Re: [18대 총선/양산지역] 선거직전 여론조사와 개표결과 비교

18대 총선(2008.4.9)에서 유재명 후보가 선거 직전의 여론조사에서 12.9%라고 했는데 개표결과는 33.4%...거의 3배나 차이 나는데...이것을 과연 어떻게 설명할것인가???   ****************************************************************************************************   [18대 총선 : 선거직전의 여론조사 : 2008.3.25] <TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=600 border=0> <TBODY> <TR> <TD width=600> <DIV id=bodytext style="FONT-SIZE: 14px"> <TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=520 align=center border=0> <TBODY> <TR> <TD align=middle> <IMG src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.yangsanilbo.com%2Fnews%2Fphoto%2F34605-2-7141.jpg" border=1></TD> <TD width=10> </TD></TR> <TR> <TD colSpan=3 height=10></TD></TR> <TR> <TD colSpan=3></TD></TR> <TR> <TD colSpan=3 height=10></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE> 이번 여론조사는 ARS 전화여론조사 방식으로 이루어졌으며, 표본오차는 신뢰수준 95% 표본오차 ±4.3%이다.</DIV></TD></TR> <TR> <TD>  </TD> <TR> <TD align=right>입력 : 2008년 03월 25일 09:04:45 / 수정 : 2008년 03월 25일 09:05:01 /</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>     ********************************************************************************************************   [선거 개표결과]  <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=800 bgColor=#e1e1e1 border=0> <TBODY> <TR vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#cdcdcd> <TR> <TD width=120 bgColor=#f7f7f7 height=25> 선거구명</TD> <TD width=450 bgColor=#f7f7f7 height=25> 후보자별 득표수</TD> <TD width=140 bgColor=#f7f7f7 height=25> 1,2위 표차</TD> <TD width=140 bgColor=#f7f7f7 height=25> 개표율</TD></TR> <TR> <TD class=g3 bgColor=#ffffff> 양산시</TD> <TD class=g3 bgColor=#ffffff>  <TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=450 bgColor=#ffffff border=0> <TBODY> <TR> <TD width=55></TD> <TD width=125></TD> <TD width=50></TD> <TD width=76></TD> <TD width=50></TD> <TD width=84></TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#f1f4f7> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35> 1위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>한나라</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>허범도</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>39%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(26,802)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>2위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>무소속(친박)</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>유재명</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>33.4%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(22,937)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#f1f4f7> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>3위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>민노</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>심경숙</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>10.4%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(7,159)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>4위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>무소속</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>송인배</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>7%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(4,793)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#f1f4f7> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>5위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>무소속</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>정병문</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>5.2%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(3,585)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>6위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>창조</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>김진명</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>3.3%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(2,250)</TD></TR> <TR vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#f1f4f7> <TD class=g2 align=right height=35>7위</TD> <TD class=g2 height=35>가정</TD> <TD vAlign=center align=middle> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> <IMG height=5 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0> </TD> <TD class=g3 vAlign=center align=left>김홍득</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" align=right>1.7%</TD> <TD class=g2 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right>(1,198)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD> <TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right bgColor=#ffffff>5.6% (3865표)</TD> <TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 20px" align=right bgColor=#ffffff>100% (69,513표)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE> <IMG height=10 src="https://img1.daumcdn.net/relay/cafe/original/?fname=http%3A%2F%2Fimg.yonhapnews.co.kr%2Fbasic%2Fsvc%2F06_images%2F06_1121_tra_dot_01.gif" width=1 border=0>

카페정보

대한민국 박사모 - 박근혜를 사랑하는 모임

골드 (공개)
카페지기 부재중
회원수 61,029
방문수4
카페앱수486

카페 가입하기

카페 전체 메뉴

▲

카페 게시글

자유게시판 (+성명/공지) Re: [18대 총선/양산지역] 선거직전 여론조사와 개표결과 비교

찡꼴이 추천 0 조회 369 09.09.15 13:36 댓글 1

게시글 본문내용

다음검색

저작자 표시 컨텐츠변경 비영리

다퍼오미
09.09.15 13:51

첫댓글 참여한 사기,조작 여론조사기관의 궁색한 변명은 항상 준비되어 있지요..(지역민 특성이 뭐 어쩌구 저쩌구 겉으로 표시를 못내서 그렇다느니..) 바로 이런 점이 선거를 앞둔 여론조사로 경선에서 후보자를 결정짓는 잣대가 되어서는 안된다는 것입니다..

검색 옵션 선택상자

댓글내용선택됨 옵션 더 보기

댓글내용

댓글 작성자

연관검색어

환율

환자

환기

최신목록

카페 전체 메뉴