 베네수엘라는 최근 "평가 절하 클럽."에 합류하였습니다

따라서 우리가 주요한 피아트 통화 구매력 저하로, 다음은, 가격의 인플레이션에 있는 경주이고 강화된 "전쟁"을가지고 있습니다, 통화 평가 절하의 전쟁은 통제 불능으로 회전 할때, 하이퍼 인플레이션 (예를 들면, 미국은 이미 9.4 %에서 CPI와 초인플레이션의 임계 값입니다 (shadowstats.com 당).

따라서 3 단계, 하이퍼 인플레이션에 경기가 시작되었습니다.

이 과정에서는 잘못된 가르침이나 참가자 정부, 중앙 은행 및 다른 메가 은행 '사실이 아닌 또는 왜곡 된 주장에 의해 호도하거나 기만하지 않는 것이 매우 중요합니다.

익숙한 경험이 풍부한 짐 싱클레어씨는, 앞으로 일어날 수 없는 훌륭한 요약을 제공하기 앞서 언급 한 대기업에도 불구하고 반대로 주장하고있다.

싱클레어의 주장에 대한 명시 적 근거를 추가하면 만약을 위해서 하나가 필요합니다 

 "모든 기관, 개인이나 공공 또는 두 가지 모두  방법이 없고 오늘날 직면한  부채 상황을 멀리 조작 할 것"이라고 말했다.

짐 싱클레어, MineSet, 2013년 2월 11일

 맞아요. 따라서 중앙 은행들이 부채의 하이퍼 포화도 상황을 "코프"라고 생각한 유일한 방법은 중앙 은행의 부채가 표시되는 통화를 가치를 감하는 것입니다. 가격의 하이퍼인플레이션으로 가는 길입니다. 물론,이 부분 부채 포기를 포함하여 대처하는 다른 방법도 있지만, 중앙 은행은 은행의 클라이언트 / 손실을 가져서 소유자에게 용의하게 열중하지 않습니다.

"미국도 부채의 성장이 속도를 낮출수도 없고 금액에 에너지 순 수출국이 될  방법이 없습니다."

맞아요. 사실, 그것은 미국이 과거의 어떤 이벤트에 탄화 수소 기반 에너지 순 수출국이 되지 않을 수 있습니다.예비역이 높은 고갈 요금 및 이전 "쉬운"소스보다 낮은 복구 및 순 에너지 생산 요금이 틈을 통해 가능하도록 만들었습니다.

평면 라인 복구는 사업의 붐으로 이어질 방법은 없습니다."

 shadowstats.com는 설명으로 평면선 복구가 없습니다. 사실, 미국 경기 침체에서 나오지는 않았다.미국의 경기 침체가 계속되고 및 부정적 GDP는 (주 1 참조) 계약을 체결하고 있습니다.

"실업 수치는 희망을 포기하고 불완전 고용의 목록에 이동하는 모든 실업자의 짧게 지속적인 개선으로 가야하는 방법은 없습니다

이것은 이미 과학, 기술에 실업자 졸업생의 수천의수십을 포함하여 25 백만의 무직 등의 입국 '개혁'을 통해 구직자의 거대하고 어리석은 수입에 착수하려고 할 수 있다는 것을 감안하면, 특히 미국에서, 카드를 쥐고있는 것은 사실입니다 , 엔지니어링 및 수학. www.carryingcapacity.org를 참조하십시오.

 "당신이 증가하는 유동성 이러한 기록을 설정하고 사업 활동에 관계없이 폭발하는 인플레이션을 할 수있는 방법은 없습니다." 

사실. 그리고 미국은 이미 초인플레이션에 임계 값입니다. (주 1 참조).

"연방 준비 은행이 재무부 시장을 축소하지 않고 질서 정연하게 재무 자사의 소유를 청산 할 수있는 방법은 없습니다."

맞아요. 그리고 미국 재무부 시장은 통화의 구매력이 빠르게 연방 준비 은행에 성능이 저하에 감사하는 중이고  미국은 달러로 표시되어 있기 때문에 결국은 어떻게 든 축소할 예정입니다.

"연방 준비 은행은 2008 년 위기에 국제적으로 은행에서 띄운 어떤 독성 종이를 청산 할 수있는 방법은 없습니다."

그 중에서도, 시장 가치에 마크는 현재 가치가있는곳에서 신화의 마크보다 크게 적은 것입니다.

"연방 준비 은행때문에 경제 회복이라는 평면 라인을 붕괴하지않고 높은 금리를 의미하는 QE에서 물러설수있는 방법이 없습니다."

우리는 3 단계, 하이퍼인플레이션에 도달 할 때까지 사실, 모든 상기 이유로 연방 준비 은행 및 다른 중앙 은행은 인쇄 할 것입니다. 그리고 shadowstats.com는 매우 유사한 위치를입증했다.

의견 및 개요 열어보면. 2013년 1월 오늘의 (2 월 13 일) 자료는 소매 판매 활동은 0.13 %의 2013년 1월 매월 얻었고, 그리고 통계적으로 무의미한 2012년 12월에서 약-수정되지 않은0.50 % 월간 이득 모두, 소비자 지출에 지속적인 침체을 보여 주었다.

대통령의 경합 위기의 잔해가 떨어져 삭제 된 것을 지난 밤과 반대로, 경제 체계 - 지불 능력 위기가 자리에 남아 있습니다. 오늘날의보고에 특히 관련, 소비자 소득과 신용 조건이 경제 회복을 방지 할만큼 심각한 문제와 함께 엉망으로 계속 진행합니다.

"소매 판매는 소비자에 대한 강화된 구조 유동성 문제를 반영하여 침체가 계속됩니다"존 윌리엄스, shadowstats.com, 2013년 2월 13일

 투자 및 앞으로 가는 이익과 보호를 위해 수출입의 "솔루션"은 실버 (예, 실버)과 농업, 특히 골드 등의 인플레이션 저항 자산에 자신을 배치하는 것입니다. 이익과 보호를 위해 구체적인 권고와 관련, 메모, 2, 3, 4, 아래 5 단계를 참조하십시오.

그리고 세계 금위원회의 마르쿠스 Grubb씨에 의해 특히 주석을 참고 "중앙 은행은 지금 매우 놀라운 결과입니다 ETF 투자자보다 더 금을 구입하고 있습니다."네, Grubb씨는, 연간450t에 대해. 중앙 은행이 피아트의 통화 가치의 위대한 점이라고 확신한다면, 그들은 금을 사야 합니다!

DEEPCASTER: FINANCIAL CRISIS PHASE 2 MACROEVENTS SIGNAL PHASE 3 IMPENDING

Everybody talks about what they are not going to do, which is exactly what they are going to do.  -Jim Oberweis, Oberweis Investment Management, 02/12/13

Yes, indeed, Mr. Oberweis. The Major Powers have begun a Competitive Currency Deval‎‍uation “War” = Phase 2 of the Ongoing Financial Crisis. But this War has only just begun. This is why the G-20’s “DRAFT” Pledge, while it may be agreed to, will never be implemented.
When, not if, this War starts to Rage out of control in the next few months, that will mark the beginning of Phase 3, which is inexorably approaching.  Investors and Traders alike must be prepared for Phase III.

And those Investors and Traders who have prepared for Phase 3 can get rich, while those who are unprepared will be devastated.

G-20 Pledge to Refrain from Competitive Deval‎‍uation – DRAFT”

Bloomberg, 2/14/2013

Everybody talks about what they are not going to do, which is exactly what they are going to do.

Jim Oberweis, Oberweis Investment Management, 02/12/13

Yes, indeed, Mr. Oberweis. The Major Powers have begun a Competitive Currency Deval‎‍uation “War” = Phase 2 of the Ongoing Financial Crisis. But this War has only just begun. This is why the G-20’s “DRAFT” Pledge, while it may be agreed to, will never be implemented.

When, not if, this War starts to Rage out of control in the next few months, that will mark the beginning of Phase 3, which is inexorably approaching.

And Investors and Traders alike must be prepared for Phase III.

And those Investors and Traders who have prepared for Phase 3 can get rich, while those who are unprepared will be devastated.

Phase I, now in the process of ending has been marked by Sovereign Debt Hypersaturation among nearly all the World’s Major Fiat Currency Powers.

Not just the PIIGS Nations, but also France, the U.K., Japan and the U.S.A. have Debts which can never be repaid given any sustainable rate of Economic Growth and Taxation System. (Even China has a Debt Saturation Problem, though they have more resources than most to cope with it.)

So their Central Banks (and, consequently, others) have begun a Race to Deval‎‍ue their Currencies (Phase 2) vis a vis each other.

But as those nations with overvalued currencies experience the pain from, e.g., diminished Exports; they are impelled to deval‎‍ue even faster than their fellow G-20 Members. And thus the Currency Deval‎‍uation War is intensifying and spreading far and wide – Venezuela recently joined the “Deval‎‍uation Club.”

Thus we have the intensifying “War”, which is really a Race to Major Fiat Currency Purchasing Power Degradation, that is, to Price Inflation, then; when the Currency Deval‎‍uation War spins out of control, Hyperinflation (e.g., the U.S. is already Threshold Hyperinflationary with CPI at 9.4%, (per shadowstats.com).

Thus The Race to Phase 3, Hyperinflation, has begun.

In this Process, it is critically important not to be misled or deceived by Participant Governments, Central Banks and other Mega Banks’ False or Misleading Claims.

Savvy and Experienced Jim Sinclair provides an excellent summary of what can not happen going forward, despite the aforementioned Big Boys Claims to the Contrary.

We add an explicit Rationale for Sinclair’s Claims just in case one is needed.

“There is no way that any entity, be it private, public or both, is going to manipulate away the debt situation faced today.”

Jim Sinclair, MineSet, 2/11/2013

True. Thus the only way Central Banks believe they “Cope” with the Debt Hypersaturation situation is for Central Banks to Deval‎‍ue the Currencies in which the Debt is Denominated. This is The Road to Price Hyperinflation. Of course, there are other ways to cope, including partial Debt Repudiation, but The Central Bankers are not keen on facilitating their Banker Client/Owners taking a loss.

“There is no way that the US is going to become a net exporter of energy in amounts that could even slow down this rate of growth in the debt.” IBID

True. Indeed, it is unlikely the U.S. will ever become a net exporter of Hydrocarbon Based Energy in any event. The Reserves made available via Fracking have higher Depletion Rates and lower Recovery and net Energy Production Rates than Prior “Easier” Sources.

“There is no way this flat line recovery is going to turn into a boom in business.” IBID

There is no Flat line Recovery as shadowstats.com demonstrates. Indeed, the USA has never come out of recession. The U.S. recession continues and its Negative GDP continues to contract (See Note 1).

“There is no way that the unemployment figures are going to have a sustained improvement short of all the unemployed giving up hope and shifting to the underemployed list.” IBID

This is True in Spades, especially in the U.S., given that it may be about to embark on a Massive and Foolish Importation of Jobseekers via Immigration “reform” when it already has 25 Million Unemployed including tens of thousands of unemployed graduates in Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics. See www.carryingcapacity.org.

“There is no way that you can set such records in increased liquidity and not have explosion inflation regardless of business activity.” IBID

Very True. And the U.S. is already Threshold Hyperinflationary. (See Note 1.)

“There is no way that the Fed can liquidate its holdings of treasuries in an orderly manner without collapsing the Treasury market.” IBID

True. And the U.S. Treasury Market is going to eventually collapse anyway because the Purchasing Power of the currency in which it is denominated, the $US, is being rapidly degraded thanks to The Fed.

“There is no way the Fed can liquidate any toxic paper it took on from banks internationally in the crisis of 2008.”

True, because, inter alia, the Mark to Market Value would be dramatically less than the Mark to Myth at which it is currently valued.

“There is no way the Fed can step away from QE which would mean higher interest rates without collapsing the flat line so called economic recovery.” IBID

True, for all the aforementioned reasons, The Fed and other Central Banks will likely keep Printing until we reach Phase 3, Hyperinflation. And shadowstats.com substantiates a quite similar position.

Opening Comments and Executive Summary.  Today’s (February 13th) release of January 2013 retail sales activity showed ongoing stagnation in consumer spending, with both the January 2013 monthly gain of 0.13%, and the nearly-unrevised 0.50% monthly gain in December 2012 statistically insignificant.  

Contrary to the President’s contention last night that the rubble of the crisis had been cleared away, the economic and systemic-solvency crises remain in place.  Particularly relevant to today’s reporting, consumer income and credit conditions continue in shambles, with problems so severe as to prevent an economic recovery. 

“Retail Sales Continued to Stagnant, Reflecting Intensifying Structural Liquidity Issues for the Consumer,” John Williams, shadowstats.com, 02/13/2013

The “Solution” for Investors and Traders for Profit and Protection going Forward is to Position Oneself in Inflation Resistant Assets including especially Gold, Silver (yes, Silver) and Agriculture. Regarding Specific Recommendation for Profit and Protection, see Notes, 2, 3, 4 and 5 below.

And Note Especially the comment by Marcus Grubb of The World Gold Council, “Central Banks are now buying more gold than ETF investors which is a very startling result.” Yes, Mr. Grubb, about 450 tons per year. If Central Banks were confident that their Fiat Currencies were such a great Store of Value, why would they be buying Gold?!

Best regards,

[천상미남(경기)]

태클은 아니구요 저도 항상불안해서 여러가지 준비를 하려고 노력하는 사람인데요 몇년전부터 같은이야기가 챗바퀴돕니다. 정말 언제 경제 붕괴가 일어나나요?

[허리우드(대구)]

그렇지요 5,6년 전부터 멸망까지 몇개월 안남았다는 소리가 반복되는거 같습니다. 이미 붕괴되었다는 말씀들도 있구요. 주식투자 등을 할때는 알아서 잘 판단해야 하지 않을까 싶으네요. 경제 붕괴에 대해 걱정하는 사람들이 많이 있는한 절대로 붕괴는 안일어날거 같습니다.