Today South Korea (or Republic of Korea, ROK for short) has a vibrant,
diversified and highly dynamic economy but until very recently her economic system was
dominated by a cartel of large conglomerates which had a disproportionate weight
in economic policies and politics: these large conglomerates are called
chaebol.
In Korean chaebol roughly means “clan owning
property”. Some chaebol are household names throughout the world: Hyundai,
Kumho, Hankook and Samsung. How did they come to become so incredibly powerful
and why did so many of them fall without previous warning during the Asian
Crisis of 1997, allowing Korea to become a freer, more diversified and stronger
economy?
After the Japanese left the Korean peninsula, this was politically split in
half, with the north entering the Soviet orbit (becoming the Democratic People’s
Republic of Korea or DPRK) and the south entering the American orbit, becoming
the ROK.
Between 1945 and 1948 ROK was governed by the US military (not
unlike Japan) and during this period property previously belonging to the
Japanese government, Japanese companies and Japanese individuals was confiscated
and redistributed to Korean citizens and companies. The process was incredibly
murky, with many allegations of irregularities but is sadly little documented
outside of Korea to this day.
In 1948 the US military handed over power to the first elected president of
ROK, the infamous Syngman Rhee. Rhee inherited a chaotic economic situation: the
few industries expropriated from the Japanese were both starved for capitals and
far between and the country was largely poor and agricultural. Rhee’s foremost
ambition was unification of the Korean peninsula under his own rule. DPRK’s Kim
Jong-Il harbored the same ambitions and tensions escalated into full-scale war
in 1950. The ROK military, organized by the Americans as a militarized police
and completely deprived of heavy armor, artillery and air support, was quickly
routed by the well equipped DPRK army, necessitating a UN intervention. The war
went on for three years, despite reaching an empasse in late 1951 already: the
UN had the firepower and the better trained soldiers but the Soviet block was
ready to take truly horrendous human casualties and had the advantage of
internal communication lines. In 1953 the two sides agreed to the Panmunjom
Ceasefire, which still holds to this day, no formal peace between ROK and DPRK
having ever been officially signed.
In the aftermath of the war ROK was an
impoverished country: infrastructures were in shambles, what little industry
existed had been diverted to the war effort, hundreds of thousand had been
killed and millions displaced. Rhee, however, had no clear plan of economic
action. The US, still reeling from their costly mistake of not providing ROK
with heavy weaponry, agreed to a hefty “aid package” which included weapons,
foodstuff, fuel, industrial products and cash. Ironically most of these aids
came from the newly reconstructed Japanese industry: during the Korean War the
US had to grudginly allow Japan to quickly rebuild her economic strength to help
fight the war. In short ROK quickly became heavily dependant on foreign aid
which did little to improve overall economic conditions.
During the later
years of the Rhee presidency, some of the families (or clans) which had obtained
confiscated Japanese factories started to cultivate deep relationships with his
administration: they received “special favors” in return for cash. In 1960,
shortly after winning the election, Rhee was forced to resign due to a scandal
and went into exile in the US.
An interim government was appointed, led by
President Yun Bo-Seon and Prime Minister Chang Myon. Neither man was popular and
to compel their difficulties the terrible state of the economy finally came into
play as widespread riots and strikes started plaguing the country.
On May 16
1961 the military staged a successful and almost bloodless coup against the
civilian government. After a few days of infighting, General Park Chung-Hee
emerged as the leading figure among the golpistas. US President John
Fitzgerald Kennedy immediately assured General Park of “total” US support and
quickly recalled the US commander-in-chief in Korea, General Carter Magruder,
who had urged ROK armed forces to “stay loyal” to President Yun Bo-Seon.
Magruder never commanded anything larger than a desk again and was quickly sent
into retirement.
General Park, a self proclaimed “staunch anti-Communist”, quickly announced
to the nation his intentions of extirpating Rhee-era corruption and turn ROK
into a modern, wealthy country. Japan, Korea’s neighbor and former master, was
in those years experiencing a tumultuous economic revival and was obviously seen
as an economic model of sorts by Park.
Initially the military junta jailed a
number of prominent businessmen and factory owners on charges of being
accomplices to the Rhee regime but charges were quietly dropped and the
prisoners quickly released. Park had understood these men were the only allies
he had in his ambitious plan of turning a backward, largely agricultural nation
into an industrial powerhouse.
Working closely with the main industrial
families, the Park government quickly came up with the following plan.
The
private sector relinquished all financial activities to the State: all banks
were nationalized. The various family-owned groups were reorganized along the
lines of the old Japanese zaibatsu (and their modern day descendants,
the keiretsu)*, becoming huge conglomerates with activities ranging
from steel mills to breweries. In return for having relinquished all financial
operations to the State, the families got in return precise guarantees they
would get easy access to credit and their exports would be subsidized by keeping
the won value pegged artifically low to the US dollar. Between 1962 and 1980 the
won was officially devalued four times relative to the dollar, losing over 400%
of its initial value.
Korea had 30 large family owned conglomerates at the
height of the Park regime: these became known as the chaebol. Their
economic growth was tumultuous. This growth was not fueled by their particular
efficiency, but by cheap credit at home (which was mostly provided by the
State-owned banks on a no questions asked basis by inflating the currency and
restricting credit to the rest of the society) and massively subsidized exports
abroad. Aside from an artificially devalued currency, the Park regime instituted
crushing tariffs on many imported industrial goods and proved quite adept at
negotiating excellent deals for the chaebol abroad. For example Park himself
negotiated a peculiar deal with US President Lindon B. Johnson: in return for
sending tens of thousand troops to Vietnam, ROK conglomerates got a monopoly on
sundry supplies for Vietnamese troops and the US “pushed” for preferential
tariffs on Korean goods in a number of South-East Asian States. Plus, additional
funds were provided to the chaebol by foreign banks (for example to
purchase capital goods and technology not available on the Korean market), with
the ROK government guaranteeing the loans: the chaebol often had no
interest in repaying the loans as the State-run banks would cover them in full
and foreign banks weren’t wont on complaining or cutting credit lines as long as
repayments were coming regardless of source.
While on paper it may seem like the chaebol system worked well to turn ROK into an economic powerhouse, it wasn’t bound to last. Already in the mid ’70s it started to show signs of deep strain. This long lasting crisis, whose effects are felt to this day, will be analyzed in the next installment
* the Japanese zaibatsu and keiretsu system will be covered in the near future. For the moment let’s just say this phrase, which is repeated everywhere from Internet sites to economic handbooks, has never convinced me. The Japanese conglomerates have two crucial differences with the chaebol. The first is that to this day at the heart of every keiretsu lays a huge, privately owned bank which acts as the main credit provider. The second is while all societies belonging to a chaebol are directly controlled by the owning family/clan, those belonging to a keiretsu are controlled in completely different fashion. But as I said the subject will be covered at a later date.
South Korea and the Chaebol System: Part Two
For Part One: http://voluntaryistreader.wordpress.com/2013/01/11/south-korea-and-the-chaebol-system-part-one/
The ’70s marked a turning point in the chaebol system, and not for the better. The general worldwide slump which followed the abolition of the Bretton Woods Treaty (1971) and the First Oil Crisis (1973) had a very noticeable effect on Korean exports. However there were a number of other issues which rattled the chaebol system. As a first thing, the chaebol had traditionally been very dependent on low value-added goods like textiles, footwear, low-grade steel and simple chemicals. These goods were mostly exported to South-East Asian nations like Thailand, The Philippines and Indonesia. However as the ’70s progressed these nations, especially Thailand, started to be able not only manufacture the same goods locally, but also to export them, and at prices competitive with heavily subsidized Korean goods.
Worse still, the chaebol found a formidable foe in the Japanese keiretsu. Japan’s tumultuous growth bears little relationship with Korea’s. It wasn’t fed by cheap credit and an artificially devalued currency but by massive capital accumulation and an almost staggering rate of investments. This meant the keiretsu were incredibly efficient on foreign markets, and not only in exporting cheap, low value-added goods. In 1968 Toyota started selling her first highly successful car in the US, the Corona MkII. The same year also saw the first Japanese cars (Daihatsu) arrive in Europe and Honda started selling her first large displacement motorcycle both at home and on export markets. The ’70s saw the Japanese keiretsu becoming prime movers at world level in high value-added goods: electronics, industrial machinery, complex chemicals etc. The situation became so desperate the chaebol implored the Park regime to help them become more competitive in the high value-added goods sector. This was achieved by the usual means: massive financing by the State-owned banks and further rounds of devaluation to make Korean goods (in the period generally seen as much lower quality than their Japanese counterparts) more palatable to foreign buyers. As one Korean economist said “It was a very painful process for the nation as a whole”. To provide more credit to the chaebol, the rest of the country was both denied credit and heavily taxed through massive inflation. This especially afflicted areas outside the industrial districts: standards of living in rural areas were very low and farmers’ productivity was still at ’50s levels, large scale mechanization having been made impossible by both lack of credit and low saving rates.
In the late ’70s General Park was becoming increasingly unpopular due to both this long economic crisis and his autocratic rule and in 1979 he was assassinated by a group of KCIA* officials. The assassins were quickly arrested by the army, brutally tortured and executed without trial. To this day it’s still hotly debated if Park’s assassination was part of a failed coup or personally motivated. Power passed on (after a brief civilian government) to another military strongman, Major General (later Lieutenant General) Chun Doo-Hwan, which ruled as a dictator from 1979 to 1980, and then as elected president from 1980 to 1988.
President Chun inherited a terrible situation. The economic disparity between rural areas and the industrialized districts (chiefly the Gyeonggi Province, centered on Seul) was staggering. Coupled with the repressive nature of the military regime this led to a number of rebellions which were put down with extreme brutality. It later transpired the ROK military, despite its hatred for the DPRK and China, had copied the “reeducation camp” system from its northern neighbors. However this was nothing compared to the worries about the State-run banking system. Bad loans had piled up for two decades, accelerating during the late ’70s, and, coupled with the need to finance the grandiose public works projects so dear to General Park and repaying the chaebol‘s foreign loans, had left the banking system very fragile. In 1983 a complete collapse was averted thanks to an emergency loan by Japan, whose terms are unknown to me. The Chun Administration hence started to enact drastic reforms to avoid the whole country falling down like a house of cards. As a first thing, slowly but steadily, the banking system was privatized. This was a very drawn-out process which took years to complete and whose effects are felt to this day, as Korean banks are not as efficient and competitive as one would imagine them to be. As a second thing the rate of money creation was drastically cut, allowing inflation to be kept under control. Finally, the State budget was frozen for a number of years.
There were two immediate effects for these reforms. The first is nominal GDP growth was savagely slashed: as it’s obvious, lower inflation meant nominal prices and asset values didn’t raise as rapidly as before, therefore exposing the “inflated” nature of ’60s and ’70s ROK economic growth. The second is standards of living throughout the country started to improve at a steady pace. A saner monetary policy led to a massive increase in saving rates and these savings became capital which was in turn used to increase productivity outside of the chaebol system. Privately-owned banks started to look for new customers and quickly found them in small businessmen and, even more critically, farmers. After being starved for credit for over two decades they desperately needed capital to improve their productivity and the new banking system, coupled with increasing saving rates, helped them to achieve the long-delayed mechanization of ROK agriculture.
Under Chun’s successors, Roh Tae-Woo and Kim Young-Sam, the process continued, accelerating under President Kim, the first Korean president with no military background.
And what of the chaebol themselves? In spite of all, they continued to prosper. Or at least they gave an impression of prosperity. Despite all the reforms, most of them continued the Park-era practice of taking massive loans without worrying too much about repayment. The banks may have become privatized but most of them had no problems lending huge sums to the chaebol, which were seen as a “sure bet”.
Between 1988 and 1989 a financial event which is still sending ripples to
this day happened: the ’80s Japanese “Bubble Economy” burst. We’ll deal with
this event in the future but for now suffice to say to prevent a complete
meltdown of some of the largest keiretsu banks the Bank of Japan
lowered rates to near zero “in perpetuity”, flooding these financial
institutions with dirt cheap credit. This credit quickly found its way to
Mainland Asia, especially in countries like India, Thailand, Malaysia and ROK.
This credit bubble took two forms: the first is the so-called yen carry trade,
by which banks borrowed money at near-zero rates in Japan and lent it at much
higher rates in countries like India. The second were direct loans from Japanese
banks to foreign customers, especially in Thailand, Taiwan and ROK.
This
credit bubble fueled the so called Asian Tiger Economy, a period of tumultuous
growth in the Pacific Rim (and India) which turned out to be a catastrophic and
costly mistake.
On July 2nd 1997, Thailand’s Central Bank was forced to float the baht after “discovering” they had no foreign currency reserves left to protect the baht from a massive speculative attack. This move triggered a cascade of events which resulted in what was called the “perfect financial storm” although it looks like small fries compared to the present US and European financial crisis.
The causes of this colossal crisis were chiefly two. First, most Pacific Rim (chiefly ROK and Thailand) countries had fixed or semi-fixed exchange rates which, coupled with large current-account deficits, left their currencies open to massive speculative attacks. Second, the connection between very low interest rates in Japan and moderate to high interest rates in Pacific Rim countries led companies to borrow heavily abroad to fund very aggressive and very poorly supervised investments at home. As Jeffrey Sachs wrote about Pacific Rim financial institutions before the bubble burst “Banks borrow abroad and lend at home with reckless abandon”.
This crisis hit the chaebol system like the proverbial sledgehammer. Many of them had taken large unhedged foreign-currency loans and, with the won in a precipitous fall against foreign currencies, they faced impossibly high debt repayments in domestic currency terms. As the crisis unraveled, it was also discovered many chaebol, far from being the solid companies they pretended to be, had piled huge mountains of debts they had been able to hide from the outside world thanks to highly irregular accounting practices on which the ROK government had turned more than a blind eye for years. Out of the 30 chaebol, 11 were literally swept away by the Asian Crisis. Others were forced to sell valuable assets at rock bottom prices to avert a complete meltdown. The chief casualty was the Daewoo chaebol, the country’s second largest, which was completely defunct by 1999: some of its operations were closed down, others sold off to partially repay creditors and a few (notably the profitable shipbuilding division) were spun off and became independent groups. Even Hyundai, the largest chaebol by far, was forced to sell off core operations to remain solvent, even if barely so. Two chaebol emerged stronger from the crisis: Samsung and LG. Both had far better accounting and financial practices than their competitors and were also able to expand by buying patents, factories, machinery and whole operations at bargain prices.
However the clear winner of the crisis was ROK as a whole. In the aftermath of the crisis even the government understood the foolishness of over-reliance on the chaebol system and the weakness of a pegged currency. Although the Korean economy had started to see an expansion of small and the middle sized businesses in the’80s already, the true boom came after 1998. Today ROK has a much diversified economy, which has curbed reliance on traditional heavy industry and low value-added goods significantly. Middle and small-sized enterprises manufacturing capital-intensive goods, either born from the ashes of the defunct chaebol or newly founded, are now the backbone of the economy. Standards of living have soared and now ROK citizens are among the wealthiest in the world.
Not all that’s glitters is gold though: in the closing months of 2012 a series of major scandals hit a number of ROK banks, hinting at the existence of widespread corrupt lending and accounting practices. Times have changed though and, following public outcry, the ROK government was forced to take legal action against the responsible (or at least some of them) and will apparently allow the worst banks to fail. It may not be a perfect world, but at least ROK appears to have learned from her past mistakes. Confront with the US and Europe were failed banks are artificially propped up and, instead of being tried, bankers are still able to dictate monetary policies.
Perhaps we need an Asian Crisis of our own to learn as well…
* Korean Central Intelligence Agency. This was the Park-era secret police, intelligence and counter-intelligence agencies all rolled in one. It wielded tremendous powers and was responsible for terrible abuses. Following General Park’s assassination it was deeply reformed and renamed Agency for National Security Planning.
Bibliography:
Haggard, Stephen (editor), Economic Crisis and Corporate Restructuring in Korea: Reforming the Chaebol, 2003, Cambridge (UK), Cambridge University Press
Sung-Hui, Chwa, Sung-Hee, Jwa, The Evolution of Large Corporations in Korea, 2002, Cheltenham, Edgar Elgar Publishing
Ten Years On: How Asia Shrugged off its Economic Crisis, The Economist, July 4th 2007
http://voluntaryistreader.wordpress.com/2013/01/15/south-korea-and-the-chaebol-system-part-two/