이란 전쟁 비용은 8월 1일 기준 380억 달러, 매월 20억~30억 달러 비용 발생

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When Computers Went To Sea | 이란 전쟁 전비는 현재까지 약 250억 달러 - Daum 카페

이란 전쟁 전비는 현재까지 약 250억 달러

CBO 추산으로 이란전쟁 비용이 8월 1일 기준 전비가 380억 달러이고, 매월 20~30억 달러가 쓰인다고 합니다. 국방부 추산으로 두 달 동안 250억 달러였는데... 

CBO “이란전쟁 비용 380억 달러, 앞으로 매달 20억~30억 달러 추가”

미 의회예산국은 미국의 탄약 재고를 재건하는 데 “최소 5년”이 걸릴 것이라고 보고했다.

칼리 웰치
2026년 9월 15일 오후 3시 58분

알레이버크급 유도미사일 구축함 USS 프랭크 E. 피터슨 주니어(DDG 121)가 2026년 2월 28일 에픽 퓨리 작전을 지원하는 작전 중 토마호크 지상공격미사일을 발사하고 있다. 미 해군 사진

워싱턴 — 오늘 발표된 미 의회예산국(CBO) 보고서에 따르면 이란에서의 전투작전으로 인해 미 국방부가 8월 1일 기준 약 380억 달러를 지출했으며, 작전이 계속될 경우 앞으로도 매달 약 20억~30억 달러의 비용이 발생할 것으로 보인다.

보고서에 따르면 가장 큰 비용 항목은 소모된 탄약을 대체하는 데 필요한 217억 달러다. 여기에는 요격미사일 131억 달러, 지상공격 순항미사일 73억 달러, “기타 탄약” 12억 달러가 포함된다. 또한 보고서에 따르면 이러한 탄약은 단기간 내에 보충하기 어렵다.

보고서는 에픽 퓨리 작전과 미드나이트 해머 작전을 언급하면서 “미국은 2025년 6월 이후 두 분쟁을 통틀어 특정 요격미사일 재고의 절반에서 3분의 2가량을 사용했을 가능성이 있으며, 국방부가 탄약 생산을 가속하려고 지속적으로 노력하고 있더라도 이 재고를 재건하는 데는 아마 최소 5년이 걸릴 것”이라고 덧붙였다.

보고서는 이러한 미사일과 요격미사일의 “대규모 소모”로 인해 미국이 “수년 동안 감소된 요격미사일 재고”를 보유하게 될 것이라고 밝혔다. 이러한 상황은 “다량의 탄도미사일과 순항미사일을 보유한 적국과 분쟁이 발생할 경우 특히 문제가 될 것”이라고 보고서는 지적했으며, 구체적으로 중국을 언급했다.

여기에 포함되는 탄약은 토마호크, 합동공대지 원거리미사일(JASSM), 종말고고도지역방어체계(THAAD), 패트리엇 체계, 스탠더드 미사일 3 및 스탠더드 미사일 6 요격미사일 등이다.

탄약 이외에도 하원 예산위원회 민주당 간사 브렌던 보일 의원의 요청으로 작성된 CBO 보고서는 미 국방부가 비행시간 증가에 104억 달러, 연료비 증가에 27억 달러, 전투 중 손실된 장비에 19억 달러, “기타 작전비용”에 15억 달러를 지출한 것으로 추산했다.

또한 보고서는 전투가 “5월과 6월에 보였던 수준의 강도”로 계속될 경우 추가되는 매달마다 국방부에 약 20억 달러의 비용이 발생하며, 7월 수준의 전투강도가 이어질 경우 약 30억 달러가 들 것으로 추정했다.

보고서는 “분쟁이 더 격화되거나 국방부가 값비싼 탄약을 사용한다면 월별 비용은 더 높아질 것”이라고 덧붙였다.

CBO 보고서는 몇 시간 앞서 발표된 미 국방부 감찰관 보고서에 뒤이어 나왔다. 감찰관 보고서는 6월 말까지 전쟁 비용을 334억 달러로 추산했다. 여기에 두 달을 추가해 각각 30억 달러씩 더하면 CBO의 총액인 380억 달러와 대체로 비슷한 수준이 된다. 다만 두 추산 모두 중요한 비용 한 가지를 포함하지 않았는데, 어느 쪽도 기지 피해를 반영하지 않았다.

미 국방부는 이러한 수치와 관련한 CBO의 질의에 응답하지 않았다. 이에 따라 보고서는 “추정치는 정부 데이터베이스와 공개 보고서에 의존하며 상당한 불확실성이 존재한다”고 밝혔다. CBO 보고서는 또한 이번 분쟁에서 사망하거나 부상한 인원과 관련된 비용이나 “향후 참전군인 의료비 및 장애보상 지출 증가”도 포함하지 않았다.

보고서 후반부의 표에서 CBO는 8월 초까지 미국이 잃은 주요 장비도 추산했다. 연구진의 추산에 따르면 항공기 42대와 AN/TPY-2 레이더 1기를 신품으로 대체하는 데 약 33억 달러가 소요된다. 그러나 미 국방부가 이들 체계를 반드시 1대1 방식으로 대체할 것이라는 보장은 없기 때문에 이 금액은 어느 정도 추정적 성격을 갖는다.

올해 초 트럼프 행정부는 총 876억 달러 규모의 추가예산 요청안을 제출했으며, 이 가운데 671억 달러는 이란전쟁과 관련된 비용을 충당하기 위한 국방예산이었다. CBO는 대통령의 요청안에는 다른 국방 우선순위와 다른 부처를 위한 예산도 포함돼 있기 때문에 “CBO의 추정치와 직접 비교할 수 없다”고 지적했다.

보고서는 “CBO의 추정치인 381억 달러와 행정부의 추가예산 요청안을 비교하는 것은 후자의 정보가 부족해 복잡하지만, 소모된 탄약 대체 비용과 연료비 측면에서 추정치와 요청안은 대체로 유사하다”고 밝혔다.

Iran war costs: $38B, plus $2-3B per month going forward, CBO says  - Breaking Defense

Iran war costs: $38B, plus $2-3B per month going forward, CBO says  - Breaking Defense

Iran war costs: $38B, plus $2-3B per month going forward, CBO says 

The Congressional Budget Office reported it would take "at least five years" to rebuild American munitions inventories.

By Carley Welch on September 15, 2026 3:58 pm

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Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. (DDG 121) fires a Tomahawk Land Attack Missile during operations in support of Operation Epic Fury, Feb. 28, 2026. (U.S. Navy Photo)

WASHINGTON — According to a Congressional Budget Office report published today, combat operations in Iran have cost the Defense Department around $38 billion as of August 1, and will continue to cost the department around $2-3 billion per month if the operations continue. 

As the report lays out, the largest chunk of change was for the $21.7 billion it will cost the DoD to replace expended munitions — including $13.1 billion for interceptors, $7.3 billion for land-attack cruise missiles and $1.2 billion for “other munitions.” And those munitions will not be replaceable anytime soon, according to the findings.

“The U.S. has probably used between one-half and two-thirds of its inventory of certain interceptors since June 2025, spanning both conflicts; rebuilding those inventories would probably take at least five years,” even with the Pentagon’s ongoing push to speed munitions production, the report adds, referring to Operation Epic Fury and Operation Midnight Hammer. 

The report said this “large expenditure” of missiles and interceptors will leave the US with a “reduced inventory of interceptors for several years.” Such a situation would “become especially problematic if a conflict arose with an opponent whose arsenal included large numbers of ballistic and cruise missiles,” namely China, the report reads. 

Such munitions included Tomahawks, Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense systems, Patriot systems and Standard Missile 3 and Standard Missile 6 interceptors. 

Apart from munitions, CBO’s report, which came at the request of Rep. Brendan Boyle, ranking member of the House Budget Committee, estimates that the Pentagon has spent $10.4 billion on increased flying hours, $2.7 billion from increased fuel costs, $1.9 billion in equipment lost in battle and $1.5 billion in “other operational costs.” 

Further, the report adds that every additional month would cost the Pentagon about $2 billion at “the level of violence seen in May and June” and estimates that it could cost the department about $3 billion at July’s level of intensity.

“Monthly costs would be higher if the conflict intensified further or DoD used expensive munitions,” the report added. 

The CBO report was released hours after a Pentagon Inspector General report that put costs for the war through the end of June at $33.4 billion. Adding two more months to the IG report’s figure, at $3 billion each, roughly lines up with the $38 billion total from CBO, although both figures are missing a key cost, as neither factors in damage to bases.

The DoD did not respond to CBO’s queries on such figures. Hence, the “estimate relies on government databases and public reports and is subject to considerable uncertainty,” the report reads. The CBO report also does not include costs related to personnel killed or injured in the conflict or any “future increases in outlays for veterans’ health care and disability compensation.”

In a table located towards the end of the report, the CBO also estimates key US equipment lost through the start of August. The 42 planes and one AN/TPY-2 radar would cost roughly $3.3 billion to replace with new equipment, per researcher estimations; however, there is no guarantee the Pentagon will look to replace these systems on a one-to-one basis, leaving the dollar total somewhat speculative.

Earlier this year, the Trump administration sent a $87.6 billion supplemental request, with $67.1 billion in defense funds to cover expenses associated with the war in Iran. The CBO notes the president’s request is “not directly comparable with CBO’s estimate because the [a]dministration’s request includes other defense priorities and funding for other departments.”  

“Comparing CBO’s estimate ($38.1 billion) with the [a]dministration’s request for supplemental funding is complicated by a lack of information in the latter; however, the estimate and the request are broadly similar in their costs for replacing expended munitions and for fuel,” the report reads.