차기 미국 국무부 장관의 친러시아 석유 코넥션?

[siberia emperor]

https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic-industry-and-energy/2016/12/these-are-rex-tillersons-assets-arctic-russia

클릭하세요

트럼프 미국 대통령당선자가   exxon mobil 회장

 Rex Tillerson을 미국 국무부장관으로 임명한다고

합니다.그는 러시아에

수십억달러(수조원)를 ㅊ투자하여 석유를 개발하고

생산하고있읍니다.

 아마도 러시아와 관계를 강화한후 중국을 견제하려는

전략인것같습니다.

아시아=조선에서는ㅇ 한국 중국 일본 모두우리나라입니다.

여기에서 매우흥미 있는 사실은 미국 대통령선거의

최종   승자가 록펠러 가문이라는 사실입니다.

그이유는 록펠러 가문으로서는 그의

며느리로 추정되는 힐라리 여사가 대통령이 되는 것이

가장  바람직 하겠지만 차선책으로 록펠러

가문의 심부름꾼 렉스 틸러슨회장이 미국

국무부 장관이되어 그들의 이익을 최대화하는데

크게 기여할 수있기 때문입니다(적어도 이익을

해치는 정책을 하지못하게 막을 수 있읍니다.)

개인적인 추측으로는 록펠러가 트럼프를부추겨서

대통령선거에 출마하도록 했다고 생각하지만

트럼프자신이 스스로 대통령선거에

출마한 경우라도 그는 전통적안 공화당

부시 케네디 가문을ㅇ 미국인들의 머리속에서

지워지도록하는데 크게기여했읍니다 .

(to be continued)

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(1)

http://www.hankyung.com/news/app/newsview.php?aid=2016121325931 

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미국 국무장관 내정된 틸러슨, 러 정부훈장 받은 '푸틴 절친'

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트럼프의 사람들 (5) 렉스 틸러슨 엑슨모빌 CEO

친러 성향, 상원 인준서 논란 일듯 
경제정책 조율 NEC 위원장에 골드만삭스 사장 게리 콘 지명

기사 이미지 보기

2011년 러시아 소치에서 에너지사업을 논의하기 위해 만난 렉스 틸러슨 엑슨모빌 CEO(왼쪽)와 블라디미르 푸틴 러시아 대통령. 소치AP연합뉴스

차기 도널드 트럼프 행정부의 초대 국무장관에 미국 최대 석유회사 엑슨모빌의 렉스 틸러슨 최고경영자(CEO·64)가 공식 내정됐다고 월스트리트저널(WSJ) 등 미 언론들이 13일(현지시간) 일제히 보도했다. 틸러슨은 블라디미르 푸틴 러시아 대통령과 친분이 각별한 인물이다. 

최근 대만 문제를 둘러싼 미·중 간 갈등 분위기를 감안했을 때 트럼프 당선자가 이번 인사로 ‘친(親)러-반(反)중’ 외교 노선을 가시화하는 것 아니냐는 관측을 낳고 있다.

텍사스주(州) 출신인 틸러슨은 1975년 엑슨모빌에 입사해 2006년 CEO에 올랐다. 그의 리더십 아래 엑슨모빌은 러시아 국영 석유회사 로스네프트와의 합작사업 등을 시작하며 러시아에 적극 진출했다. 러시아의 건강 및 사회보장 사업에도 많은 돈을 기부했다. 푸틴 대통령과 17년간 인연을 이어오고 있는 틸러슨은 2012년 러시아 정부로부터 ‘우정훈장(Order of Friendship)’을 받았다. 

틸러슨은 다른 외국 정상과도 광범위한 네트워크를 형성하고 있다. 엑슨모빌은 세계 50개국에서 사업을 벌이고 있다. 그러나 공직 경험이 전무하고 러시아와 너무 가깝다는 점 때문에 상원 인준 과정에서 집중적으로 견제받을 것으로 전망된다. 그는 러시아의 우크라이나 침공 후 서방 세계가 2014년부터 대(對)러시아 경제제재에 나설 때도 비판적 견해를 보였다. 

미국 중앙정보국(CIA)은 최근 ‘트럼프의 대통령 당선을 돕기 위해 러시아가 미국 대선에 개입했다’고 결론을 내렸다. 틸러슨 지명 시 상원 군사위원장인 존 매케인 의원(애리조나)과 린지 그레이엄 의원(사우스캐롤라이나) 등 공화당 의원들이 인준 반대를 주도할 것으로 전망된다. 틸러슨이 10명에 가까운 국무장관 후보군 중에 급부상한 데는 트럼프 당선자의 사위인 재러드 쿠슈너와 스티브 배넌 백악관 수석전략가 겸 선임고문 내정자의 강력한 추천이 작용했다고 뉴욕타임스가 보도했다.

윤영관 전 외교부 장관은 “트럼프 당선자가 ‘하나의 중국’ 원칙 무력화를 시사하며 중국과의 긴장 관계를 불사하면서 친(親)러시아 성향의 국무장관을 기용하는 것은 대만뿐 아니라 러시아도 중국과의 협상카드로 사용할 수 있다는 의도로 풀이된다”고 말했다.

한편 트럼프 당선자는 이날 차기 행정부에서 재무·상무장관과 함께 미 경제정책을 이끌어갈 백악관 국가경제위원회(NEC) 위원장에 투자은행 골드만삭스의 2인자인 게리 콘 사장 겸 최고운영책임자(COO·56)를 지명했다.

NEC 위원장은 한국의 청와대 경제수석에 해당하는 직책으로, 대통령에게 경제정책을 조언하고 각 경제부처 정책을 조율하는 역할을 한다. 콘은 1990년 골드만삭스에 입사해 채권과 상품 거래에서 두각을 나타냈다. 

워싱턴=박수진 특파원 psj@hankyung.com

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Vladimir Putin gives the Order of Friendship to Rex Tillerson in 2013. Photo: Kremlin.ru

These are Rex Tillerson’s assets in Arctic Russia

Stakes in licenses covering more than 700,000 square kilometers of Arctic waters, multi-billion dollar investments and a comprehensive cooperation agreement with state company Rosneft.

By

Atle Staalesen

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December 13, 2016

«With impatience, we are waiting for an opportunity to return to Russia», Tillerson told a Russian newspaper earlier this year. According to Lenta, the American oilman No 1 is ready to re-engage in Russia as soon as sanctions are lifted

That opportunity for re-engagement could come soon enough. When installed as Secretary of State in January, the powerful ExxonMobil leader will have the possibility to alter US-Russian relations and seek an end to the sanction regime which for the last two years has stalled international energy projects in the Russian Arctic.

ExxonMobil is among the foreign companies with the biggest stakes in the Russian North, and Tillerson is the man behind it all.

After having successfully developed the Sakhalin-1 project on Russia’s Pacific coast, the company in 2011 signed a comprehensive Arctic cooperation deal with Rosneft. That includes three huge licenses in the Kara Sea, as well as stakes in Western Siberian fields and a project in the Black Sea. In 2013, the cooperation was extended with another seven licenses in areas stretching from the Kara Sea to the Chukchi Sea. The total area covered by the Arctic licenses increased to more than 725,000 square kilometers.

An important milestone for the Russian-US partnership came just weeks before American and European authorities extended their sanctions on Russia in 2014. Then, the Norwegian-owned drilling rig «West Alpha» made a significant discovery in the partnership’s first well, the Unversitetskaya-1. The well holds more than 120 million tons of oil, results showed. 

Rosneft President Igor Sechin decided to name the field «Pobeda» (Victory). In a statement, Sechin said the operation was the result of joint efforts.

«This is our united victory, it was achieved thanks to our friends and partners from ExxonMobil, Nord Atlantic Drilling, Schlumberger, Halliburton, Weatherford, Baker, Trendsetter, FMC. We would like to name this field Pobeda,” Sechin underlined.

Russian President Putin granted the projects his full support. As the “West Alpha” spud the Unversitetskaya-1,  Putin in a direct televised transmission praised the good relationship with ExxonMobil.  

«Today, efficient international cooperation lies to the ground for commercial success, and the businesses, both Russian and foreign companies, perfectly well understand this», Putin underlined, a transcript reads.

«Irrespectively of the current troublesome political state of affairs, pragmatism and common sense prevails, and this is gratifying», he added. 

«In our opinion, this is a truly responsible, truly business-like approach, and only this approach can be productive».

The American company got a 33,3 percent stake in the project operating companies, among them Karmorneftegaz, the joint venture established for the development of the Kara Sea licenses. As part of the deals, Exxon took on costs for exploration.

That did not come cheap. According to unofficial estimates, costs for the drilling of the Pobeda well alone amounted to about $600 million.

More drilling was supposed to follow. License obligations include another 14 wells and significant 2D and 3D seismic mapping. That, however, was put on hold because of the sanctions. However, contacts between the companies did not stop. 

Over the last two years, significant parts of the companies’ joint license areas have been subjected to seismic mapping.

In addition, the two companies have together established the Arctic Research & Design Center, a St. Petersburg-based entity for research, development and technical services for Arctic oil and gas development. ExxonMobil pledged $200 million in funding for the center’s initial research work.

Resources are abundant. According to Igor Sechin, the oil resources of the Kara Sea alone exceed the ones of the Bay of Mexico, Brasilian shelf, Alaska and northern Canada and can be compared with the resources of Saudi Arabia.

( 3)

“A DIPLOMAT that happens to be able to drill oil.” That is how Reince Priebus, Donald Trump’s incoming chief of staff, described Rex Tillerson, the boss of ExxonMobil, who was nominated this week as America’s secretary of state. In fact, Mr Tillerson, 64, is an oil driller through and through, has spent 41 years furthering the ambitions of one of the world’s largest private companies, and has often sidelined the American government because he felt ExxonMobil was better able to look after its global affairs itself.

Yet he has a reputation for dependability and small-town Texan values that has enabled him to stand up to, and win respect from, notoriously slippery world leaders such as Vladimir Putin. The question is, will it help him become a good envoy-in-chief for diplomacy’s nemesis, Mr Trump? Or will he also peddle Mr Trump’s “I win, you lose” sense of international relations, with oil interests always in the back of his mind? 

For a leader of the world’s corporate elite, Mr Tillerson has parochial roots. Born in Wichita Falls, Texas, he grew up as a Boy Scout, went to the University of Texas, and rides horses in a cowboy hat in his spare time. He has worked at ExxonMobil since 1975, never lived outside America, and speaks with a drawl.

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Jack Randall, a friend from university days and an oil banker at Jefferies, recounts how Mr Tillerson still spends time after work fixing up the decking on his lakeside home, despite having numerous employees who would do it for him. “He’s a regular guy who has lived the American dream,” he says. “He’s a Texan, an engineer and a Boy Scout. That is where his values come from.” 

Yet as an oilman and ExxonMobil’s chief executive since 2006, Mr Tillerson has run operations in some of the most inhospitable parts of the world, from ice-encrusted Sakhalin in the Russian Far East, to poverty-stricken Chad. That has meant dealing with populist strongmen, from Mr Putin to Venezuela’s late leader Hugo Chávez, who he has often cajoled into submission by arguing for the importance of free markets and the sanctity of oil contracts. 

In a book on ExxonMobil, “Private Empire”, author Steve Coll recounts Mr Tillerson’s early dealings with Mr Putin during efforts to rein in an unruly Russian partner, Rosneft, on the Sakhalin development. When Mr Putin offered to write an executive order pushing ahead with the project, Mr Tillerson refused, saying that the Russian president lacked the legal authority to live up to his company’s standards. Though Mr Putin “blew his stack,” he gave in to Mr Tillerson’s demands.

In a later oil era, in 2011, ExxonMobil and Rosneft struck a deal to develop oil in Russia’s Kara Sea, which Mr Putin said could lead to a whopping $500 billion of Arctic co-developments. In 2013 Mr Putin awarded Mr Tillerson Russia’s Order of Friendship. The Arctic deal was scuppered because of American sanctions against Russia, following its annexation of Crimea in 2014, which were opposed by Mr Tillerson. James Henderson, an expert on Russian oil at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, says the Kremlin came to respect ExxonMobil under Mr Tillerson, despite the firm’s stubborn belief in its own value system, because it was “dependable”. He says: “Exxon always makes the point very clearly that it all has to be above board. Its terms do not involve brown envelopes under the desk.” 

Mr Tillerson’s ties to Mr Putin are likely to complicate his confirmation hearings, especially amid allegations that Russian hackers interfered with America’s presidential election to help Mr Trump. But his defenders are adamant about his integrity. “The chances are better that Mother Teresa was stealing money from her charity than Rex Tillerson will do anything with Putin that isn’t in the best interests of the United States,” Mr Randall says.

What is less clear is how he will deal with America’s traditional allies, such as Europe, who fear Russian meddling in Ukraine, for example. His appointment will rekindle suspicions that American diplomacy is about securing oil and other scarce resources. NGOs allege that ExxonMobil has a poor record of promoting human rights in countries where it operates, and has flip-flopped on climate change.

Yet as well as having an oilman’s resource-hungry mindset, he could also bring useful industry traits to the State Department—and to a Trump presidency. For example, finding and drilling oil requires elaborate modelling—both of underground geologies and messy above-ground geopolitics—to make money over the long-term. He knows that such models are as likely to be wrong as well as right. Reputedly his engineering background makes him a stickler for evidence-based decision-making. He is also considered “patient and unemotional” on ExxonMobil’s side of the negotiating table.

Such traits would make him very different from Mr Trump, who lives by the gut. “Rex is not a guy who wets his finger and puts it up in the air to see which way the wind is blowing, and he’ll tell Mr Trump what he thinks,” Mr Randall says. In some respects his opinions differ from Mr Trump's, too. Though once a climate-change denier, he now believes mankind has helped cause global warming. Last year ExxonMobil supported the Paris agreement on climate change. In the past he has strongly rebuffed calls (recently supported by Mr Trump) to make America energy independent. With luck, he will not only have the tactical skills to further America’s interests abroad. He will also have the integrity to talk sense into his boss. 

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Yet the industry’s prospects in developing countries may not be as uniformly rosy as they appear. India’s early development was built on the railways. Its car fleet, at less than 20 vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants, is paltry—about the same as America’s at the time of the first world war. When asked if India’s energy consumption will follow the same pattern as in rich countries, Mr Pradhan bridles: “Why should we do things the same way as other countries? Why should we think the car is the only form