연준 예측의 도트 플롯은 올해 1~2회 더 0.25포인트 인하를 시사

연준 예측의 도트 플롯은 올해 1~2회 더 0.25포인트 인하를 시사 <a href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/</a><div class="figure-open" contenteditable="false" data-ke-type="opengraph" data-ke-align="alignCenter" data-og-type="website" data-og-title="Dot Plot of Fed Projections Suggests 1-2 More Quarter-Point Cuts This Year" data-og-description="Two Fed members project no more cuts this year. The median projection is a Fed Funds Rate of 4.4. percent at the end of the year." data-og-host="mishtalk.com" data-og-source-url="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/" data-og-url="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/" data-og-image="https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/c56B5z/hyW2W08smn/03cuHSVBacGT6su2hCQL21/img.png?width=1073&height=829&face=0_0_1073_829,https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/bTIPZB/hyW2YLqEGf/SSbakrNpj2cjHtfqeUf7Zk/img.png?width=1073&height=829&face=0_0_1073_829,https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/lcWeP/hyW2O9Q40k/OxZ2YLo9WtC4rwYuPvbQZK/img.png?width=1024&height=791&face=0_0_1024_791"><a href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/" target="_blank" data-source-url="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/"><div class="og-image"><img src="https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/c56B5z/hyW2W08smn/03cuHSVBacGT6su2hCQL21/img.png?width=1073&height=829&face=0_0_1073_829,https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/bTIPZB/hyW2YLqEGf/SSbakrNpj2cjHtfqeUf7Zk/img.png?width=1073&height=829&face=0_0_1073_829,https://scrap.kakaocdn.net/dn/lcWeP/hyW2O9Q40k/OxZ2YLo9WtC4rwYuPvbQZK/img.png?width=1024&height=791&face=0_0_1024_791" alt="" xxonerror="this.src="//img1.kakaocdn.net/thumb/C200x200/?fname=https%3A%2F%2Ft1.daumcdn.net%2Fcafe_image%2Fcafe_meta_image_190529.png""></div><div class="og-text">Dot Plot of Fed Projections Suggests 1-2 More Quarter-Point Cuts This YearTwo Fed members project no more cuts this year. The median projection is a Fed Funds Rate of 4.4. percent at the end of the year.mishtalk.com</div></a></div>2024년 9월 18일•오후 1시 3분•<a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/dot-plot-of-fed-projections-suggests-1-2-more-quarter-point-cuts-this-year/#comments" target="_blank" class="ke-link">45개의 댓글연준의 도트 플롯 예측에 따르면 올해 1~2회 더 0.25포인트 인하 예상</a>•<a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/category/economics/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">경제학</a>두 명의 연방준비제도이사회 위원은 올해 더 이상 삭감이 없을 것으로 예상합니다. 중간 예측은 연말에 연방기금금리가 4.4%가 될 것입니다.<div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/be28a43db376d65fa9c009a93902baedaeb1234f" class="txc-image" width="1024" height="791" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/be28a43db376d65fa9c009a93902baedaeb1234f" data-origin-width="1024" data-origin-height="791"></div>위 이미지는 <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20240918.pdf" target="_blank" class="ke-link">연방준비제도이사회(Fed) 경제전망 요약(SEP) 에서 가져온 것입니다.</a><a style="color: #000000;" href="https://adclick.g.doubleclick.net/pcs/click%253Fxai%253DAKAOjstznlDPlGKp0j0eMMdtZzP9AMD7Yx332C6waS8tqvFYu6DZP_glJgs3ZAE5pZL_EzDVpywry7V1mghCrf2mdSUCpugK_6xwCauOq8ZIUgez_RV6o8sz7svcX0s2FKmjjrv8YvdhPjfxPgM8TFSPqtwLTlaI6Yas6nsAxTTPHebex3dGl-0e_Bu_MtElersJ1qp5UleeP7mE-YvnD4xwUmxUDcLfjkONaem4mF2YIY9-EbIyQNxzgtTPx-QjazT9Py8ih58dygMaKwYoL09Fod6iTILAEw7r5xhCXGBe0cGo3uf9603eFCjMLPYarO8VkM4ZsOwh2I0kTGsJe2wLkHg3-ZCUnX5ytS0klJ7nBpE-BUugk5V1ZxDNJ2MN9FVsaJeN2GT1Q29sA9LlywjA-sHfbgR_%2526sai%253DAMfl-YTf22uKoKvVYG1-tXJ_7KlXx5iiYsPCiJgDBYfyGkuFxF00Elf7ycZf9Xk96o4n8_HLeDkFhHVu3MWPOQWDQUOol8LM8wwkK_57TpEr2Q%2526sig%253DCg0ArKJSzOgVXm6uXdmVEAE%2526fbs_aeid%253D%25255Bgw_fbsaeid%25255D%2526urlfix%253D1%2526adurl%253Dhttps://finviz.com/elite.ashx?utm_source=finviz-ic&utm_medium=banner-ic&utm_campaign=FV_Ad#1" target="_blank" class="ke-link">FINVIZ*Elite로 시장을 앞서 나가세요.</a>기회가 생기면 실시간 주식 시세를 파악해 보세요. 고급 차트, 24년간의 과거 데이터, 사용자 지정 가능한 알림에 액세스하여 정보에 입각한 결정을 빠르게 내릴 수 있습니다. 성공하는 데 필요한 거래 도구입니다. <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://adclick.g.doubleclick.net/pcs/click%253Fxai%253DAKAOjstznlDPlGKp0j0eMMdtZzP9AMD7Yx332C6waS8tqvFYu6DZP_glJgs3ZAE5pZL_EzDVpywry7V1mghCrf2mdSUCpugK_6xwCauOq8ZIUgez_RV6o8sz7svcX0s2FKmjjrv8YvdhPjfxPgM8TFSPqtwLTlaI6Yas6nsAxTTPHebex3dGl-0e_Bu_MtElersJ1qp5UleeP7mE-YvnD4xwUmxUDcLfjkONaem4mF2YIY9-EbIyQNxzgtTPx-QjazT9Py8ih58dygMaKwYoL09Fod6iTILAEw7r5xhCXGBe0cGo3uf9603eFCjMLPYarO8VkM4ZsOwh2I0kTGsJe2wLkHg3-ZCUnX5ytS0klJ7nBpE-BUugk5V1ZxDNJ2MN9FVsaJeN2GT1Q29sA9LlywjA-sHfbgR_%2526sai%253DAMfl-YTf22uKoKvVYG1-tXJ_7KlXx5iiYsPCiJgDBYfyGkuFxF00Elf7ycZf9Xk96o4n8_HLeDkFhHVu3MWPOQWDQUOol8LM8wwkK_57TpEr2Q%2526sig%253DCg0ArKJSzOgVXm6uXdmVEAE%2526fbs_aeid%253D%25255Bgw_fbsaeid%25255D%2526urlfix%253D1%2526adurl%253Dhttps://finviz.com/elite.ashx?utm_source=finviz-ic&utm_medium=banner-ic&utm_campaign=FV_Ad#1" target="_blank" class="ke-link">오늘 구독하세요!</a><a style="color: #000000;" href="https://adclick.g.doubleclick.net/pcs/click%253Fxai%253DAKAOjstznlDPlGKp0j0eMMdtZzP9AMD7Yx332C6waS8tqvFYu6DZP_glJgs3ZAE5pZL_EzDVpywry7V1mghCrf2mdSUCpugK_6xwCauOq8ZIUgez_RV6o8sz7svcX0s2FKmjjrv8YvdhPjfxPgM8TFSPqtwLTlaI6Yas6nsAxTTPHebex3dGl-0e_Bu_MtElersJ1qp5UleeP7mE-YvnD4xwUmxUDcLfjkONaem4mF2YIY9-EbIyQNxzgtTPx-QjazT9Py8ih58dygMaKwYoL09Fod6iTILAEw7r5xhCXGBe0cGo3uf9603eFCjMLPYarO8VkM4ZsOwh2I0kTGsJe2wLkHg3-ZCUnX5ytS0klJ7nBpE-BUugk5V1ZxDNJ2MN9FVsaJeN2GT1Q29sA9LlywjA-sHfbgR_%2526sai%253DAMfl-YTf22uKoKvVYG1-tXJ_7KlXx5iiYsPCiJgDBYfyGkuFxF00Elf7ycZf9Xk96o4n8_HLeDkFhHVu3MWPOQWDQUOol8LM8wwkK_57TpEr2Q%2526sig%253DCg0ArKJSzOgVXm6uXdmVEAE%2526fbs_aeid%253D%25255Bgw_fbsaeid%25255D%2526urlfix%253D1%2526adurl%253Dhttps://finviz.com/elite.ashx?utm_source=finviz-ic&utm_medium=banner-ic&utm_campaign=FV_Ad#1" target="_blank" class="ke-link">핀비즈</a>연방 경제 전망 요약<div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/79b139ff0f1e7cc9ace6a8c3df076eac4578b921" class="txc-image" width="1024" height="407" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/79b139ff0f1e7cc9ace6a8c3df076eac4578b921" data-origin-width="1024" data-origin-height="407"></div>연방준비제도는 올해 실업률이 4.4%에 달할 것으로 전망하고 있습니다.현재 실업률은 4.1%입니다.실업률<div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/1aa71365d18ee9d95f43c2cc0d12139f95d812c6" class="txc-image" width="1024" height="652" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1YXpP/1aa71365d18ee9d95f43c2cc0d12139f95d812c6" data-origin-width="1024" data-origin-height="652"></div>비대칭 정책 조정오늘 보고서에서 중요한 점 하나는 Fed의 비대칭적 정책 결정입니다. 문제의 첫 징후가 보이자 Fed는 금리를 반포인트 인하했습니다.인플레이션이 치솟고 있을 때 연준은 양적완화를 끝까지 일정에 맞춰 계속했고, 인플레이션이 치솟자 조금씩 인상하기 시작했습니다.이것이 연준이 시간이 지남에 따라 점점 더 커지는 자산 버블을 조장하는 이유이자 방식입니다. 스포트라이트 일자리8월 22일: <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/a-breakdown-by-sector-of-the-negative-818000-bls-job-revisions/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">818,000개의 BLS 일자리 수정에 대한 부문별 분석</a>9월 6일: <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/payroll-report-manufacturing-sheds-24000-jobs-government-adds-24000-big-negative-revisions/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">급여 보고서: 제조업 일자리 24,000개 감소, 정부 일자리 24,000개 추가, 큰 부정적 수정</a>9월 7일: <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/bls-negative-job-revisions-15-of-last-21-months/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">BLS 지난 21개월 중 15개월 동안의 부정적인 일자리 수정</a>9월 9일: <a style="color: #000000;" href="https://mishtalk.com/economics/fed-beige-book-conditions-are-worse-now-than-the-start-of-the-great-recession/" target="_blank" class="ke-link">Fed Beige Book 상황은 대공황 시작 시점보다 현재 더 나쁘다</a>7월에 저는 Fed가 오늘 금리를 50베이시스포인트 인하할 것이라고 생각했습니다. 저는 그것이 Fed가 할 일에 대한 기대였지, 제가 생각했던 적절한 경제 정책이 아니라는 것을 반복하고 싶습니다. MishTalk 이메일 알림을 구독하세요.이메일을 입력하세요…구독하다구독자는 게시물이 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