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[아카데미 수상 다큐 -인사이드 잡] 투자자들이 알아야 할 월가와 Fed의 실체
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZldDU20aiQ
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[Music]
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the regulators didn't do their job
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they they had the power to do every case
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that i made when our state attorney
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general they just didn't want it
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september 2008 the bankruptcy of the u.s
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investment bank lehman brothers and the
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collapse of the world's largest
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insurance company
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aig triggered a global financial crisis
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this crisis was not an accident it was
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caused by an out-of-control
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industry since the 1980s the rise of the
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u.s financial sector
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has led to a series of increasingly
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severe financial crises
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each crisis has caused more damage
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while the industry has made more and
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more money
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after the great depression the united
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states had 40 years of economic growth
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without a single financial crisis
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financial industry was tightly regulated
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most regular banks were local businesses
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and they were prohibited from
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speculating with depositors savings
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in 1981 president ronald reagan chose as
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treasury secretary
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the ceo of the investment bank merrill
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lynch donald regan
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the reagan administration supported by
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economists and financial lobbyists
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started a 30-year period of financial
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deregulation
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in 1982 the reagan administration
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deregulated savings and loan companies
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allowing them to make risky investments
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with their depositors money
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by the end of the decade hundreds of
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savings and loan companies had failed
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this crisis cost taxpayers 124 billion
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dollars
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and cost many people their life savings
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it may be the biggest bank heist
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in our history thousands of savings and
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loan executives went to jail for looting
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their companies
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one of the most extreme cases was
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charles keating
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in 1985 when federal regulators began
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investigating him
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keating hired an economist named alan
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greenspan
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in this letter to regulators greenspan
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praised keating's sound business plans
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and expertise
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and said he saw no risk in allowing
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keating to invest his customers money
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[Music]
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keating reportedly paid greenspan forty
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thousand dollars
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[Music]
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charles keating went to prison shortly
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afterwards
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as for alan greenspan president reagan
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appointed him chairman of america's
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central bank
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the federal reserve greenspan was
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reappointed
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by presidents clinton and george w bush
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during the clinton administration
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deregulation continued under greenspan
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and treasury secretaries robert rubin
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the former ceo of the investment
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bank goldman sachs and larry summers
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a harvard economics professor the
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financial sector wall street being
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powerful
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having lobbies having lots of money step
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by step
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capture the political system you know
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both on the democratic and republican
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side
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by the late 1990s the financial sector
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had consolidated into a few gigantic
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firms
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each of them so large that their failure
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could threaten the whole system
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and the clinton administration helped
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them grow even larger
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it's the end the cold war a lot of
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phys former physicists mathematicians
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decided to
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apply their skills not on you know cold
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war technology
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but on financial markets and uh together
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with investment bankers and
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creating different weapons absolutely
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you know as warren buffett said you know
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weapons of mass destruction regulation
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of derivatives transactions that are
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privately negotiated
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by professionals is unnecessary that it
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will be possible to
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move this year on legislation that in a
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suitable way
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goes to create legal certainty for
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otc derivatives
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i wish to associate myself with
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all of the remarks of secretary summers
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in december of 2000
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congress passed the commodity futures
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modernization act
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written with the help of financial
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industry lobbyists it banned the
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regulation of derivatives
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by the time george w bush took office in
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2001
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the u.s financial sector was vastly more
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profitable
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concentrated and powerful than ever
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before
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in the old system when a homeowner paid
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their mortgage every month
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the money went to their local lender and
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since mortgages took decades to repay
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lenders were careful in the new system
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lenders sold the mortgages to investment
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banks
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the investment banks combined thousands
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of mortgages and other loans
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including car loans student loans and
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credit card debt
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to create complex derivatives called
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collateralized debt obligations
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or cdos the investment banks
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then sold the cdos to investors
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now when homeowners paid their mortgages
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the money went to investors all over the
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world
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the investment banks paid rating
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agencies to evaluate the cdos
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and many of them were given a triple a
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rating which is the highest possible
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investment grade
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this made cdos popular with retirement
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funds
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which could only purchase highly rated
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securities
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this system was a ticking time bomb
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lenders didn't care anymore about
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whether a borrower could repay
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so they started making riskier loans the
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investment banks didn't care either
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the more cdos they sold the higher their
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profits
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and the rating agencies which were paid
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by the investment banks
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had no liability if their ratings of
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cdos proved wrong
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in the early 2000s there was a huge
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increase in the riskiest loans called
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subprime but when thousands of subprime
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loans were combined to create cdos
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many of them still received triple a
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ratings
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suddenly hundreds of billions of dollars
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a year were flowing through the
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securitization chain
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since anyone could get a mortgage home
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purchases and housing prices
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skyrocketed the result was the biggest
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financial bubble
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in history real estate is real they can
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see their asset
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they can live in their asset they can
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rent out their asset
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through the home ownership and equity
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protection act the federal reserve board
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had broad authority to regulate the
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mortgage industry
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but fed chairman alan greenspan refused
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to use it
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the ratio between borrowed money and the
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bank's own money
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was called leverage the more the banks
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borrowed
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the higher their leverage
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in 2004 henry paulsen the ceo of goldman
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sachs
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helped lobby the securities and exchange
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commission to relax limits on leverage
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allowing the banks to sharply increase
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their borrowing
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in 2005 ragurum rajan then the chief
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economist of the international monetary
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fund
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delivered a paper at the annual jackson
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hole symposium
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the most elite banking conference in the
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world who is in the audience
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it was uh i guess the central bankers of
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the world
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um ranging from mr greenspan himself
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ben bernanke larry summers was there
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tim geithner was there the title of the
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paper was essentially
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is financial development making the
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world riskier
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and the conclusion was um it is
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rajan's paper focused on incentive
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structures that generated huge cash
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bonuses
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based on short-term profits but which
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imposed no penalties for later losses
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rajan argued that these incentives
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encouraged bankers to take risks that
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might eventually destroy their own firms
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or even the entire financial system
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it's very easy to generate performance
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by taking on more risk
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and so what you need to do is compensate
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for risk-adjusted performance
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summers was was vocal
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he basically thought that i was
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criticizing the
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change in the financial world and was
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worried
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about uh you know regulation which would
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reverse this whole
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change so essentially he accused me of
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being a luddite
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he wanted to make sure that we didn't
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bring in a whole new set of regulations
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to constrain the financial sector at
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that point
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[Music]
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goldman sachs sold at least 3.1 billion
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dollars worth of these toxic cdos in the
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first half of 2006.
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the ceo of goldman sachs at this time
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was henry paulsen
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the highest paid ceo on wall street
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good morning welcome to the white house
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i'm pleased to announce that i will
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nominate henry paulsen
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to be the secretary of the treasury he's
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a lifetime of business experience he has
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an intimate knowledge of financial
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markets
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he's earned a reputation for candor and
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integrity
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the article came out in october of 2007.
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already a third of the mortgages
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defaulted
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now uh most of them are gone
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one group that had purchased these now
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worthless securities
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was the public employees retirement
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system of mississippi
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which provides monthly benefits to over
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80 000 retirees
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they lost millions of dollars and are
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now suing goldman sachs
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by late 2006 goldman had taken things a
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step further
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it didn't just sell toxic cdos it
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started actively betting against them at
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the same time it was telling customers
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that they were high quality investments
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by purchasing credit default swaps from
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aig
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goldman could bet against cdos it didn't
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own
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and get paid when the cdos failed
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goldman sachs bought at least 22 billion
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dollars of credit default swaps from aig
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it was so much that goldman realized
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that aig itself
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might go bankrupt so they spent 150
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million dollars
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insuring themselves against aig's
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potential collapse
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then in 2007 goldman went even further
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they started selling cdos specifically
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designed so that the more money their
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customers lost
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the more money goldman sachs made
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600 million dollars of timberwolf
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securities is what you sold
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before you sold them this is what your
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sales team were telling to each other
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boy
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that timberwolf was one shitty deal
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this was an email to me in late june
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right and you stole the timberwolves no
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no you sold timberwolf
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after as well we did trades after that
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yeah
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okay the next email take a look july 107
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tells the sales force the top priority
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is timberwolf
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your top priority to sell is that shitty
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deal
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if you have an adverse interest to your
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client you have the duty to disclose
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that to your client
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to tell that client of your adverse
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interest that's my question sure mr
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chairman i'm just
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trying to understand no i think you
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understand that i don't think you want
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to answer what do you think about
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selling securities what your own people
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think are
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crap does that bother you
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i think they would again as a
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hypothetical
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no this is real well then i don't we
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heard it today well
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we heard it today this is a shitty deal
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this is crap i i heard nothing today
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that makes me think anything went wrong
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is there not a conflict when you sell
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something
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to somebody and then are determined
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to bet against that same security
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and you don't disclose that to the
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person you're selling
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you see a problem in the context of
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market making that is not a conflict
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when you heard that your employees and
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these emails said god what a shitty deal
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god what a piece of crap do you feel
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anything
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i i think that's very unfortunate to
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have on email are you
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and very unfortunate i don't i don't
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email to please don't take that how
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about
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feeling that way i think it's very
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unfortunate for anyone to have said that
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in any form the lawsuit alleges that
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morgan stanley knew that the cdos were
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junk
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although they were rated aaa morgan
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stanley was betting they would fail
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a year later morgan stanley had made
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hundreds of millions of dollars
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while the investors had lost almost all
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of their money
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you would have thought that pension
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funds would have said those are
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subprime why am i buying them
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and they had these guys at moody's and
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standard emporers who said that's a
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triple-a
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none of these securities got issued
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without the imprimatur
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you know the good housekeeping seal of
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approval of the rating agencies the
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three rating agencies
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moody's s p and fitch
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made billions of dollars giving high
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ratings to risky securities
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moody's the largest rating agency
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quadrupled its profits
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between 2000 and 2007.
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moody's and s p get compensated based on
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putting out ratings reports and the more
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structured securities they gave a
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triple-a rating to the higher their
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earnings were going to be for the
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quarter
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[Music]
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what is the worst case scenario if in
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fact we were to see
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prices come down substantially across
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the country
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well i guess i don't buy your premise
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it's a pretty unlikely possibility we've
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never had a decline in house prices
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on a nationwide nationwide basis ben
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bernanke became chairman of the federal
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reserve board in february 2006.
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the top year for subprime lending
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but despite numerous warnings bernanke
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and the federal reserve board
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did nothing as early as 2004
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the fbi was already warning about an
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epidemic of mortgage fraud
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they reported inflated appraisals
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doctored loan documentation
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and other fraudulent activities they
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keep growing okay
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and obviously i'll say it if you
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keep if you're growing you're not in
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recession right i mean we
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we all know that
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nothing about our actions today in any
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way reflects a changed view
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of the housing correction or the
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strength of other u.s
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financial institutions two days later
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lehman brothers announced record losses
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of 3.2 billion dollars
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and its stock collapsed
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paulson and bernanke had not consulted
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with other governments
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and didn't understand the consequences
15:45
of foreign bankruptcy laws
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neiman brothers london continued to
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empty that under british law
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lehman's london office had to be closed
15:53
immediately
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all transactions came to a halt and
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there are thousands of thousands and
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thousands of transactions
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the hedge funds who had had assets with
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lehman in london
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discovered overnight to their complete
16:04
horror that they couldn't get those
16:06
assets back
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lehmann's failure also caused a collapse
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in the commercial paper market
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which many companies depend on to pay
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for operating expenses
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such as payroll that same week aig
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owed 13 billion dollars to holders of
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credit default swaps
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and it didn't have the money aig was
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another hub
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if aig had stopped you know all planes
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may have to be
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you know stopped flying on september
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17th aig is taken over by the government
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and one day later paulson and bernanke
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asked congress for 700 billion dollars
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to bail out the banks coming together
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they warned that the alternative
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would be a catastrophic financial
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collapse the hand that was dealt me
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a lot of what i'm dealing with you know
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i'm dealing with the consequences of
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things that were done
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often many years ago secretary paulson
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spoke throughout the fall
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and all the potential root causes of
16:59
this and there are plenty
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he called him uh so i i'm not sure
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you're not being serious about that i am
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being serious
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what would you have expected uh what
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what were you looking for that you
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didn't see
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he was the senior advocate
17:13
for prohibiting the regulation of credit
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default swaps
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and also lifting the leverage limits on
17:20
the investment banks
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so again he mentioned those things i
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never heard him mention those things
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could we turn this off for a second when
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aig was bailed out
17:31
the owners of its credit default swaps
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the most prominent of which was goldman
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sachs
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were paid 61 billion dollars the next
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day
17:40
paulson bernanke and tim geithner forced
17:42
aig
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to pay 100 cents on the dollar rather
17:46
than negotiate lower prices
17:48
eventually the aig bailout cost
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taxpayers over 150 billion dollars
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160 billion dollars went through aig
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14 billion went to goldman sachs at the
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same time
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paulson and geithner forced aig to
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surrender its right to sue goldman and
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the other banks
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for fraud isn't there a problem when the
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person
18:11
in charge of dealing with this crisis is
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the former ceo of goldman sachs someone
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who had a major role in causing it
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well i think it's fair to say that the
18:21
financial markets today
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are incredibly complicated
18:27
the men who destroyed their own
18:28
companies and plunged the world into
18:30
crisis
18:31
walked away from the wreckage with their
18:32
fortunes intact
18:34
the top five executives at lehman
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brothers made over a billion dollars
18:38
between 2000
18:39
and 2007 and when the firm went bankrupt
18:43
they got to keep all the money stan
18:45
o'neil
18:46
the ceo of merrill lynch received 90
18:49
million dollars in 2006 and 2007 alone
18:52
after driving his firm into the ground
18:55
merrill lynch's board of directors
18:56
allowed him to resign
18:57
and he collected 161 million dollars in
19:00
severance
19:01
in the u.s the banks are now bigger more
19:04
powerful
19:05
and more concentrated than ever before
19:09
after the crisis the financial industry
19:11
harder than ever to fight reform
19:14
the financial sector employs three
19:16
thousand lobbyists
19:17
more than five for each member of
19:19
congress
19:21
the financial industry also exerts its
19:23
influence in a more subtle way
19:25
one that most americans don't know about
19:30
it has corrupted the study of economics
19:32
itself
19:33
since the 1980s academic economists have
19:36
been major advocates of deregulation
19:39
and played powerful roles in shaping u.s
19:41
government policy
19:43
very few of these economic experts
19:45
warned about the crisis
19:47
and even after the crisis many of them
19:49
opposed reform
19:51
martin feldstein is a professor at
19:53
harvard and one of the world's most
19:55
prominent economists
19:56
as president reagan's chief economic
19:58
advisor he was a major architect of
20:00
deregulation
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and from 1988 until 2009
20:05
he was on the board of directors of both
20:07
aig
20:08
and aig financial products which paid
20:11
him millions of dollars
20:13
you have any regrets about having been
20:16
on aig's
20:17
no comments no i have no regrets about
20:19
being on aig's board taught at
20:21
northwestern chicago harvard and
20:23
columbia
20:24
glenn hubbard is the dean of columbia
20:26
business school
20:27
and was the chairman of the council of
20:29
economic advisors under george w
20:31
bush do you think the financial services
20:34
industry has too much
20:35
uh political power in the united states
20:39
i don't think so no i certainly you
20:41
certainly wouldn't
20:42
get that impression by the drubbing that
20:44
they regularly get
20:45
uh in washington were ralph chiafi and
20:48
matthew tannen
20:50
bear stearns hedge fund managers
20:52
prosecuted for securities fraud
20:54
after hiring the analysis group both
20:56
were acquitted
20:58
glenn hubbard was paid 100 000 to
21:00
testify in their defense
21:03
do you think that the economics
21:05
discipline has
21:07
a conflict of interest problem
21:10
i'm not sure i know what you mean do you
21:12
think that a significant fraction of the
21:14
economics discipline number of
21:16
economists
21:17
have financial conflicts of interest
21:19
that
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in some way might call into question or
21:22
color oh i see what you're saying i
21:23
doubt it you know most academic
21:25
economists uh you know aren't wealthy
21:28
business people hubbard makes 250 000
21:32
a year as a board member of metlife and
21:34
was formerly on the board of capmark
21:36
a major commercial mortgage lender
21:38
during the bubble which went bankrupt in
21:40
2009.
21:42
he has also advised nomura securities
21:44
kkr financial corporation
21:46
and many other financial firms
21:49
larry summers who as treasury secretary
21:52
played a critical role in the
21:53
deregulation of derivatives
21:55
became president of harford in 2001.
21:58
while at harvard he made millions
22:00
consulting to hedge funds
22:02
and millions more in speaking fees much
22:04
of it from investment banks
22:07
does harvard require disclosures of
22:09
financial conflict of interest in
22:10
publications
22:12
um not to my knowledge do you
22:15
require people to report the
22:17
compensation they've received from
22:19
outside activities
22:20
no don't you think that's a problem i
22:22
don't see wrong
22:24
martin feldstein being on the board of
22:25
aig laura tyson going on the board of
22:27
morgan stanley uh larry summers making
22:30
10 million dollars a year consulting to
22:31
financial services firms
22:33
irrelevant hmm yep uh yeah
22:37
basically irrelevant you've written a
22:39
very large number of articles about
22:41
a very wide array of subjects you never
22:44
saw fit
22:44
to investigate the risks of unregulated
22:48
credit fault swaps
22:50
i never did same question with regard to
22:53
executive compensation
22:55
uh the regulation of corporate
22:57
governance the effect of
22:59
political contributions i don't know
23:01
that i would have anything to add
23:03
to those discussions i'm looking at your
23:06
resume now it looks to me as if the
23:09
majority
23:10
of your outside activities are
23:13
uh consulting and directorship
23:14
arrangements with the financial services
23:16
industry is that
23:17
would you not agree with that
23:18
characterization no to my knowledge i
23:20
don't think my consulting clients are
23:22
even on my cv
23:23
so uh who are your consulting clients i
23:26
don't believe i have to discuss that
23:27
with you
23:28
okay uh you have a few more minutes and
23:32
the
23:32
interview's over they include other
23:34
financial services firms
23:37
possibly you don't remember
23:40
this isn't a deposition sir i was polite
23:42
enough to give you time
23:43
foolishly i now see but you have three
23:45
more minutes
23:47
give it your best shot in 2004
23:50
at the height of the bubble glenn
23:52
hubbard co-authored a widely read paper
23:54
with william c
23:55
dudley the chief economist of goldman
23:57
sachs
23:59
in the paper hubbard praised credit
24:01
derivatives in the securitization chain
24:03
stating that they had improved
24:05
allocation of capital
24:06
and were enhancing financial stability
24:09
he cited reduced volatility in the
24:11
economy
24:12
and stated that recessions had become
24:14
less frequent and milder
24:16
credit derivatives were protecting banks
24:18
against losses and helping to distribute
24:21
risk
24:23
a medical researcher writes an article
24:26
saying
24:27
to treat this disease you should
24:29
prescribe this drug
24:32
turns out doctor makes 80 of personal
24:34
income
24:35
from manufacturer of this drug does not
24:37
bother you
24:38
i think it's certainly important to
24:40
disclose the
24:42
um the um
24:48
well i think that's also a little
24:50
different from cases that we're
24:52
talking about here because um
24:58
um
25:11
i first came to office i thought taxes
25:15
were too high
25:16
and they were the most dramatic change
25:18
was a series of tax cuts designed by
25:21
glenn hubbard
25:22
who at the time was serving as president
25:23
bush's chief economic advisor
25:27
the bush administration sharply reduced
25:29
taxes on investment gains
25:31
stock dividends and eliminated the
25:33
estate tax we had a comprehensive plan
25:36
that when acted has left nearly 1.1
25:38
trillion dollars in the hands of
25:40
american workers families investors and
25:42
small business owners
25:44
most of the benefits of these tax cuts
25:46
went to the wealthiest one percent of
25:48
americans
25:52
for the first time in history average
25:54
americans have less education
25:56
and are less prosperous than their
25:58
parents
26:02
the era of greed and irresponsibility on
26:05
wall street
26:07
and in washington has led us to a
26:10
financial crisis as serious as any that
26:12
we faced
26:13
since the great depression when the
26:15
financial crisis struck just before the
26:17
2008 election
26:18
barack obama pointed to wall street
26:20
greed and regulatory failures
26:22
as examples of the need for change in
26:24
america a lack of oversight in
26:26
washington
26:27
and on wall street is exactly what got
26:29
us into this mess
26:31
after taking office president obama
26:34
spoke of the need to reform the
26:35
financial industry we want a systemic
26:37
risk regulator
26:38
increased capital requirements we need a
26:40
consumer financial protection agency we
26:43
need to change wall street's culture
26:45
but when finally enacted in mid 2010
26:48
the administration's financial reforms
26:50
were weak and in some critical areas
26:53
including the rating agencies lobbying
26:55
and compensation
26:57
nothing significant was even proposed
27:00
there's very little reform how come
27:06
it's a wall street government
27:10
obama chose timothy geithner as treasury
27:12
secretary
27:14
geithner was the president of the new
27:16
york federal reserve during the crisis
27:18
and one of the key players in the
27:19
decision to pay goldman sachs 100 cents
27:22
on the dollar
27:22
for its bets against mortgages the new
27:25
president of the new york fed is william
27:27
c
27:27
dudley the former chief economist of
27:29
goldman sachs
27:30
whose paper with glenn hubbard praised
27:32
derivatives
27:34
both martin feldstein and laura tyson
27:36
are members of obama's economic recovery
27:38
advisory board
27:40
and obama's chief economic advisor is
27:43
larry summers
27:46
the most senior economic advisors are
27:48
the very people who are there who built
27:50
the structure
27:51
the obama administration resisted
27:52
regulation of bank compensation
27:54
even as foreign leaders took action in
27:58
september of 2009
27:59
christine lagarde and the finance
28:01
ministers of sweden
28:02
the netherlands luxembourg italy spain
28:06
and germany called for the g20 nations
28:09
including the united states
28:10
to impose strict regulations on bank
28:12
compensation
28:14
and in july of 2010 the european
28:17
parliament
28:18
enacted those very regulations the obama
28:21
administration
28:22
had no response and that is why i am
28:25
reappointing him
28:26
to another term as chairman of the
28:28
federal reserve
28:29
thank you so much in 2009 barack obama
28:32
reappointed ben bernanke thank you mr
28:34
president
28:37
as of mid-2010 not a single senior
28:40
financial executive had been criminally
28:41
prosecuted
28:42
or even arrested no special prosecutor
28:45
had been appointed
28:47
not a single financial firm had been
28:48
prosecuted criminally
28:50
for securities fraud or accounting fraud
28:53
the obama administration has made no
28:55
attempt to recover any of the
28:56
compensation given to financial
28:58
executives during the bubble
29:02
for decades the american financial
29:04
system was stable and safe
29:07
but then something changed the financial
29:10
industry turned its back on society
29:13
corrupted our political system and
29:16
plunged the world economy into crisis
29:19
it won't be easy
29:21
[Music]
29:23
but some things are worth
29:35
foreign
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