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<div><p><<12시 10분 집계>></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cfile/cafe/25786A4C570DB91F0A" class="txc-image" hspace="1" vspace="1" border="0" actualwidth="1024" width="1024" exif="{}" data-filename="23.png" style="clear:none;float:none;" id="A_25786A4C570DB91F0A50E4"/></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p class="cafe-editor-text" style="line-height: 19.2000007629395px;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">자료 보시면 아시겠지만</span><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">먼저 19대,</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;"> </span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">(부재자합산) 13시 기준 전국투표율 32.4%</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">최종 투표율은 54.2%</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">#13시~18시까지 5시간동안</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">21.8%상승(시간당 평균 약 4.4%상승)</span><br><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">사상 첫 사전투표 도입된</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">6대 지방선거</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">(사전투표합산) 13시 기준 전국투표율 38.8%</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">최종 투표율은 56.8%</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">#13시~18시까지 5시간동안</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">18% 상승(시간당 평균 3.6%씩 상승)</span><br><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">##바램</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;"> </span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">날씨 변수(오전 비 오후 갬) 가 있어서</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">단순비교는 무리겠지만</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;"> </span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">최종 투표율 62%이상 기록 하기 위해서는</span><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">13시기준 (사전합산) 40%이상 되어야</span><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">남은 5시간 동안 시간당 4%씩 올려서</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">겨우 60%대 유지한다는 전망</span><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">전 이번 최종 투표율의 향방은</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">13시에 집계되는 전국투표율 40%~42%</span><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">대가 되어야 한다고 생각함.</span><br><br><span style="font-size: 18pt; font-family: Dotum, 돋움, sans-serif;">(=국물당 때문이기도함)</span><br><br><br></p><p style="line-height: 19.2000007629395px;"><img id="tx_entry_12286_" src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cfile/cafe/215F034D570D140E18" class="txc-image" width="1024" id="A_215F034D570D140E1864AD"/></p><p style="line-height: 19.2000007629395px;"><img id="tx_entry_97935_" src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cfile/cafe/275FBE4D570D142318" class="txc-image" width="1024" id="A_275FBE4D570D142318ADC1"/></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: Gulim,굴림,AppleGothic,sans-serif; font-size: 10pt;"><br></span></p><div style="background: url("//i1.daumcdn.net/deco/contents/horizontalrule/line05.gif?v=2") repeat-x left 50%; width: 99%; height: 15px;"><hr style="border: 0px black; border-image: none; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; position: relative;"></div><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><a title="메뉴 그룹" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); letter-spacing: -1px;"></a></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"> </p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;">※<span style="font-size: 9pt;"> 회원간에 의견이 다르다고 상대를 욕하고 비난하거나 알바몰이 하지 말아주세요</span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">※<span style="font-size: 9pt;"> 회원 상호간에 품격있는 예의를 지켜주시길 바랍니다. </span></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">※<span style="font-size: 9pt;"> 국회의원 총선거 기간에는 더욱 엄격하게 적용할 예정입니다. 주의를 부탁드립니다.</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 85, 255);">20대총선 후보자 정보, 정책 공약 보기+ 낙선대상자 확인 + 후보별 댓글달기</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 85, 255);"><br></span></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><a class="tx-link" href="http://cpmadang.org/candi-list?field_vote_zone_tid=_none&field_party_tid=_none&title=" target="_blank"><u>클릭</u></a><a class="tx-link" href="http://cpmadang.org/candi-list?field_vote_zone_tid=_none&field_party_tid=_none&title=" target="_blank"><u>☞</u></a><a class="tx-link" href="http://cpmadang.org/candi-list?field_vote_zone_tid=_none&field_party_tid=_none&title=" target="_blank"><u> </u></a><a class="tx-link" href="http://cpmadang.org/candi-list?field_vote_zone_tid=_none&field_party_tid=_none&title=" target="_blank"><u><strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-size: 12pt;">시민정치마당 </span><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-size: 12pt;">국회의원선거 후보자 목록</span></strong></u></a></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 85, 255);">3분에 끝내는 내지역구 후보 정보</span> </span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><a class="tx-link" href="http://www.vote0413.net/index.html" target="_blank"><u>클</u></a></span><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><u>릭☞ </u><a class="tx-link" style="font-size: 12pt;" href="http://www.vote0413.net/index.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><u>총선넷 3분총선</u></strong></span></a></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><br></p><p style="text-align: right; line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><br></p><p style="text-align: center; line-height: 10.97px; font-family: 굴림, gulim, tahoma, sans-serif; -ms-word-break: normal; -ms-word-wrap: normal;"><a class="tx-link" href="http://cafe.daum.net/yogicflying" target="_blank"><img width="308" class="txc-image" id="tx_entry_96788_" style="clear: both; margin-left: 8px; float: right;" src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cfile/cafe/237EED36568E27F91D" border="0" vspace="1" hspace="1" data-filename="미권스하단배너15.png" exif="{}" actualwidth="308" id="A_237EED36568E27F91DB5BE"/></a></p></div><p><br></p>
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[19대총선, 6대지방선거 비교] 시간대별 투표율, (잠시후) 오후 1시에 집계되는 투표율이 참 중요함.
다음검색
첫댓글 최종투표율 61% 이상 예상함.
지방선거 (사전투표합산_ 12시~1시) : 15.5 %상승
19대총선 (부재자투표합산_12시~1시) : 7% 상승
지선보다는..
산술적으로 36.5%이상은 합산되어 나올 가능성 있음.
따라서 사전투표가 첫 도입된 지방선거 수준으로 감안하면 : 21%(12시투표율)+12.19%(사전투표율)+5%(시간당투표율_가정치) = 38.19%
@kurtmen 여러모로 보아..
투표율은 괜찮게 나올걱 같은데..
정작 중요한건..
아무도 모르는
"세대별정당별 투표율"임
이게 핵심임
전략적으로 사전투표율 반영안하고 막판에 집계 낼수도 있어요
저새끼들의 수준이죠