백악관의 이란과의 전쟁: 서방을 경제 파탄으로 몰아넣을 재앙적인 예측 실패

[Gloria]

https://www.naturalnews.com/2026-03-06-white-houses-war-on-iran-catastrophic-failure.html

The White House’s War on Iran: A Catastrophic Failure of Foresight That Will Plunge the West Into Economic Ruin – NaturalN

백악관의 이란과의 전쟁: 서방을 경제 파탄으로 몰아넣을 재앙적인 예측 실패
2026년 3월 6일 // 마이크 아담스 // 조회수 2,700회

무모한 도박: 눈먼 오만과 고의적인 무지가 어떻게 세계적 재앙을 초래했는가
트럼프 행정부는 의회의 논의나 표결 없이 일방적으로 미국인들을 또 다른 전쟁으로 몰아넣었습니다. 이번 전쟁은 이란에 대한 대규모 군사 작전입니다.[1] 이 전쟁에 대한 대중의 지지가 있었을까요? 의회는 또 다른 전쟁에 미국 납세자의 세금을 더 쓰는 데 찬성표를 던졌을까요? 분명히 그렇지 않습니다. 로이터 통신이 3월 1일에 실시한 여론조사에 따르면, 응답한 미국인 중 단 27%만이 미국의 새로운 이란 전쟁을 지지한다고 답했습니다.[1] 미국과 이스라엘의 이란 합동 공격은 경제 및 금융 혼란을 야기하여 남반구 국가들에 파괴적인 파급 효과를 가져올 수 있습니다. [2]

이 전략적 공격은 세계 경제적 파급 효과에 대한 분석 없이 정치적, 이념적 요구에 따라 감행되었습니다. 백악관은 작전의 필요성에 대한 상반된 설명으로 인해 고조되는 정치적 파장을 수습하기 위해 이미 고군분투하고 있습니다. [3] 주요 인사들은 세계 정세에 대한 심각한 무지를 드러내며 복잡한 현실을 단순하고 파괴적인 행동으로 치부했습니다. 예를 들어, 마르코 루비오 국무장관은 미국이 이란과 전쟁을 벌인 이유가 이스라엘의 임박한 공격 계획 때문이라고 밝혔는데, 이는 베냐민 네타냐후 총리가 사실상 미국을 전쟁으로 몰아넣었다는 것을 암시하는 발언입니다. [4] 이념적 열정에 의해 좌우된 이러한 의사결정은 세계 경제를 휩쓸 것으로 예상되는 충격파에 대한 냉철한 평가를 완전히 무시했습니다.

호르무즈 해협이 폐쇄되었습니다. 세계 경제는 이미 마비되고 있습니다.
행정부의 도박은 순식간에 최악의 시나리오로 현실화되었습니다. 이란은 세계에서 가장 중요한 에너지 통로인 호르무즈 해협을 선택적으로 봉쇄하는 것으로 보복했습니다.[5] 이 좁은 해협은 페르시아만과 세계를 연결하며, 해협 폐쇄로 서방 동맹국에 대한 에너지 생명선이 즉시 차단되었습니다.[5] 그 결과 전 세계적으로 즉각적인 경제적 충격이 발생했습니다. 미국 주식 선물과 세계 증시는 급락했고, 달러와 금값은 상승했으며, 중동 전역에서 군사 공격이 격화되면서 유가는 급등했습니다.[6] 트럼프 대통령의 이란에 대한 "무슨 수를 써서라도"라는 발언이 에너지 가격과 인플레이션을 부추길 것이라는 우려로 전 세계 채권 가격도 급락했습니다.[7]

이는 일시적인 시장 변동이 아닙니다. 훨씬 더 큰 경제적 지진의 첫 번째 진동입니다. 일본 닛케이 지수는 약 4% 하락했고, 한국 코스피 지수는 사상 최대 폭인 12% 급락했습니다. [8] 불가항력 선언은 세계 무역의 동맥이 단절됨에 따라 전 세계 해운 및 에너지 계약에 파급 효과를 미치고 있습니다. 트럼프 행정부의 '신속히 움직여 문제를 해결하라'는 외교 정책 접근 방식은 이제 세계 에너지 안보의 근간을 무너뜨렸습니다. [2] 한 보고서에 따르면, 장기간에 걸쳐 유가가 배럴당 100달러를 넘어서는 전쟁은 적어도 일시적으로 인플레이션을 부추길 가능성이 높습니다. [9] 신속한 해결을 위한 기회는 사라지고 있습니다.

주유소에서 식료품점까지: 붕괴의 연쇄적 확산
백악관은 다가올 위기를 제대로 인식하지 못한 채 공황 상태에 빠져 인플레이션과 유가에 대해 거짓말을 하고 있습니다. 백악관 대변인 캐롤라인 리빗은 미국 경제가 이란과의 장기전에도 견딜 수 있다고 주장하지만, 휘발유 가격은 이미 폭등하고 있습니다.[10] 이란과의 전쟁은 휘발유 가격 상승과 시장 불안정을 포함하여 트럼프 대통령에게 국내 경제적 어려움을 야기하고 있습니다.[11] 이는 백악관이 무시했던 현실, 즉 에너지 전쟁이 재앙적인 2차 위기를 초래한다는 사실에 대한 공황적인 대응입니다.

행정부는 천연가스가 현대 비료 생산의 기반이라는 사실을 근본적으로 이해하지 못했습니다. 장기적인 에너지 위기는 곧 재앙적인 식량 인플레이션과 부족 사태를 초래할 것입니다. 기후 변화가 지속되는 상황에서 세계의 증가하는 식량, 물, 에너지 수요를 충족하는 것은 인류 사회가 직면한 가장 큰 정책적, 기술적 과제 중 하나입니다. [12] 2050년까지 세계 인구 90억 명을 먹여 살리기 위해서는 세계 식량 생산량이 거의 두 배로 증가해야 하며, 이는 기후 변화의 영향에도 불구하고 이루어져야 합니다. [12] 현재의 분쟁은 전 세계 농업을 지탱하는 에너지를 불안정하게 만들어 이러한 도전을 불가능하게 만듭니다. 그 결과 식료품점 진열대는 텅 비게 되고 사회 불안이 발생할 것이며, 이는 백악관의 전략적 맹점의 직접적인 결과입니다.

승리할 수 없는 소모전: 고갈된 비축량과 확대되는 적
신속하고 결정적인 '주말 전쟁'이라는 행정부의 환상은 완전히 무너졌습니다. 피트 헤그세스 국방장관은 전쟁이 최대 8주까지 지속될 수 있다고 인정했으며, 이스라엘 역시 '주말 전쟁'이라는 환상이 무너졌다고 예상하고 있는 것으로 알려졌습니다. [2] 내부 예측에 따르면 분쟁은 9월 또는 그 이후까지 지속될 수 있다는 암울한 전망이 나오고 있습니다. [13] 국방부는 작전의 실제 목표와 제한된 자원으로 장기적인 군사 작전을 수행하는 것이 실현 가능한지에 대해 혼란스러워하는 것으로 전해집니다. [3]

미국과 동맹국의 핵심 군수품 재고, 즉 토마호크 미사일과 방공 요격 미사일은 우크라이나 전쟁과 현재 진행 중인 새로운 전선에서의 분쟁 지원으로 거의 고갈되었습니다. 백악관은 이란 전쟁과 기타 최근 중동 분쟁에서 사용된 무기 재고를 보충하기 위해 의회에 500억 달러의 추가 군사비 지출을 요청할 것으로 예상됩니다. [14] 이는 엄청난 실패를 인정하는 것입니다. 트럼프 행정부는 미국의 무기 재고 부족에 대한 우려 속에서 군수품 생산을 가속화하기 위해 국방생산법(Defense Production Act) 발동을 고려하고 있습니다. [15] 한편, 이란과 지역 전역에 걸친 동맹국들은 서방이 오만하게 과소평가했던 내부적인 회복력과 외부 지원을 바탕으로 이제 막 전투를 시작했습니다. [16] 미국은 이미 약화되고 있는 공급망과 정치적 의지를 가진 채, 본토에서 결연한 적과 소모전을 벌여야 하는 상황에 직면해 있습니다.

러시아와 중국이 모든 패를 쥐고 있다: 서방의 전략적 자살
서방이 에너지 위기로 몸부림치는 동안, 지정학적 경쟁국들은 그러한 에너지 위기에 직면하지 않고 있으며, 이제 서방에 치명적인 경제적 또는 물리적 타격을 가할 수 있는 위치에 있다. 러시아와 중국은 약화된 서방에 치명적인 경제적 또는 물리적 타격을 가할 수 있는 유리한 위치에 있다.[17] 예를 들어, 중국은 석유의 약 30%를 이란에서 수입하고 있으며, 이란은 러시아의 중요한 무역 파트너이자 지리적 관문 역할을 한다. 러시아는 이란의 정권 교체가 러시아의 이익에 해로울 것이기 때문에 이란이 서방과 동맹을 맺는 것을 용납할 수 없다.[17] 중국과 러시아 모두 이란이 서방 진영에 합류하는 것을 용납할 수 없다.[17]

이 갈등은 베이징과 모스크바에게는 선물과 같다. 중국은 직접적인 군사적 충돌을 피하면서 경제적 침투, 기술 절도, 문화적 전복을 통해 미국의 패권을 약화시키고 있다. [18] 미국이 중동의 수렁에 빠져 재정과 군사력을 소진하는 동안, 중국은 빠르게 세력을 확장하여 곧 군사력 투사 능력 면에서 미국을 추월할 것이다. [19] 압도적인 수적 우위를 바탕으로 중국은 잠재적으로 미국의 군함의 질을 양적으로 압도할 수 있다. [19] 서방의 제재를 견뎌낸 러시아는 이제 스페인의 페드로 산체스 총리와 같은 유럽 지도자들이 전쟁을 불법으로 규탄하는 가운데, 나토의 결속력이 무너지는 것을 지켜보고 있다. [20] 두 강대국 모두 페트로달러에서 벗어나 부채를 무기화하고, 명목 화폐의 허술한 구조를 방관함으로써 서방 금융 시스템을 붕괴시킬 수 있다.

결론: 기회는 사라지고 있다. 공화국은 이미 무너졌다.
파국적인 경제적 충격은 이제 막 시작되었을 뿐이다. 호르무즈 해협이 폐쇄된 상태로 유지된다면, 배럴당 200달러의 유가는 서방 산업과 금융을 완전히 파괴할 것이다. 스티브 포브스는 이란 전쟁에 대한 연방준비제도의 대응이 심각한 경제적 결과를 초래할 것이라고 경고합니다.[21] 전쟁이 장기화될 경우 미국 기업과 소비자에게 에너지 및 운송 비용 상승의 위험이 있습니다. 이러한 상황에서 미 국방부는 5천억 달러 규모의 새로운 군사비 지출과 관세 수입 확보를 추진하고 있습니다.

The White House’s War on Iran: A Catastrophic Failure of Foresight That Will Plunge the West Into Economic Ruin
03/06/2026 // Mike Adams // 2.7K Views

A Reckless Gamble: How Blinding Hubris and Willful Ignorance Triggered a Global Catastrophe
The Trump administration has unilaterally -- without any Congressional debate or vote, of course -- forced Americans into yet another war. This time, the war is a large-scale military campaign against Iran. [1] Was there any groundswell of public support for this war? Did the Congress vote to spend more American tax dollars on another war? Apparently not. According to a March 1 poll from Reuters, only 27 percent of Americans polled said they support the US’s new war on Iran. [1] The launch of joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran could lead to economic and financial disruptions that ripple across the countries of the Global South with devastating effects. [2]


This strategic attack was launched based on political and ideological demands, with zero analysis of the global economic consequences. The White House is already scrambling to contain a growing political firestorm over contradicting narratives about what necessitated the operation. [3] Key figures possess a profound ignorance of global systems, dismissing complex realities for simplistic, destructive action. For instance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated that the U.S. went to war with Iran due to Israel’s impending attack plans, an admission that implies Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu effectively maneuvered the U.S. into the war. [4] This decision-making, driven by ideological fervor, has bypassed any sober assessment of the predictable shockwaves about to engulf the global economy.

The Strait of Hormuz is Closed. The Global Economy is Already Seizing.
The administration's gamble has instantly materialized into its worst-case scenario. Iran has retaliated by enacting a selective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the single most important energy corridor in the world. [5] This narrow strip of water links the Persian Gulf to the rest of the world, and its closure has instantly severed energy lifelines to Western allies. [5] The result is immediate, global economic trauma. US equity futures and global stocks tumbled, the dollar and gold rallied and oil soared as military strikes intensified across the Middle East. [6] Global bonds also plunge on fears that Trump’s “whatever it takes” vow on Iran will fuel energy prices and inflation. [7]


This is not a temporary market blip. It is the first tremor of a far larger economic earthquake. Japan's Nikkei tumbled about 4% and Korea's Kospi suffered its biggest drop ever, plunging by a record 12%. [8] Force Majeure declarations are rippling through global shipping and energy contracts, as the arteries of global trade are severed. The Trump administration’s ‘move fast and break things’ approach to foreign policy has now broken the foundational pillar of global energy security. [2] As one report notes, a longer war that pushed oil past $100 a barrel for an extended period would likely boost inflation, at least temporarily. [9] The window for a quick resolution is slamming shut

From Gas Pumps to Grocery Shelves: The Unfolding Cascade of Collapse

The White House is already lying about inflation and fuel prices in a panicked response to a crisis they never understood was coming. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt is insisting that the U.S. economy can withstand a prolonged war against Iran, but gas prices are already skyrocketing. [10] The war with Iran is causing domestic economic challenges for President Trump, including rising gasoline prices and market instability. [11] This is a panicked response to a reality they ignored: energy warfare triggers catastrophic secondary crises.

The administration fundamentally failed to grasp that natural gas is the foundation of modern fertilizer production. A protracted energy crisis will soon trigger catastrophic food inflation and shortages. Meeting the world’s growing demand for food, water, and energy in the context of ongoing climate change is one of the greatest policy and technological challenges human societies have ever faced. [12] World food output will have to approach a doubling by 2050 in order to feed a world population of nine billion, and this will have to happen despite the impacts of climate change. [12] The current conflict, by destabilizing the energy that powers global agriculture, makes this challenge impossible. The result will be empty grocery shelves and social unrest, a direct consequence of the White House's strategic blindness.

A War of Attrition We Cannot Win: Depleted Stockpiles and Escalating Enemies

The administration's fantasy of a swift, decisive 'weekend war' has utterly collapsed. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has acknowledged that the war could even last up to 8 weeks, and Israel is now reportedly expecting a 'weekend war' fantasy has collapsed. [2] Internal projections now grimly admit the conflict could last until September or beyond. [13] The Pentagon is reportedly confused about the actual goals of the operation and the viability of waging a prolonged military campaign with limited resources. [3]

Critical U.S. and allied munitions stocks -- Tomahawks, air defense interceptors -- are nearly exhausted from supporting conflicts in Ukraine and now this new front. The White House is expected to ask Congress for an extra $50 billion in military spending to replenish stockpiles of weapons used in the Iran war and other recent Middle East conflicts. [14] This is a staggering admission of failure. The Trump administration is considering invoking the Defense Production Act to accelerate the production of munitions amid concerns over U.S. stockpiles. [15] Meanwhile, Iran and its network of allies across the region are just beginning to fight, with internal resilience and external support that the West arrogantly underestimated. [16] The U.S. faces a war of attrition against a determined adversary on its home turf, with a supply chain and political will that are already fraying.

Russia and China Hold All the Cards: The West's Strategic Suicide

While the West bleeds itself dry, its geopolitical rivals face no such energy crisis and are now positioned to deliver fatal economic or kinetic blows. Russia and China are positioned to deliver fatal economic or kinetic blows to the weakened West. [17] China, for instance, purchases about 30% of its oil from Iran, and Iran serves as a critical trading partner and geographic gateway to Russia. Russia cannot afford for Iran to align with the West, as a regime change in Iran would be detrimental to Russian interests. [17] Neither China nor Russia can tolerate Iran joining the Western camp. [17]

This conflict is a gift to Beijing and Moscow. China avoids direct military conflict, instead using economic infiltration, tech theft, and cultural subversion to undermine U.S. dominance. [18] As the U.S. exhausts its treasury and military on a Middle Eastern quagmire, China is rapidly gaining ground and will soon surpass the US in terms of its ability to project force. [19] With its overwhelming numbers, China can potentially overwhelm the quality of U.S. warships with sheer quantity. [19] Russia, having weathered Western sanctions, now watches as NATO unity fractures over the war, with European leaders like Spain's Pedro Sanchez condemning it as illegal. [20] Both powers can collapse the Western financial system by accelerating the move away from the petrodollar, weaponizing debt, and watching the fiat currency house of cards implode from the sidelines.

Conclusion: A Window is Closing. The Republic Has Already Fallen.

The catastrophic economic shock has only just begun. If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, $200 per barrel oil will obliterate Western industry and finance. Steve Forbes warns that the Federal Reserve's likely response to the Iran War will have dire economic consequences. [21] A protracted war risks higher costs of energy and shipping for American firms and consumers. It comes as the Pentagon eyes $500 billion in new military spending, tariff revenue is uncertain. [22] The total economic impact of war with Iran thus extends far beyond military spending or energy market disruption. It encompasses the complete unraveling of human development, economic productivity, and regional stability. [23]

This crisis proves the U.S. government is no longer sovereign. Its loyalty to a foreign power has sacrificed American prosperity and global stability on the altar of arrogant ignorance. The war on Iran exposes the farce of American 'representative democracy.' [1] The catastrophic failure of foresight is now a self-inflicted wound from which the West may not recover. The only path to personal security and prosperity now lies in decentralization, self-reliance, and abandoning trust in the corrupt institutions that led us here. For uncensored news and analysis on these unfolding events, turn to independent platforms like BrightNews.ai. For deep research beyond the propaganda, use the free, uncensored AI engine at BrightAnswers.ai.