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자유 게시판 스크랩 러시아는 미래에 왜 주목받나요?
세리랑 추천 6 조회 739 16.06.02 08:42 댓글 5
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물의 영원한 능력, 그리고 러시아라는 어머니 나라

The Eternal Power of Water, Time, and Mother Russia
By Phil Butler
May 28, 2016 - 9:41:21 AM

  

 

27.05.2016 Author: Phil Butler

 


 

"우리는 이미 미래를 위한 계획을 갖고있다: 오염과 과잉인구, 사막화를 해결하는 법. 미래는 이미 벌어진다." - 귄터 글라스

“We already have the statistics for the future: the growth percentages of pollution, overpopulation, desertification. The future is already in place.” ? G?nter Grass

 

러시아는 다음 10년이내에 세계에서 가장 중요한 국가로 부상할 것이다. 이나라는 절박한 필요성때문에 그리 될 것이며, 또 그 절박성은 에너지 문제가 아니다. 서방의 지배자들은 오늘도 러시아에 대항한 하이브리드 전쟁을 벌이는데, 그것은 세계의 천연자원을 두고서 싸우는 확실한 전쟁이다. 그런 자원가운데 중요한 것은 물이다.

유명한 예언가 에드가 케이시는 러시아가 세계의 새로운 등불로 부상할 것을 예견했는데, 그것은 옳았다.

 

"러시아에서 세계의 희망이 오를 것인데, 이는 공산주의나 볼셰비키 혁명때문이 아니다; 결코 아니다. 그것은 자유인데, 자유다! 각자 사람은 자신의 동료 인간을 위해 살것이다. 이런 원칙이 태동한다. 이는 분명해지기까지는 수년이 걸린다, 허나 러시아로부터 세계의 희망이 다시 올라온다. 뭐가 그렇게 하느냐고? 국가의 우정인데, 이것은 현재 돈 에 새겨져 있는데, 신 안에서 우리는 믿는다." - 에드가 케이시 1944년

 

Russia will emerge as the world’s most vital country within the next decade. The country will do so out of a matter of utter necessity, and the necessity has nothing to do with energy. The hybrid war being waged by western leadership today, it is an unmistakably a pitched battle over the world’s last pools of natural resources. Chief among these is water. The famous psychic Edgar Cayce may have been correct in predicting Russia’s emergence as a new “light” of the world.

In Russia there comes the hope of the world, not as that sometimes termed of the Communistic, of the Bolshevistic; no. But freedom, freedom! That each man will live for his fellow man! The principle has been born. It will take years for it to be crystallized, but out of Russia comes again the hope of the world. Guided by what? That friendship with the nation that hath even set on its present monetary unit In God We Trust.” ? Cayce, 1944

 

어떤 이들은 이글을 읽으면서 푸틴이 이끄는 러시아가 지구상에서 가장 중요한 국가라는 개념을 알지 못할 것이다. 나의 조국 미국은 지난 수십년간 세계를 지배했다. 미국에 앞서는 영국이 지배했다. 현대 역사의 대부분은 국제 관계에서 불편한 진실이 지배했다. 그것을 우리는 전쟁을 통한 통치라고 부른다. 그런데 그 전쟁이라는 신묘한 지배력이 사라진다. 이 추세는 돌이킬수가 없다.

이제 뉴스는 크렘린 권력의 뒷마당에서 오르는데, 우리는 엄청난 규모의 일이 벌어지는걸 알게된다. 우리는 그런 일을 제대로 이해하지 못한다. 그것은 멈출수없는 무언가 사태가 벌어진다는 것인데, 푸틴대통령과 배후의 인물이 추진한 것이다.

 

러시아는 세계규모의 수자원을 보유한 두나라 중에 한곳이다. 러시아는 아주 방대한 수자원 보유국인데, 그것은 세계가 사막화가 확산되고 먹을게 없어서 기아선상에 해매는 인류가 늘어나는 추세에서 아주 막강한 힘을 발휘한다. 지난 5월3일자 러시아투데이지는 이런 기사를 올렸다; " 물에 목마르다 : 러시아가 신선한 물을 가뭄에 허덕이는 중국으로 보낸다. ran a story "

대부분의 주류언론은 이 기사를 다루지 않았다. 허나 물을 중국에 보내는 사업은 송유관 사업보다 더 거대한 의미가 있다.

 

Some reading this will baulk at the notion of Vladimir Putin’s Russia as the most “essential” nation on Earth. My country, the United States, has dominated world issues for some decades now. Before America, Britannia “ruled”. For most of modern history an uneasy friction has dominated international relations. We have been “at war” since forever, when all is said and done. But the “war” will soon be over, one way or another, this is incontrovertible. News the other day, let’s say from the Kremlin’s “back yard”, enlightened me to the larger scheme of things. A tiny news fragment most people would miss, tells us of an unstoppable eventuality. It’s a reality Mr. Putin and all those behind realize too. Russia is one of two remaining reservoirs of vital water resources left. While ample water exists elsewhere, Russia’s is in closer proximity to vast, expanding deserts, and people destined to starve to death without more food. on May 3rd RT ran a story entitled, “Thirst for water: Russia to send freshwater to drought-stricken Chinese region”. Not many mainstream media outlets bothered to cover the story, but I assure you its significance is far greater than any gas pipeline news you ever read.

 

뉴스에 따르면 러시아 당국은 담수를 중국의 가장 기근에 시달리는 지역에 공급할 것을 발표했는데, 카자흐스탄을 경유해서 간다고 한다. 이는 서부 시베리아 알타이 크라이에서 중국 북서지역의 신장위구르 자치주로 들어가는 것이다.

 

러시아 투데이는 3군데 방대한 사막이 매년 7천만 입방미터의 물을 받게 된다고 보도한다. 물은 그 지역의 경작지를 농업이 가능하게 만드는 것이다.

 

According to the news, Russian authorities announced a plan to deliver freshwater to the most drought-stricken area of China, via Kazakhstan. Russian Agriculture Minister Aleksandr Tkachev told reporters of scheme to deliver water from Russia’s Altai Krai in western Siberia to the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in northwest China. The story bears deep scrutiny for several reasons, not the least of which is the tiny fraction of water resource being discussed. The first clue as to how desperate China’s water needs are is indicated in the miniscule drop of water resource the report speaks of. According to the RT story, the three vast deserts of this part of Chine are to be “allowed” 70 million cubic meters of water per year. Now this may be a misprint of a greater number like 70 million cubic meters per hour or day, but the reader should know the stated quantity does not even equal a small lake. But it is the announcement of the “plan” that is significant. It is here we come to the issue of total arable land, and the worldwide effects of a process known as “desertification”. I cannot expect ever reader to be a geographer, so I will explain.

The process of desertification, or the growth of deserts, has been going on for millennia. In North Africa, for instance, the formation and growth of the Sahara is probably what caused the rise of Egyptian civilization, as people migrated to the Nile river system, and congregated to form that great empire. The process, as I said, is ongoing.

 

사하라 사막은 남쪽으로 매년 3마일의 속도로 확산된다. 이것은 중국의 사막의 확산 현상도 마찬가지로 심각한 것인데, 그들은 러시아의 도움으로 생명수를 공급받는 것이다.

러시아는 세계의 절반을 먹일 능력이 있고, 나머지를 먹일 관개가 닿는 농토에 물을 줄수있다. 중국에 이런 담수를 준다는 것은 그간 미국과 영국이 공들여서 러시아를 포위한 전략이 아무짝에도 쓸모없는 일로 만들었다. 그것은 카자흐스탄, 키르기스탄, 투르크메니스탄, 우즈벡, 몽골 등등을 전쟁 포석으로 공들여봐야 누구도 생명줄인 러시아를 적대시하지 않을 것이기 때문이다.

 

The Sahara expands at an accelerating rate to the southward, something on the order of about 3 miles per year. This says nothing about the effects of lost topsoil carried away in arid months by the now shifted Harmattan winds that have now pushed monsoon rains further south. The processes are complex, but basically the middle of the world is drying up. The bad news is, the processes are not localized to Africa. This can readily be seen just glancing at any globe or map. The middle latitudes are brown or sand colored, while the extreme north is green. As the saying goes, “you don’t have to be a rocket scientist” to understand. Now factor in 2 billion Chinese people, and another 2 billion in India, and you can go out and invest in Russia water resources now.

I can show you the maps and geography to prove this out, to reveal where Mr. Putin’s people will build the spillways and reservoirs, but the real proof of what I suggest is already shown by the World Bank. The bottom line here is, Russia is capable of feeding about half the world, and of irrigating lands that can feed the rest. Not only this, but Vladimir Putin’s greater plan will render meaningless any US or UK policy toward massive Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Mongolia, and many others. The decline curve in the amount of arable land per person in these countries is the crucial metric. Each shows an extreme downward curve.

 

중국상황을 보면, 인구로 포화된 대국이 아주 심각한 문제에 있는 것이다. 이 나라는 인구당 경작가능한 땅이 0.08헥타아르밖에 되질 않는다. 이에 비하면 러시아는 10배의 경작지를 가졌으며, 이는 미국보다 2배가 많은 것이다. 미국은 경작지가 빠르게 감소하고 있는데, 그 이유는 담수 공급원을 석유를 채굴한다고 프랙킹으로 망쳐놓고 있기 때문이다. 

미국에는 캐나다가 담수를 공급할 수있는데, 캐나다도 샌드오일을 파느라고 환경을 망가뜨리니 앞날을 두고 봐야할 것이다.

 

With the focus on China, that populous and massive nation is in dire trouble. The country only has 0.08 hectares of arable land per person. By comparison, Russia has over 10 times more, twice as much as the United States. For my American countrymen it may be essential to know, the arable land curve for our nation is falling faster than any nation on Earth, and fracking is poisoning what remains of our water supply. The only good news for America is, Canada is the other nation with massive water resources that I mentioned from the start. Cereal yields peaking for China and some other nations, is another factor, but we needn’t reach too deep in to world food production. The fact of Russia’s special geography and resources is unarguable.

China and the region are in an emergency situation over such issues as; climate change, unfavorable hydrologic conditions, changes in vegetation composition, loss of soil services, and desertification. This is an acute situation in the northwest of the country where Russia plans to deliver water for irrigation. As of this writing, roughly 40% of the world’s area is either desert or drylands, which are extremely sensitive to hydraulic and atmosphere pressures. This study provides some of the science, but the scientific community has known all this for decades. This video about farmers on the verge of abandoning their farmlands speaks volumes for Russia’s key role to come.

More than 400 million people in China are now impacted directly by this desertification. If left unchecked, the entire western and northern parts of the country will be barely habitable. Imagine a people pressed eastward to the lowlands where rice and fish are the diet, only to be met by rising sea level and another acute disaster. But we’ve been focused on Russia’s other resources for economic emergence. The fact is, water is the most valuable commodity in the world’s greatest storehouse of natural resources. Argue as you may, a geographer’s point of view bears the stamp of science fact. China is already spending billions to combat desertification, and untold billions spent to irrigate usable land in the northwest will be the ultimate winning investment. But what of Mr. Putin’s plans for the “new Russia”?

수요가 증가한다  The Growing Demand

5634444The reason western elites are so vehement to start a war with Russia, have less to do with oil, and more to do with an even more valuable commodity. Human beings can live without gas powered cars. We can do without almost everything except food and water. Let’s take food, as a starting point for this argument. Many nations have depended heavily on grain from the United States over the years, in order to supplement other food sources to feed their people. This USDA report on China agricultural demand tells us of a gigantic Chinese weakness, and a monumental opportunity too. The chart below summarizes the situation. As you can see, the demand for US agricultural products by China has grown exponentially in the last 25 years. And the situation is getting much worse with the desertification situation.

 

물상황에 대해서 보고하고 있는것은 아주 심각한 이야기이다. 중국은 자신들의 식량을 생산하는게 아주 중요한 일이다. 그 다음은 러시아나 카자흐스탄같은 동맹으로부터 수입을 할 수있을 것이다. 그러니 이 나라들과 경제와 정치면에서 아주 긴밀한 협력이 필수적이다.

푸틴 대통령은 중국에 담수관을 연결해서 물을 줄 것인데, 이것은 양국 국민에게 큰 의미를 준다.

 

As I said this water situation is both disastrous, as well as a great potential. It goes without saying, China would be far better off producing her own food. Second to this, importing from a local partner like Russia or Kazakhstan makes more economic and political sense too. Breaking this all down, we find Russia President Vladimir Putin with yet another brilliant foreign policy move. The Russia-China water pipeline is a coming reality, even Sputnik reports. But why is this a strategy coup for Putin?

First of all, Vladimir Putin does not like the concept of Chinese migrating en masse to the sparsely populated regions of Siberia. once people migrate in order to pursue better agriculture etc. annexation or disputes are far more likely. This is another reason Putin has offered free hectares in the Far East to Russian citizens. Water deals to come circumvent this aspect in several positive ways, thereby providing Putin with a “win-win” at home and abroad. Secondly, by creating a Russian water market Mr. Putin and his colleagues virtually ensure the diehard allegiance of places like Kazakhstan, both for that nation’s part in transiting, and the increased agricultural aspects Kazakh people can gain from. In short, America and the Brits can forget economic or regime change as was the case in Georgia and Ukraine. It’s brilliant actually, the plan is. But it was foreseeable always.

Experts say that by the end of this century drinking water on the world market will be more expensive than oil. I say it won’t take so long. Russia has about 80 percent of the world’s fresh water resources that remain. Underground, from the Polar Regions, and in the lakes like Baikal, the country is the largest repository of the world’s most valuable substance. The Sputnik article quotes Alexander Malyayev, the Head of the “Waterhall” Company, which controls about one-third of the Russian market of bottled water:

“The construction of a water pipeline for the export of the Baikal water to China is realizable. The resources of Lake Baikal are sufficient even for such wide-scale supplies, and as regards its remoteness from the Chinese border, it’s an acceptable option too. The problem is that as distinct from an oil or gas pipe, a water pipe should be buried into the soil. Otherwise, it will freeze in winter. And this raises the price of the construction considerably.”

The reasons this story did was not weighted more heavily by western media matter little really. Even Mr. Putin’s administration’s underplaying of the potential matter less, than the undeniable end result. Food and water on planet Earth will no longer be monopolized by the United States and a few other nations. The political sway, and economic bonanza which always were a potential for Russia, have both come to the forefront today. The only thing standing in Russia’s way is the potential war, the redux of Britain and the west, versus Russia. And this is where the propaganda and militarism, the terror and the lies emanate from. In a very real way, either Russia finally emerges from the cold, or the world burns up under the white hot sun of western wars waged.

For those of you, who doubt we are at the “Great Game” of anti-Russia strategies, allow me to quote Britain’s royalty. Speaking of regional politics, Prince Andrew stated:

The United Kingdom, Western Europe (and by extension you Americans too)” are back in the thick of playing the Great Game. And this time we aim to win!”

But England has no water resources to export, and America has her own problems. So what sort of manifest destiny is at work here? Maybe the Great War for world dominance was always lost, to a people with no need of bigger territories. Maybe the real desperation is the British one?

More on that later….

Phil Butler, is a policy investigator and analyst, a political scientist and expert on Eastern Europe, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.
http://journal-neo.org/2016/05/27/the-eternal-power-of-water-time-and-mother-russia/

http://journal-neo.org/2016/05/27/the-eternal-power-of-water-time-and-mother-russia/


 
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댓글
  • 16.06.02 10:29

    첫댓글 "이제 뉴스는 크렘린 권력의 뒷마당에서 오르는데,
    우리는 엄청난 규모의 일이 벌어지는걸 알게된다.
    우리는 그런 일을 제대로 이해하지 못한다.
    그것은 멈출수없는 무언가 사태가 벌어진다는 것인데,
    푸틴대통령과 배후의 인물이 추진한 것이다."


    그렇습니다.
    지상에 사람들은 천상에서 이루어지는 일들을
    제대로 이해하지 못하는게 당연 합니다.

    푸틴대통령과 배후의 인물이 추진하는..
    엄청나고도 멈출수없는 사태가 벌어지는 건..
    역사 속에 그 답이 있습죠.

    옛 조선(천상)은..
    그 배후에서 일을 도모 했던거고..
    서세(지상)인의 삶에 직접적인 영향을 준건..
    푸틴(고구려)와 시진핑(가야.발해)가..
    그 역할들을 했었죠.

    때문에..

  • 16.06.02 10:31

    서세가 이땅을 침탈해서..
    엄청난 기록문화를 접하기 이전에는..
    조선(천상. 신)의 존재를 알지도 못했기에..
    그져 고(구)려의 변방쯤으로 인식 했던거고..
    그래서 나라 이름이 코리아가 된거죠.

    옛 고구려의 훈족과 고려의 징기스칸들에..
    줄기찬 훈육만을 접할수있었던 서세로써는..
    그들 배후에 있는 조선의 정체성을 모르니..
    그들 배후에는 신(갓)들이 있겠거니 했는데..
    그 서세가 믿던 신들에 나라가 바로 조선..
    이였던 겁니다.

    조선은 그렇게..
    인류를 위해서 복무 했었으니 위대 했던거지..
    세상을 주무르고 지배해서 위대한건 아니죠.

    그 지상에 살던 서양 인간들이..
    신들에 역사를 뒤틀었지만..
    DNA는 그 본질을 알고있죠.

  • 16.06.02 12:36

    미국사람이 쓴 글입니까?
    미국사람이 쓴 글입니까? 미국에게는 선견지명같은 소리를 하는군요. 미국은 胎生이 [침략자]거든요.
    러시아는 침략자가 되지말고 지국가 준 혜택을 조금씩 조금씩 귀하게 사용하기 바랍니다.

  • 19.12.03 22:55

    원대한 이상.

  • 20.07.24 15:04

    지정학적으로 볼 때,
    러시아는 세계의 중심이 될 팔자를 가진 나라입니다.

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