폭격기 호주가 B-2를 도입하는 게 어떠냐는 ASPI의 제안

[위종민]

호주가 B-21이 아니라, 곧 퇴역할 B-2를 핵무기운용능력 제거 후 도입하는 게 어떠냐는 제안을 하네요. 핵잠수함 대신 B-2라면 거의 동일한 억지력을 발휘할 수 있을 것 같긴 합니다만, 전시 기습공격에 취약하긴 하겠네요. 

호주, B-2 스피릿 폭격기 도입 검토… 장거리 타격 능력 강화 모색

호주 전략정책연구소(ASPI)의 최근 보고서에 따르면, 호주는 미국의 B-2A 스피릿 스텔스 폭격기를 도입하여 장거리 타격 능력을 강화하는 방안을 검토하고 있습니다. 이는 중국 해군의 최근 호주 해역 순항 등 지역 안보 환경의 변화에 대응하기 위한 조치로, 기존의 F-35A 및 F/A-18F 전투기가 장거리 작전 수행에 한계를 보이기 때문입니다.​The Strategist

B-2A는 2022년 AGM-158B JASSM-ER 장거리 정밀유도미사일과 통합되었으며, 2024년 RIMPAC 훈련에서는 해상 타격 능력을 입증하였습니다. 그러나 미국은 현재까지 B-2A를 해외에 수출한 적이 없으며, 제한된 기체 수와 핵무기 운용 능력 등으로 인해 수출에 제약이 있습니다.​The Strategist

호주가 B-2A를 도입하려면 미국과의 협의가 필요하며, 핵무기 운용 시스템을 비활성화하는 등의 조치가 요구됩니다. 또한, B-2A의 유지보수 및 운용 비용이 상당하여 방위비 증액이 필요할 수 있습니다.​

보고서는 호주가 B-2A를 도입함으로써 미국의 B-21 레이더 폭격기 도입 전까지 공백을 메우고, 향후 B-21 도입 시 전환을 용이하게 할 수 있다고 제안합니다. 이를 위해 호주는 미국과의 긴밀한 협력을 통해 기술 이전 및 운용 지원 체계를 구축해야 할 것으로 보입니다.

The Spirit for Australia: why Canberra should pursue the B-2 bomber | The Strategist

The Spirit for Australia: why Canberra should pursue the B-2 bomber | The Strategist

The Spirit for Australia: why Canberra should pursue the B-2 bomber

17 Apr 2025|Euan Graham and Linus Cohen

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China’s recent naval circumnavigation of Australia has highlighted a pressing need to defend Australia’s air and sea approaches more effectively. Potent as nuclear submarines are, the first Australian boats under AUKUS are at least seven years away. Air power is well-positioned to fill the gap in Australia’s long-range strike capability: it has clear advantages over submarines and ships in terms of its responsiveness in the maritime strike role.

But the F-35A Lightning and F/A-18F Super Hornet lack the necessary range, and Australia has not fielded a bomber since the F-111 was retired in 2010. No new candidate aircraft has been identified as available for purchase on a timeline that is relevant or on a budget within Australia’s means.

Solving this problem requires imagination from Australia as well as its key ally, the United States. Fortunately, there is a solution at hand, but, like the aircraft itself, it is not easy to detect. As unlikely as it sounds, Australia should pursue acquisition of US B-2A Spirit bombers, and it has a narrow opportunity to do so.

Australia, to be clear, would be acquiring the B-2A as a fully sovereign capability, to boost its deterrent and war-fighting capabilities, with China’s strategic challenge primarily in mind. The US would also gain by further enabling a close ally to make a stabilising contribution to the regional balance of power, through a significant augmentation to its air power, alongside the development of undersea and other capabilities via AUKUS.

The B-2A is well suited to meet Australia’s capability requirements in terms of range, payload and stand-alone platform survivability. There are indications that the B-2A is already transitioning to a long-range precision strike role—delivering such weapons as the AGM-158B JASSM-ER, with which it was integrated in 2022. Maritime strike was a particular focus of the B-2A’s participation in last year’s RIMPAC exercises, when it demonstrated the use of modified JDAM gravity bombs as low-cost ship-sinkers. These are capabilities the Royal Australian Air Force already fields.

Obviously, Australia would need to clear some major obstacles to acquire the B-2A.

First, the US has never before entertained exporting the Spirit, given its limited numbers (only 18 remain) and proprietary technology. Second, Australia would be concentrating a multi-billion-dollar investment into very few platforms, just when the Australian Defence Force arguably needs to pivot away from exquisite capabilities and inject greater mass, depth and risk-worthiness into its order of battle. Third, the B-2A serves the US Air Force in a nuclear as well as conventional delivery role, which would have to be reconciled with Australia’s prohibition on possessing nuclear weapons. Finally, Australian critics of the Trump administration would pillory such an acquisition as foolhardy, at a time when doubts about Washington’s political reliability as an ally are peaking.

Without dismissing these drawbacks, there is a pathway for Australia to acquire a viable B-2A bomber capability and on a timeline that is relevant to its strategic needs. And the window of opportunity is relatively slim—requiring decisive action by Canberra within the next couple of years.

Why Not Other Aircraft?

What about other options? There are really only three other avenues, all with significant downsides: buying into the US’s future B-21 Raider program, acquiring B-1B Lancer bombers as they are retired from the USAF, or trying to tie into the British-Italian-Japanese GCAP fighter effort.

While it would provide a capability for the long term, the problem with the B-21 option for Australia is that it conflicts with the USAF’s overriding need to recapitalise its own bomber force. It would therefore not be available until well into the 2030s—if at all. Cost is another factor, at an estimated US$16-18 billion for a squadron of 12. And while the B-21 remains laudably on track, indeed under-budget in the FY25 appropriations request, the potential for cost overruns and delays remains.

The main advantage of pressing used USAF B-1Bs into Australian service is that the Lancers are flying now and are already configured for anti-ship missions. The major downside is that the RAAF would have to assume the full burden for the B-1B’s sustainment while the USAF pivots resources to the B-21. Designed for an operational lifespan of 8,000-10,000 flying hours, the B-1Bs now average above 12,000 hours because of the aircraft’s extensive use as a loitering close air-support platform in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the USAF has retired them from all but short-duration missions. While statistics on flying hours aren’t publicly available for the B-2A, the USAF has been much more sparing with them than the B-1B. Australia would be investing in the B-1B at the point of sharply diminishing returns.

The GCAP joint venture aircraft, while not strictly a bomber is likely to be large enough to be considered in the long-range strike role. Australian interest in the program is rising and GCAP is likely to be more affordable than the B-21. But it may not be available on a significantly more favorable timeline, and there is a constant concern that the multi-national nature of the program could lead to delays or spiraling costs.

Meanwhile, the Spirit is already on borrowed time in USAF service, as it will be retired (along with the B-1B) in the early 2030s in order to accommodate the transition to the B-21 without expanding the overall size of Global Strike Command. Although a precise date is difficult to identify, provided the B-21 rollout proceeds smoothly, the USAF could potentially start retiring B-2As at the end of this decade without reducing its overall bomber fleet. (While the USAF has previously stated it could keep the B-2As flying into the 2040s, Northrop Grumman’s $7 billion contract for B-2A maintenance and support concludes at the end of 2029.)

Retiring the B-1B and B-2A in parallel (the venerable B-52 will be retained in service) creates an expensive and burdensome disposal problem for the USAF. Framed in this context, an Australian pitch to buy eight or more B-2As could be well received by both the USAF and the Trump administration, which has emphasized the need for stepped-up burden sharing from allies.

How This Could Work

Make no mistake, this would be a costly effort, one that would have to come as part of a significant uplift in defense spending, to closer to 3 percent of GDP, from roughly 2 percent GDP today. But if the government is willing to do that, then there are mutual benefits for both Canberra and Washington.

Australia has upgraded several air bases to support regular deployments of USAF bombers and other combat aircraft, and B-2As have already operated from Australia, albeit on short-term detachments. An Australian base in the Northern Territory was used to support a B-2A strike mission against Houthi targets in Yemen last October, most likely for refueling.

Future B-2A deployments to Australia could be scaled up, to further explore the practical challenges of maintaining and sustaining these aircraft here. Deep maintenance might still have to be done in the US, and Australia would need to support that part of any agreement. But as the USAF transitions towards the B-21, Australia could incrementally take on more of the funding for B-2A maintenance, easing the cost on American taxpayers. Assuming some overlap in the sustainment footprint between the B-2A and B-21, the RAAF and USAF could also develop shared support facilities in Australia for Spirits transferring into Australian service as sovereign assets as well as for B-21s which the USAF could begin to forward deploy to Australia around the same time. This promises economies of scale within an alliance framework.

While the B-2A would be a stopgap capability for Australia, a further advantage of operating it is that it would provide the RAAF with a pathway to transitioning to the B-21, if it eventually becomes available in sufficient numbers for the US to consider exporting it to Canberra.

To assuage anti-nuclear concerns in Australia, the systems that allow the B-2A to carry nuclear weapons could be disabled through software changes that conform to RAAF standards. Similarly, adapting the B-2A for anti-ship weapons, such as the AGM-158C LRASM, could be done without insurmountable delays.

All this would require a major Australian diplomatic effort to persuade Washington that it can be trusted to safeguard such highly prized stealth and other technologies via a foreign military sale. But the precedent created by AUKUS, Australia’s subsequent ITAR carve-outs and the existing, close relationship between the RAAF and USAF would do much to make this transfer practicable.

Yes, it’s wildly ambitious. Yes, the hurdles to making this happen may simply be too many to overcome. But now is the time for Canberra to be contemplating bold moves, and convincing the US to sell the B-2A would transform Australia’s defense posture on a significantly faster timeline—an effort worth pursuing to meet the gathering threats.

Author

Euan Graham is a senior analyst and Linus Cohen a research intern at ASPI. This article was originally published in Breaking Defense.

Image (top) of two USAF B-2A Spirits and two F-22 Raptors with an E-7A Wedgetail, two EA-18G Growlers and two F-35A Lightnings of the RAAF: Flight Sergeant Christopher Dickson/Department of Defence.

Image (middle) of a USAF B-2A departing from RAAF Amberley: Corporal Keiren Whiteley/Department of Defence.

[백선호]

B-2는 이스라엘도 원할 것 같네요. 이란 핵시설 치려고...

https://cafe.daum.net/NTDS/5q3/839

[위종민]

B-21 취역하면 boneyard로 갈 것 같긴 한데, 진짜 판다면 손 들 국가들은 많겠죠... ㅎㅎㅎ