한국 부동산(주택) 시장, Listen to The Cycle by 미래에셋대우 리서치 센터 이광수 연구원(2019-5)

<div class="se-component se-text se-l-default" id="SE-dc5aec72-b8e4-4927-a391-e8cd746e3719" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; font-family: se-nanumgothic, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; color: rgb(61, 68, 68);"><div class="se-component-content" style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 40px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; max-width: 100%;"><div class="se-section se-section-text se-l-default" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><div class="se-module se-module-text" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-d5561c03-a219-4bef-a993-41a6d2f4c581" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="font-weight: 700; color: rgb(0, 78, 130); font-size: 30px;">한국 부동산(주택) 시장, Listen to The Cycle by <u>미래에셋대우 리서치 센터 이광수 연구원</u> / 지난 한국주택시장 전망과의 비교-</span></p><div class="autosourcing-stub-extra" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; zoom: 1; opacity: 1;"><p style="margin: 11px 0px 7px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: normal; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: normal; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 12px; line-height: inherit; font-family: Dotum; vertical-align: baseline;"><strong style="padding: 0px 7px 0px 0px;">[출처]</strong> <a href="https://blog.naver.com/jpsme/221535503698" target="_blank" style="text-decoration: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">*한국 부동산(주택) 시장, Listen to The Cycle by 미래에셋대우 리서치 센터 이광수 연구원 / 지난 한국주택시장 전망과의 비교*</a><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 7px 0px 5px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">|</span><strong style="padding: 0px 7px 0px 0px;">작성자</strong> <a href="https://blog.naver.com/jpsme" target="_blank" style="text-decoration: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">벵골호랑이</a></p></div><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-e92bff5f-28cf-420f-bcb1-149326388ba9" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-9f6d263a-c8a6-4dcd-bf61-b2e639b4e99c" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 15px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"></span></p></div></div></div></div><div class="se-component se-image se-l-default" id="SE-2aaec456-4132-4aa0-a997-122e6456f83c" style="margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; font-family: se-nanumgothic, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; color: rgb(61, 68, 68);"><div class="se-component-content se-component-content-fit" style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 40px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; max-width: 100%;"><div class="se-section se-section-image se-l-default se-section-align-" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><a href="https://blog.naver.com/PostView.nhn?blogId=jpsme&logNo=221535503698&from=search&redirect=Log&widgetTypeCall=true&topReferer=https%3A%2F%2Fsearch.naver.com%2Fsearch.naver%3Fsm%3Dtop_hty%26fbm%3D0%26ie%3Dutf8%26query%3D%25EB%25AF%25B8%25EB%259E%2598%25EC%2597%2590%25EC%2585%258B%2B%25EB%25A6%25AC%25EC%2584%259C%25EC%25B9%2598&directAccess=false#" class="se-module se-module-image __se_image_link __se_link" data-linktype="img" data-linkdata="{"id" : "SE-2aaec456-4132-4aa0-a997-122e6456f83c", "src" : "https://postfiles.pstatic.net/MjAxOTA1MTJfMTE5/MDAxNTU3NjMxMDAzODU2.5pZKNsaua9jRAe8Duxm7VhOeZyWL1hOOBF9hrKk-kuAg.3gBzjUP2esweCXk4JL-As0nb0AgA6QfDuwMmRmNSt_Eg.JPEG.jpsme/2019051231111111111.jpg", "linkUse" : "false", "link" : ""}" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;"><img src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=https%3A%2F%2Fpostfiles.pstatic.net%2FMjAxOTA1MTJfMTE5%2FMDAxNTU3NjMxMDAzODU2.5pZKNsaua9jRAe8Duxm7VhOeZyWL1hOOBF9hrKk-kuAg.3gBzjUP2esweCXk4JL-As0nb0AgA6QfDuwMmRmNSt_Eg.JPEG.jpsme%2F2019051231111111111.jpg%3Ftype%3Dw773" data-lazy-src="" data-width="693" data-height="329" alt="" class="se-image-resource" style="border: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: top; position: relative; width: 707px;"></a></div></div></div><div class="se-component se-image se-l-default" id="SE-f1133815-9254-4afd-a70a-88498f4d0417" style="margin: 5px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; font-family: se-nanumgothic, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; color: rgb(61, 68, 68);"><div class="se-component-content se-component-content-fit" style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 40px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; max-width: 100%;"><div class="se-section se-section-image se-l-default se-section-align-" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><a href="https://blog.naver.com/PostView.nhn?blogId=jpsme&logNo=221535503698&from=search&redirect=Log&widgetTypeCall=true&topReferer=https%3A%2F%2Fsearch.naver.com%2Fsearch.naver%3Fsm%3Dtop_hty%26fbm%3D0%26ie%3Dutf8%26query%3D%25EB%25AF%25B8%25EB%259E%2598%25EC%2597%2590%25EC%2585%258B%2B%25EB%25A6%25AC%25EC%2584%259C%25EC%25B9%2598&directAccess=false#" class="se-module se-module-image __se_image_link __se_link" data-linktype="img" data-linkdata="{"id" : "SE-f1133815-9254-4afd-a70a-88498f4d0417", "src" : "https://postfiles.pstatic.net/MjAxOTA1MTJfODgg/MDAxNTU3NjMxMDgzMjM2.xhx7CZIqQ87Smt0ow0PKiT1yhgwz96pmpfa_MpJ30UUg.8dTdTvgGhm7giFmo8wVotvlh1YidAMqYagDlRu_Xmhcg.JPEG.jpsme/20190512311111111111.jpg", "linkUse" : "false", "link" : ""}" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;"><img src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=https%3A%2F%2Fpostfiles.pstatic.net%2FMjAxOTA1MTJfODgg%2FMDAxNTU3NjMxMDgzMjM2.xhx7CZIqQ87Smt0ow0PKiT1yhgwz96pmpfa_MpJ30UUg.8dTdTvgGhm7giFmo8wVotvlh1YidAMqYagDlRu_Xmhcg.JPEG.jpsme%2F20190512311111111111.jpg%3Ftype%3Dw773" data-lazy-src="" data-width="693" data-height="320" alt="" class="se-image-resource" style="border: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: top; position: relative; width: 707px;"></a></div></div></div><div class="se-component se-text se-l-default" id="SE-d4c5503c-7b95-437b-a223-2184a5dc14c2" style="margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; font-family: se-nanumgothic, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; color: rgb(61, 68, 68);"><div class="se-component-content" style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 40px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; max-width: 100%;"><div class="se-section se-section-text se-l-default" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><div class="se-module se-module-text" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-70d7648e-eae7-4ffd-bf7a-97e0a12bf3d8" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-1ad15dd4-ea37-4012-b8dd-55b5bf7aaaa5" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 15px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">경기 침체에 돌입한 한국의 경제 지표와 함께 부동산(주택)시장은 어떠한 동향을 갖고 움직이는지 살펴봅니다!</span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-c9badd11-bbb4-4b48-917f-d4d4e1137fb9" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-069ffafd-856d-4cb5-8c9d-6f8f8ac6acfb" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 15px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-c0526016-f18e-4cd4-920e-4ca0a7deebe0" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-b720d7b0-aae5-48f8-9a37-74f93fd97fbc" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-08c28171-310d-40e4-8788-8222a5bd1e26" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-b5580d44-9d1e-4642-8af0-ad92fe16027e" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-8269a0ef-8756-41ab-b6ab-7da362d0d4cb" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-1c052ca2-3b42-4cc1-a0d2-4d7ea11a6175" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;">다음은 자료 출처는 미래에셋대우 리서치 센터 이광수 연구원 님의 보고서 입니다.</span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-1570d7a7-913c-49ba-8c5a-951353abfb40" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-aa5177ac-574f-4ffc-aa73-e0b3aa88b978" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-a439d441-c2f0-4f7d-9580-7ee6cb52212e" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-d27d58c6-a8b2-4d41-958b-32d09f2c95af" style="margin: 0px; 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padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;"><img src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=https%3A%2F%2Fpostfiles.pstatic.net%2FMjAxOTA1MTJfMTk4%2FMDAxNTU3NjMxNTMwMjc1.R7_qC7B0GLmJ3M1wSbflnyo79V09j2XAFERS0u04Z8gg.NzMptJApSwRowdqnfwEmtleSQ5Xt64i9TnWS0NfKlAMg.JPEG.jpsme%2F2019051231111111111111111111.jpg%3Ftype%3Dw773" data-lazy-src="" data-width="693" data-height="583" alt="" class="se-image-resource" style="border: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: top; position: relative; width: 707px;"></a></div></div></div><div class="se-component se-text se-l-default" id="SE-dc35d354-29b6-4e49-89c2-402bc30c9687" style="margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; font-family: se-nanumgothic, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; color: rgb(61, 68, 68);"><div class="se-component-content" style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 40px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; max-width: 100%;"><div class="se-section se-section-text se-l-default" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><div class="se-module se-module-text" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-6e90d7c2-2f63-44cc-976e-576757840165" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-3c1181c7-fe8a-488e-84a8-bf60893592a3" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 15px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">결국 서울의 주택가격이 단기간에 크게 상승한 이유는 </span><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-5ed930ff-01d2-4bbb-801c-c17580ce085b" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;">"만성적인 공급 부족 + 투자수요의 급증"!!</span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-b97a2e4b-7e38-4549-957a-b08a5d0930b4" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-3142a7fe-93f8-4865-8c24-65b9ca6a2a1c" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-2c47faf4-fd67-4774-b92e-1a2b97e8a5ff" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-ef96e785-2cb5-478e-a7c7-da62886114e0" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;">인구와 가구의 지속 증가, 근거는 주택취득 자금조달 계획서인데는 계획서에는 투자목적의 매수 비율이 작년 8월 58.9%, 9월 63.4%로 크게 증가!</span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-12163a6e-2a73-4888-808a-1428fc4833f4" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-f9634619-d551-4b3c-ae32-c9918fc43143" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-e7047062-4172-4023-84bf-0417fce797d7" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-31431bf5-acc3-4150-9245-c30160379483" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;">수요는 증가하는 비탄력적인 주택의 공급은 감소하였으니 주택의 큰 가격 상승은 인지상정!!</span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-d299c1d4-978a-4a88-9770-c3a6637d8c15" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-871af883-820b-49b3-9292-6883320ca90f" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;"></span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-34e6f572-f235-4235-a1b8-e5e2a79c67c7" style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 0px; line-height: 1.8; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff- " id="SE-4e5951d2-5298-427d-915a-debf2425f3a5" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 16px; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 120, 203);"><span style="font-weight: 700; background-color: inherit; font-family: inherit;">또한 매도물량도 급격히 감소하니 기존 주택 시장의 거래도 활발하지 못해 수요의 증가가 시장에 유입, 결국은 기초자산이 되는 주택의 가격은 크게 상승할 수 밖에 없었죠!!</span></span></p><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " id="SE-a8848f73-b7d3-4f57-88ec-6b3ed5667b1e" style="border: 0px; 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padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">벵골호랑이</a></span></p></div><p></p></div></div></div></div><p><br></p>