5월 15일 목요일 달러-원 환율전망

<table width="548" height="674" style="border: 0px currentColor; border-collapse: collapse; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-padding-alt: 5.75pt 0.25pt 5.75pt 0.25pt;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr height="39"><td width="548" height="39" bordercolor="black" style="padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; border: 0.5pt solid black; -ms-word-break: keep-all;" bgcolor="#ffff99" colspan="3">2014년 5월 15일 달러-원 환율전망</td></tr><tr height="160"><td width="94" height="160" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt; border-style: none solid double; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">전일 환시 </td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid double none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">1027.90(+5.80)</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid double none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">외환당국의 고강도 매수개입에 급반등 마감. 장중 주식호조와 네고에 21원선까지 밀렸지만 12:46분선 고강도 매수개입으로 30원까지 끌어올림. 이후 매물에 다시 20선중반까지 밀렸지만 장막판 종가관리에 재차상승마감.(거래범위 : 1021.30 - 1030.00, MaR 1024.60원,거래량 71억불, 코스피 외인 2010억 순매수)</td></tr><tr height="59"><td width="94" height="59" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">NDF</td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;">1030.25(+0.65)</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;">우크라이나사태 악화에 따른 안전자산선호에 강보합마감.(거래범위 : 1028.20 - 1030.50)</td></tr><tr height="52"><td width="94" height="52" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">야간kospi선물</td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">262.75(-0.04%)</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">코스피 환산 2009P, 외국인 316계약 순매도</td></tr><tr height="140"><td width="94" height="140" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">뉴욕증시(다우지수)</td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">16,613.97(-101.47p,0.61%)</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">연일사상최고치를 경신하고 있는 가운데 우크라이나 우려 악화와 물가부담 속 차익매물유입되며 하락마감. 이날 우크라이나 동부에서 정부군과 친러시아 분리주의 민병대의 무력 충돌로 7명이 사망하면서 사태 악화. 한편 이날 발표된 4월 생산자물가는 전월비 +0.6%를 기록,예상(0.2%)상회하며 </td></tr><tr height="85"><td width="94" height="85" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1"> 뉴욕환시</td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">유로-달러1.3703(-0.0054)달러-엔102.12(+0.13)</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">엔화는 우크라이나 사태 악화로 안전자산 선호 부각,but Fed,ECB의 초저금리정책 지속 전망으로 강세, 달러는 약보합흐름.</td></tr><tr height="140"><td width="94" height="140" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">금일전망</td><td width="123" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">1023 - 1030</td><td width="331" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">수급으로는 매도우위이지만 전일 당국이 보여준 강력한 20원 방어의지에 매도 포지션플레이 부담되는상황(약 10억불 개입 추정). 단 30원대 대기 매물 또한 상단누르는 가운데 당분간 20-30원 박스권 흐름 이어질듯.금일 전일에 이어 20원 후반 중심 등락 예상</td></tr></tbody></table>