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안녕하세요 아우구스투스입니다.
이번 시간에는 지난 총선에서 핫한 모습을 보여주면서 100% 무선+ARS로 여론조사의 틀을 잡은 리서치뷰 여론조사에 대한 분석입니다.
http://www.gooddailynews.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=108209
기사부터 보시죠.
다음은 1탄인 적극투표층 분석 관련 글입니다.
http://blog.naver.com/wenly23/220991028031
기본 | 문재인 | 안철수 | 홍준표 | 심상정 | 유승민 |
1주차 | 42.4% | 35.1% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% |
2주차 | 46.0% | 36.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
3주차 | 43.3% | 31.3% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
차이 | -2.7% | -5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
지역 | 문재인 | 안철수 | 홍준표 | 심상정 | 유승민 |
서울 | 43.7% | 32.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
경기 | 44.1% | 32.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
인천 | 44.1% | 32.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
부산 | 41.7% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% |
울산 | 41.7% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% |
경남 | 41.7% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% |
대구 | 27.3% | 32.6% | 22.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% |
경북 | 27.3% | 32.6% | 22.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% |
대전 | 50.0% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
충북 | 50.0% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
충남 | 50.0% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
세종 | 50.0% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
광주 | 51.9% | 36.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
전북 | 51.9% | 36.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
전남 | 51.9% | 36.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
강원 | 42.7% | 28.4% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
제주 | 42.7% | 28.4% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
권역 | 지역 | 문재인 | 안철수 | 홍준표 | ||||||
1주차 | 2주차 | 3주차 | 1주차 | 2주차 | 3주차 | 1주차 | 2주차 | 3주차 | ||
수도권 | 서울 | 38.4% | 47.1% | 43.7% | 37.3% | 36.2% | 32.1% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% |
경기 | 42.6% | 46.7% | 44.1% | 36.7% | 36.6% | 32.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | |
인천 | 42.6% | 46.7% | 44.1% | 36.7% | 36.6% | 32.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | |
PK | 부산 | 42.7% | 47.9% | 41.7% | 31.9% | 32.0% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 21.0% |
울산 | 42.7% | 47.9% | 41.7% | 31.9% | 32.0% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 21.0% | |
경남 | 42.7% | 47.9% | 41.7% | 31.9% | 32.0% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 21.0% | |
TK | 대구 | 34.0% | 25.8% | 27.3% | 27.8% | 44.7% | 32.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 22.0% |
경북 | 34.0% | 25.8% | 27.3% | 27.8% | 44.7% | 32.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 22.0% | |
충청권 | 대전 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 50.0% | 35.6% | 33.2% | 30.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
충북 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 50.0% | 35.6% | 33.2% | 30.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | |
충남 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 50.0% | 35.6% | 33.2% | 30.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | |
세종 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 50.0% | 35.6% | 33.2% | 30.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | |
호남권 | 광주 | 54.4% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 34.6% | 41.4% | 36.9% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
전북 | 54.4% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 34.6% | 41.4% | 36.9% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | |
전남 | 54.4% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 34.6% | 41.4% | 36.9% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | |
기타 | 강원 | 42.4% | 46.0% | 42.7% | 35.1% | 36.5% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 15.6% |
제주 | 42.4% | 46.0% | 42.7% | 35.1% | 36.5% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 15.6% |
권역 | 지역 | 20대총선 | 권역별 | 보정 | 투표수 | 권역별 | 문재인 | 득표수 | 안철수 | 득표수 | 홍준표 | 득표수 |
수도권 | 서울 | 8,427,412 | 20,768,183 | 79.8% | 6,725,075 | 16,548,328 | 43.7% | 2,938,858 | 32.1% | 2,158,749 | 9.3% | 625,432 |
경기 | 9,969,097 | 79.6% | 7,935,401 | 44.1% | 3,499,512 | 32.9% | 2,610,747 | 7.7% | 611,026 | |||
인천 | 2,371,674 | 79.6% | 1,887,853 | 44.1% | 832,543 | 32.9% | 621,103 | 7.7% | 145,365 | |||
PK | 부산 | 2,952,212 | 6,597,402 | 82.7% | 2,441,479 | 5,456,051 | 41.7% | 1,018,097 | 24.1% | 588,397 | 21.0% | 512,711 |
울산 | 933,463 | 82.7% | 771,974 | 41.7% | 321,913 | 24.1% | 186,046 | 21.0% | 162,115 | |||
경남 | 2,711,727 | 82.7% | 2,242,598 | 41.7% | 935,163 | 24.1% | 540,466 | 21.0% | 470,946 | |||
TK | 대구 | 2,024,624 | 4,258,236 | 83.2% | 1,684,487 | 3,542,852 | 27.3% | 459,865 | 32.6% | 549,143 | 22.0% | 370,587 |
경북 | 2,233,612 | 83.2% | 1,858,365 | 27.3% | 507,334 | 32.6% | 605,827 | 22.0% | 408,840 | |||
충청권 | 대전 | 1,213,250 | 4,330,911 | 82.3% | 998,505 | 3,564,340 | 50.0% | 499,252 | 30.1% | 300,550 | 7.8% | 77,883 |
충북 | 1,281,557 | 82.3% | 1,054,721 | 50.0% | 527,361 | 30.1% | 317,471 | 7.8% | 82,268 | |||
충남 | 1,670,478 | 82.3% | 1,374,803 | 50.0% | 687,402 | 30.1% | 413,816 | 7.8% | 107,235 | |||
세종 | 165,626 | 82.3% | 136,310 | 50.0% | 68,155 | 30.1% | 41,029 | 7.8% | 10,632 | |||
호남권 | 광주 | 1,154,893 | 4,236,397 | 81.9% | 945,857 | 3,469,609 | 51.9% | 490,900 | 36.9% | 349,021 | 2.7% | 25,538 |
전북 | 1,515,768 | 81.9% | 1,241,414 | 51.9% | 644,294 | 36.9% | 458,082 | 2.7% | 33,518 | |||
전남 | 1,565,736 | 81.9% | 1,282,338 | 51.9% | 665,533 | 36.9% | 473,183 | 2.7% | 34,623 | |||
기타 | 강원 | 1,269,208 | 1,759,886 | 76.1% | 965,867 | 1,339,273 | 42.7% | 412,425 | 28.4% | 274,306 | 15.6% | 150,675 |
제주 | 490,678 | 76.1% | 373,406 | 42.7% | 159,444 | 28.4% | 106,047 | 15.6% | 58,251 | |||
계 | 41,951,015 | 41,951,015 | 80.9% | 33,920,454 | 33,920,454 | 43.2% | 14,668,051 | 31.2% | 10,593,983 | 11.5% | 3,887,645 |
권역 | 지역 | 20대총선 | 권역별 | 보정 | 투표수 | 권역별 | 문재인 | 득표수 | 안철수 | 득표수 | 홍준표 | 득표수 |
수도권 | 서울 | 8,427,412 | 20,768,183 | 79.8% | 6,725,075 | 16,548,328 | 43.7% | 2,938,858 | 32.1% | 2,158,749 | 9.3% | 625,432 |
경기 | 9,969,097 | 79.6% | 7,935,401 | 44.1% | 3,499,512 | 32.9% | 2,610,747 | 7.7% | 611,026 | |||
인천 | 2,371,674 | 79.6% | 1,887,853 | 44.1% | 832,543 | 32.9% | 621,103 | 7.7% | 145,365 | |||
PK | 부산 | 2,952,212 | 6,597,402 | 82.7% | 2,441,479 | 5,456,051 | 41.7% | 1,018,097 | 24.1% | 588,397 | 21.0% | 512,711 |
울산 | 933,463 | 82.7% | 771,974 | 41.7% | 321,913 | 24.1% | 186,046 | 21.0% | 162,115 | |||
경남 | 2,711,727 | 82.7% | 2,242,598 | 41.7% | 935,163 | 24.1% | 540,466 | 21.0% | 470,946 | |||
TK | 대구 | 2,024,624 | 4,258,236 | 83.2% | 1,684,487 | 3,542,852 | 27.3% | 459,865 | 32.6% | 549,143 | 22.0% | 370,587 |
경북 | 2,233,612 | 83.2% | 1,858,365 | 27.3% | 507,334 | 32.6% | 605,827 | 22.0% | 408,840 | |||
충청권 | 대전 | 1,213,250 | 4,330,911 | 82.3% | 998,505 | 3,564,340 | 50.0% | 499,252 | 30.1% | 300,550 | 7.8% | 77,883 |
충북 | 1,281,557 | 82.3% | 1,054,721 | 50.0% | 527,361 | 30.1% | 317,471 | 7.8% | 82,268 | |||
충남 | 1,670,478 | 82.3% | 1,374,803 | 50.0% | 687,402 | 30.1% | 413,816 | 7.8% | 107,235 | |||
세종 | 165,626 | 82.3% | 136,310 | 50.0% | 68,155 | 30.1% | 41,029 | 7.8% | 10,632 | |||
호남권 | 광주 | 1,154,893 | 4,236,397 | 81.9% | 945,857 | 3,469,609 | 51.9% | 490,900 | 36.9% | 349,021 | 2.7% | 25,538 |
전북 | 1,515,768 | 81.9% | 1,241,414 | 51.9% | 644,294 | 36.9% | 458,082 | 2.7% | 33,518 | |||
전남 | 1,565,736 | 81.9% | 1,282,338 | 51.9% | 665,533 | 36.9% | 473,183 | 2.7% | 34,623 | |||
기타 | 강원 | 1,269,208 | 1,759,886 | 76.1% | 965,867 | 1,339,273 | 42.7% | 412,425 | 28.4% | 274,306 | 15.6% | 150,675 |
제주 | 490,678 | 76.1% | 373,406 | 42.7% | 159,444 | 28.4% | 106,047 | 15.6% | 58,251 | |||
계 | 41,951,015 | 41,951,015 | 80.9% | 33,920,454 | 33,920,454 | 43.2% | 14,668,051 | 31.2% | 10,593,983 | 11.5% | 3,887,645 |
권역 | 지역 | 20대총선 | 권역별 | 보정 | 투표수 | 권역별 | 문재인 | 득표수 | 안철수 | 득표수 | 홍준표 | 득표수 |
수도권 | 서울 | 8,427,412 | 20,768,183 | 74.8% | 6,303,704 | 15,509,919 | 43.7% | 2,754,719 | 32.1% | 2,023,489 | 9.3% | 586,244 |
경기 | 9,969,097 | 74.6% | 7,436,946 | 44.1% | 3,279,693 | 32.9% | 2,446,755 | 7.7% | 572,645 | |||
인천 | 2,371,674 | 74.6% | 1,769,269 | 44.1% | 780,248 | 32.9% | 582,089 | 7.7% | 136,234 | |||
PK | 부산 | 2,952,212 | 6,597,402 | 77.7% | 2,293,869 | 5,126,181 | 41.7% | 956,543 | 24.1% | 552,822 | 21.0% | 481,712 |
울산 | 933,463 | 77.7% | 725,301 | 41.7% | 302,450 | 24.1% | 174,797 | 21.0% | 152,313 | |||
경남 | 2,711,727 | 77.7% | 2,107,012 | 41.7% | 878,624 | 24.1% | 507,790 | 21.0% | 442,472 | |||
TK | 대구 | 2,024,624 | 4,258,236 | 78.2% | 1,583,256 | 3,329,941 | 27.3% | 432,229 | 32.6% | 516,141 | 22.0% | 348,316 |
경북 | 2,233,612 | 78.2% | 1,746,685 | 27.3% | 476,845 | 32.6% | 569,419 | 22.0% | 384,271 | |||
충청권 | 대전 | 1,213,250 | 4,330,911 | 77.3% | 937,842 | 3,347,794 | 50.0% | 468,921 | 30.1% | 282,291 | 7.8% | 73,152 |
충북 | 1,281,557 | 77.3% | 990,644 | 50.0% | 495,322 | 30.1% | 298,184 | 7.8% | 77,270 | |||
충남 | 1,670,478 | 77.3% | 1,291,279 | 50.0% | 645,640 | 30.1% | 388,675 | 7.8% | 100,720 | |||
세종 | 165,626 | 77.3% | 128,029 | 50.0% | 64,014 | 30.1% | 38,537 | 7.8% | 9,986 | |||
호남권 | 광주 | 1,154,893 | 4,236,397 | 76.9% | 888,113 | 3,257,789 | 51.9% | 460,931 | 36.9% | 327,714 | 2.7% | 23,979 |
전북 | 1,515,768 | 76.9% | 1,165,626 | 51.9% | 604,960 | 36.9% | 430,116 | 2.7% | 31,472 | |||
전남 | 1,565,736 | 76.9% | 1,204,051 | 51.9% | 624,902 | 36.9% | 444,295 | 2.7% | 32,509 | |||
기타 | 강원 | 1,269,208 | 1,759,886 | 71.1% | 902,407 | 1,251,279 | 42.7% | 385,328 | 28.4% | 256,284 | 15.6% | 140,775 |
제주 | 490,678 | 71.1% | 348,872 | 42.7% | 148,968 | 28.4% | 99,080 | 15.6% | 54,424 | |||
계 | 41,951,015 | 41,951,015 | 75.9% | 31,822,904 | 31,822,904 | 43.2% | 13,760,337 | 31.2% | 9,938,478 | 11.5% | 3,648,496 |