9월 22일 월요일 달러-원 전망

<table width="548" height="831" style="border: 0px currentColor; border-collapse: collapse; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-padding-alt: 5.75pt 0.25pt 5.75pt 0.25pt;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr height="38"><td width="548" height="38" bordercolor="black" style="padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; border: 0.5pt solid black; -ms-word-break: keep-all;" bgcolor="#ffff99" colspan="3">2014년 9월 22일 달러-원 전망</td></tr><tr height="148"><td width="101" height="148" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt; border-style: none solid double; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">전일 환시 </td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid double none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">1044.60(+1.20)</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 1.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid double none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">BOJ추가부양기대감에 따른 달러-엔 급등(장중 109.42), 역외매수세와 함께 외국인 주식순매도에 나서며 달러화에 상승압력. but 스코틀랜드 독립 투표 부결과 네고유입에 상승폭 제한되는 모습.(거래범위 : 1041.90 - 1047.90, MaR 1044.90원, 거래량 98억불, 코스피 외인 2707억원 순매도)</td></tr><tr height="53"><td width="101" height="53" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">NDF </td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;">1042.50(-3.65)</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.75pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: double black 1.5pt;">글로벌달러강세에도 하락마감.(거래범위 : 1039.00 - 1042.50)</td></tr><tr height="47"><td width="101" height="47" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">야간kospi선물</td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">263.45(-0.43%)</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">코스피 환산 2045 외국인 1543계약 순매도</td></tr><tr height="87"><td width="101" height="87" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">뉴욕증시(다우지수)</td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">17,279.74(+13.75p, 0.08%)</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">지표부진(경기선행지수) vs 스코틀랜드 독립 무산, 중국 전자상거래업체 알리바바의 성공적 상장(나스닥) 상충되며 주가혼조마감. </td></tr><tr height="89"><td width="101" height="89" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">뉴욕환시</td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">유로-달러1.2829(-0.0094)달러-엔109.03(+0.35)</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">달러화는 ECB와 BOJ의 추가부양기대감 부각된 가운데 엔과 유로화에 대해서는 강세마감. </td></tr><tr height="368"><td width="101" height="368" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: currentColor black black; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;" bgcolor="#dbe5f1">금일전망</td><td width="106" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">1037- 1043</td><td width="341" bordercolor="black" style="border-width: 0px 0.5pt 0.5pt 0px; border-style: none solid solid none; border-color: currentColor black black currentColor; padding: 0.25pt 5.75pt; -ms-word-break: keep-all; mso-border-left-alt: solid black 0.5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid black 0.5pt;">전반적으로는 일본과 유로존 추가경기부양기대감과 미금리인상이슈에 글로벌달러 강세는 지속될 것으로 보이나 달러-원은 1050원 레벨앞두고 네고 집중에 상단제한. 금리인상이슈가 어느정도 소화되며 역외매수세도 주춤하고 있고 엔화약세 부담은 있지만 달러-엔이 110엔 앞두고 저항받을 것으로 예상됨에 따라 달러-원 추가상승을 이끌 모멘텀은 둔화된 상태, 금일 미달러강세 vs 네고우위수급 상충되며 40원중심 등락 예상.  금주지표일정 : 미- 8월기존주택판매(22), 신규주택판매(24), 8월내구재수주(25), 9월 소비자태도지수(26) / 일-도쿄지역 근원CPI(26) / 유로존 – 9월 제조업, 서비스업 PMI(23), 드라기연설(22,25), / 중국 9월 HSBC제조업PMI(23)</td></tr></tbody></table>