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2014 NBA draft Big Board 8.0Latter half of board sees major movement, including several rising Europeans
남자 NCAA 시즌이 월요일 밤에 끝이 났고 코네티컷 허스키스가 전국 챔피언이 됐다.
이전 우리의 Big Board가 업데이트 됐던 2 월 이후로 많은 일들이 일어났다. 부상들, 컨퍼런스 대결, NCAA 토너먼트에서의 퍼포먼스 등의 여러 변수들로 인해 NBA 드래프트 주가가 오르기도 했고 떨어지기도 했다.
이제 시즌이 막바지로 향하고 있는 가운데 팀들이 드래프트에 약간 소강상태가 됐다. 나이키 훕 서밋이 이번 주말에 있고 우리는 여기에서 Big Board에 있는 한 친구, 클린트 카펠라를 면밀히 살펴 볼 수 있게 됐다.
포츠머쓰 인비테이셔널이 다음 주에 있지만, 시니어만 참여하는 토너먼트라서 우리 Big Board에 있는 이는 별로 보이지 않을 것이다. 따라서 여기 있는 선수들 대부분 입장에서는 시카고에서 5 월 중순 열리는 NBA 드래프트 컴바인 전까지는 로스앤젤레스, 라스베이거스, 시카고, 뉴욕에 머물며 몸을 가다듬을 것이다.
일단 그때가 되기 전에, 여기 우리의 여덟 번째 2014 NBA 드래프트 Big Board를 올려 본다. |
Next five in: Jarnell Stokes, PF, Tennessee; Mario Hezonja, G/F, Croatia; Andrew Harrison, PG, Kentucky; Glenn Robinson III, SF, Michigan; Elfrid Payton, PG, Louisiana-Lafayette
원문은 아래 더보기 클릭
The men's NCAA season ended on Monday night and the Connecticut Huskies are the national champions.
A lot has happened since our previous Big Board update, which was in February. NBA draft stock has risen and fallen thanks to a number of factors such as injuries, conference play, and performance in the NCAA tournament.
With the season over, teams have a bit of a draft lull. The Nike Hoop Summit is this weekend and we will get a good look at one guy on our Big Board, Clint Capela.
The Portsmouth Invitational is next week, though it's rare for anyone on our Big Board to attend the seniors-only tournament. So for most of these players, it's off to train in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Chicago and New York until the NBA draft combine in mid-May in Chicago.
Until then, here's our eighth Big Board of the 2014 NBA draft.
1Andrew WigginsSCHOOL: KansasAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-8, 200POS: SG
17.1 PPG5.9 RPG1.5 APG
Wiggins began the season atop our Big Board and he ends the college season in the same spot. He has had his ups and downs and struggled at times to live up to huge expectations. He has weaknesses that need to be improved, but in talking to numerous general managers and scouts, he's atop at least 60 percent of the big boards in the NBA at the moment and looks like he would be the top pick for five of the six teams with the worst records in the league.
2Jabari ParkerSCHOOL: DukeAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-8, 241POS: SF
19.3 PPG8.8 RPG1.2 APG
If Parker declares (and it's still an "if" right now), he will carry the label as the most NBA-ready freshman -- maybe even the most NBA-ready of anyone -- in the draft. But teams want huge upside as well this high in the draft, and while Parker is the most likely to come out and win rookie of the year honors, the fear is that his ceiling isn't as high as either Wiggins' or Joel Embiid's. A few teams are still leaning his direction with the No. 1 pick, but other than the Jazz, the rest are long shots. It will be interesting to see if his stock rises if he can get in great shape before the combine. That's one of the biggest knocks on him right now.
3Joel EmbiidSCHOOL: KansasAGE: 19HT/WT: 7-0, 240POS: C
11.2 PPG8.1 RPG2.6 BPG
How's the back? That's the biggest question surrounding Embiid right now. The second biggest question: Will he declare? The early word was that he was leaning toward leaving KU, but his hesitation since then has raised some eyebrows. If his back checks out at the combine, he'll again be in the discussion for the No. 1 pick. If it's something small, he might drop a few spots. If teams believe he requires surgery at some point, he could really slide. So for now, it's safe to say Embiid will be the biggest question mark in the draft for the next month.
4Dante ExumCOUNTRY: AustraliaAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-6, 188POS: PG
18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG at FIBA U-19s
Exum is in Los Angeles working out with Kobe Bryant's and Dwyane Wade's trainer, Tim Grover. NBA scouts would love to come in and get a peek, but no one can see him until the NBA releases the official underclassmen declaration list sometime in late April. Even then, it's unlikely that more than a couple of teams will get to see him in workouts. There's going to be a dearth of information about him going into the draft, but it doesn't mean he can't play. His agent, Rob Pelinka, is just going to be strategic about which teams get a good look.
5Julius RandleTEAM: KentuckyAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-9, 225POS: PF
15.0 PPG10.4 RPG1.4 APG
Randle finished with four double-doubles in the NCAA tournament and scored in double-digits in every game, but he struggled against UConn in the final, scoring only 10 points on 3-for-7 shooting. The tournament showed Randle's strengths and weaknesses. He can be a beast in the paint, and he moves his feet so well for someone his size and looks NBA-ready. But he struggles to score against length and athleticism at times, and that will become only more pronounced at the next level.
6Aaron GordonSCHOOL: ArizonaAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-8, 210POS: PF
12.4 PPG8.0 RPG2.0 APG
Gordon has yet to declare for the draft, but the word around the league is that he will do so. He is a work in progress on the offensive end of the ball (which partially explains why his advanced metrics are so low), but all of the defensive tools he has, combined with elite athleticism and motor, have many scouts on board with him as an Andrei Kirilenko-meets-Blake Griffin forward at the next level.
7Noah VonlehSCHOOL: IndianaAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-10, 240POS: PF
11.3 PPG9.0 RPG1.6 BPG
Vonleh might be the one guy on this list who could end up leapfrogging both Gordon and Randle into that top-5 spot. Blessed with size, athletic ability and shooting touch, Vonleh's best comp may be Chris Bosh. You are going to see a lot of teams in the Nos. 4-8 range trying to schedule Randle, Gordon and Vonleh together for workouts. Each player possesses something the other doesn't. It should be epic.
8Marcus SmartSCHOOL: Oklahoma StateAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-4, 225POS: PG
17.8 PPG5.7 RPG4.7 APG
Smart would have been the No. 2 pick in the draft last year had he come out. Another year at school has dinged his stock a bit, but his late-season surge has put him on very solid ground in the top 10. Some scouts love him, some scouts aren't enamored at all, but Smart's range looks like it's Nos. 4-10 right now.
9Tyler EnnisSCHOOL: SyracuseAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-2, 180POS: PG
12.9 PPG3.4 RPG5.5 APG
Ennis didn't finish the season as strong as he started, and I know there are some scouts who are starting to get off the bandwagon. But his steadiness as a point guard is pretty rare. I think you see Smart and Exum go ahead of him in virtually every scenario, but after those two are off the board, Ennis doesn't have a lot of competition, and several teams in the late lottery/mid-first round need point guards.
10Gary HarrisSCHOOL: Michigan StateAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-4, 210POS: SG
16.7 PPG4.0 RPG2.7 APG
Harris has yet to declare his intentions for the NBA draft; however, he's widely regarded as the second-best 2-guard in the draft behind Wiggins. His lack of size and his inconsistent shooting from deep has hurt his stock a little bit, but his ability to play at both ends of the floor, along with his age (he's younger than both Ennis and Embiid) have scouts projecting him as a top-10 pick. Look for him to go in the Nos. 8-15 range.
11Clint CapelaCOUNTRY: SwitzerlandAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-10, 215POS: PF
8.5 PPG6.5 RPG1.8 BPG
Capela has been steadily rising on our draft board all year and will finally get to show his stuff on the big stage of the Nike Hoop Summit this weekend (Saturday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2). He's got size and athletic ability and has been putting up decent numbers in France. If he can have a big game for the international team on Saturday, he could even move up a few more spots on this board.
12Doug McDermottSCHOOL: CreightonAGE: 22HT/WT: 6-7, 210POS: SF
26.7 PPG7.0 RPG1.6 APG
McDermott may have been the best scorer in college basketball this season, but his draft projections don't entirely reflect that. While everyone believes he'll be a great shooter at the NBA level, teams aren't entirely convinced he can guard a position, which makes him considerably less valuable. He should go somewhere between 10 and 15.
13Zach LaVineSCHOOL: UCLAAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-5, 180POS: PG
9.4 PPG2.5 RPG1.6 APG
LaVine is still a controversial prospect. Some NBA GMs and scouts love him, thanks to his upside (he's an explosive athlete with good size for his position who can really shoot the rock). Others point to his frail body, poor shot selection and inconsistent play in Pac-12 competition as they question how ready he is for the NBA. He's not. But that hasn't stopped teams in the past from drafting players almost exclusively on upside. His draft stock is all over the place, but I continue to hear that teams in the late lottery are looking at him hard.
14Dario SaricCOUNTRY: CroatiaAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-10, 223POS: SF
16.3 PPG9.5 RPG2.3 APG
Saric is a wizard with the ball and if it were clear he was heading to the NBA this season, he'd be in our top 10 (which he was the entire season). However, his father, and multiple sources in Europe, say that he's staying overseas for at least another year, which diminishes his value to teams drafting in the lottery.
15P.J. HairstonTEAM: Texas Legends (NBADL)AGE: 21HT/WT: 6-5, 220POS: SG
21.8 PPG3.5 RPG0.8 SPG
Hairston finished his D-League season on Sunday for the Texas Legends with a 33-point outburst. He averaged 21.8 PPG, shot 45.3 percent from the field and 35.8 percent on 3s during the season. If he can clear up concerns about his off-court behavior, he could go 10 spots higher. Many scouts believe he's one of the two or three most NBA-ready players in this draft.
16Montrezl HarrellTEAM: LouisvilleAGE: 20HT/WT: 6-8, 235POS: PF
14.0 PPG8.4 RPG1.3 BPG
Harrell is a beast in the paint. If he were a few inches taller, he'd be much higher on this board. However, his length, explosive athletic ability and motor make him a great candidate for the mid-first round.
17James YoungTEAM: KentuckyAGE: 18HT/WT: 6-7, 200POS: SF
14.3 PPG4.3 RPG1.7 APG
Young saved his two best games of the tournament for the Final Four, scoring 17 points against Wisconsin and 20 against UConn. Not only did he show off his shooting range, he also had several terrific finishes at the basket. If he had shot the ball just a little bit better all season, he would be a surefire lottery pick. As it stands, he's in the Nos. 12-24 range.
18Jerami GrantTEAM: SyracuseAGE: 20HT/WT: 6-8, 203POS: SF
12.1 PPG6.8 RPG1.4 APG
Grant hasn't declared his intentions for the draft yet. He's a pretty raw player offensively, but his combination of length and athleticism intrigues scouts. So do his defensive efforts. He's an upside pick, but his upside is so high, I think he could go anywhere from No. 15 to No. 25.
19Nik StauskasTEAM: MichiganAGE: 20HT/WT: 6-6, 190POS: SG
17.5 PPG2.9 RPG3.3 APG
Stauskas hasn't declared for the draft yet, but all signals point in that direction. He's an excellent shooter with deep range and has such a quick release on his jumper. Many scouts believe he could be a better version of J.J. Redick, which should land him somewhere between 15 and 25.
20Willie Cauley-SteinTEAM: KentuckyAGE: 20HT/WT: 7-0, 220POS: C
6.8 PPG6.1 RPG2.9 BPG
Cauley-Stein hasn't gotten the draft bump that the other UK players have received, thanks to an ankle injury that kept him out of the final three games of the NCAA tournament. He's still so raw offensively, but his shot-blocking ability and lateral quickness have scouts interested in him as a rim protector. Bigs tend to rise in the draft. I could see him going anywhere from 12 to 24 on draft night.
21Adreian PayneTEAM: Michigan StateAGE: 23HT/WT: 6-10, 225POS: PF
16.4 PPG7.3 RPG1.3 APG
Payne is a terrific shooter, has the size and athletic ability to play in the post and had a stellar senior season. If he were a freshman, he'd probably be in the mix for a top-five pick. His age is the only thing really holding him from cracking the top 10.
22Rodney HoodTEAM: DukeAGE: 21HT/WT: 6-8, 180POS: SG
16.1 PPG3.9 RPG2.1 APG
Hood shot the ball really well all season and has great size for his position. His lack of strength, and concerns that he's a bit one-dimensional, hurt his stock a bit. Some scouts love him, some are more wary. He, too, goes somewhere between 13 and 25.
23Cleanthony EarlyTEAM: Wichita StateAGE: 22HT/WT: 6-8, 215POS: SF
16.4 PPG5.9 RPG0.8 BPG
Early is one of the big stars from the NCAA tournament. Blessed with size, athleticism and a jump shot, he looked like a prototypical NBA 3 against Kentucky in the tournament. Despite his age, many scouts see him as a possible steal in the late first round.
24Rondae Hollis-JeffersonTEAM: ArizonaAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-7, 205POS: SF
9.1 PPG5.7 RPG1.1 BPG
It's unclear whether Hollis-Jefferson will really declare for the draft, but his late-season play was so strong that he's moved himself into the mid-to-late first round. He needs a jump shot, but he's got just about everything else. If he waits a year, he could be a lottery pick in 2015.
25K.J. McDanielsTEAM: ClemsonAGE: 21HT/WT: 6-6, 200POS: SF
17.1 PPG7.1 RPG2.8 BPG
McDaniels is another terrific athlete who finishes above the rim and can defend multiple positions on the floor. He needs to improve his jump shot, and his age works against him a bit, but several GMs claim he's the real sleeper of this draft.
26Shabazz NapierTEAM: ConnecticutAGE: 22HT/WT: 6-0, 170POS: PG
18.0 PPG5.9 RPG4.9 APG
No one did more to help his draft stock in the tournament than Napier. Previously billed as a borderline second-round pick by many scouts, his brilliant play for UConn has pushed his draft stock into the first round. He averaged 21 PPG in the tourney, made 20 3-point shots and was the heart and soul of the team on both offense and defense. Kemba Walker's great run in the tourney pushed him into the lottery in 2011. Will Napier get the same push? I doubt it. He doesn't have the speed or quickness of Walker, but many scouts now see him as the fourth-best point guard in the draft, behind Dante Exum, Marcus Smart and Tyler Ennis.
27Kyle AndersonTEAM: UCLAAGE: 20HT/WT: 6-9, 235POS: PF
14.6 PPG8.8 RPG6.5 APG
Anderson is a unique player in the draft. He's a point power forward who excels when the ball is in his hands. He's got a huge wingspan, is an improved shooter and can rebound. But he'll fit on only some teams and is going to struggle defensively. He probably has the widest range of any player on our Big Board; he could go anywhere from 10 to 35.
28T.J. WarrenTEAM: NC StateAGE: 20HT/WT: 6-8, 233POS: PF
24.9 PPG7.1 RPG1.8 SPG
Warren is a terrific scorer who excels on floaters and getting into the paint. He's not a great shooter and is a below-average defender, which hurts his stock quite a bit. But for teams looking for a pure scorer, he's among the best of the best in the draft.
29Chris WalkerTEAM: FloridaAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-9, 195POS: SF
1.9 PPG1.3 RPG4.8 MPG
Walker hasn't really played much for Florida (87 minutes total), but teams are still willing to draft him based on upside. He's a great athlete and has good size for his position. No one knows exactly what type of player he will be, but teams will be willing to gamble on him late because next year he could be a lottery pick.
30Jusuf NurkicCOUNTRY: BosniaAGE: 19HT/WT: 6-11, 280POS: C
11.7 PPG5.7 RPG1.0 APG
Nurkic is an old-school big man who is huge, has soft hands and can score around the basket. He has played well in the Adriatic league this year, which has really helped his stock. If he was a better athlete, he'd be even higher. His stock is all over the place. A couple of teams like him in the lottery, but most have him in the late first round.
Previous rank: NR | PLAYER CARD
Next five in: Jarnell Stokes, PF, Tennessee; Mario Hezonja, G/F, Croatia; Andrew Harrison, PG, Kentucky; Glenn Robinson III, SF, Michigan; Elfrid Payton, PG, Louisiana-Lafayette
첫댓글 잘봤슴다. 아직 나오지 않을것 같은 선수도 몇몇있네요
귀중한 정보 감사드립니다.
누르키치! 제발 우리까지... 정말 가만히 있던 엑섬이 승자인가요
헤어스톤 많이 치고 올라갔네요. 아 아깝다.
결국 엑섬이 승자네요. 이렇게 된 마당에 농구월드컵 때 안나오는 것도 몸값 올리는 방법이 되겠네요.
뭐 드래프트픽 높게 받는 것이 선수들 최종 목적은 아니니까요 ㅋㅋㅋ 엑섬이 승자인 것은 맞는게, 오히려 농구월드컵 때 실력을 제대로 보여주면 1번픽도 노릴 수 있을 것 같네요!
30번 픽이 유력한 스퍼스팬으로써는 누키치, 엘프레드 페이튼등이 땡기네요...
여기 없는 이름중에서는 보그다노비치, 돈테 버튼정도...?
OKC도 1라 중반 픽 한개(댈러스픽...아마 이번에 행사할 가능성이 매우 높을듯합니다)와 28번픽이 있는데 중후반 뎁스가 좋아서 기대해봅니다. 요즘 1라픽 중후반 근처 선수들 영상 찾아보는데 작년과는 확실히 다르네요
장신SF들이 많이 눈에 띄네요. 반면 PF들은 사이즈가 좀 작아보이구요. 요즘 추세인듯...
매년 로터리급 루키들은 성공여부에
뻔한느낌이 있어서
(물론 아닌케이스가 더 많지만... )
15픽 이하로 예상되는 선수들에 관심을두는편인데
이번 드랩에선 페인에게 눈길이 가네요
그 시이즈에 미드레인지 게임도 가능하다는건
빅리그에 와서도 메리트를 가지기에 충분할듯...
맥시멈 부저정도 과감히 예상해봅니다ㅋ
GR3는 없네요 ㅠㅠ