New York Times declared 2012 as the year of the MOOC (Massive
Open Online Course). It was the year
when Udacity, Coursera and edX, the three leading MOOC companies, took the education
world by storm and promised a lot.
Udacity, proclaimed that in 10 years,
job applicants will tout their Udacity degrees. In 50 years, there
would be about 10 educational institutions in the world providing higher
education and Udacity has a shot at being one of them. Last year it threw in
the towel because "the basic MOOC is a great thing
for the top 5
percent of the student body, but not a great thing for the bottom
95 percent."
Udacity changed its course, from trying to become
one of the top 10 institutions in the world, to focusing
on corporate and
vocational training.
EdX,
predicted that in less than a year one of edX's partner
universities would offer a purely online degree. Three years have passed since
then and there is no sign of purely online degree from any of its partner
institutions.
Coursera, founded by two Stanford professors, is by far the
largest in terms of the number of courses
offered and students enrolled.
However just like Udacity and edX, Coursera does not have much to show
off in
terms of student success rates.
So what is going on? What is the future of MOOC?
Well, MOOCs are going through a maturing process like any other business.
Despite all the hype, there is
no question that MOOCs are here to stay.
What
advocates of MOOC have failed to see is that it is not about reaching hundreds
of thousands of people. Educating mass numbers of people in higher education
quickly and for free is a pipedream.
That will never happen for the same reason
why most people never achieve their New Year resolutions.
According to the research,
just 8 percent of people achieve their New Year's goals. This data is
consistent
with the completion rate of MOOC data.
In many ways low completion rates can also be compared to window shopping. Lot
of people will like to
look at things in the mall but not everyone is willing
to pay for it.
When MOOC pioneers declared that they would
educate masses from all over the world in very quickly and for free, they were
just being academic idealists. It requires time, effort, and lots of dedication
and resources to successfully complete a course. Unless there is a compelling
reason, no one will follow through homework assignments, quizzes and final
exams.
So what are the challenges MOOCS face today?
Design and development of online courses require careful planning and a lot
more efforts than teaching a
traditional course. MOOCs must be developed in a
way that integrates technology and sound
pedagogy.
Mere use of technology does not engage students, and most
MOOCs are just as boring for this reason.
The biggest challenge for MOOC is the
assessment.
Conducting proctored exam does not fit the online MOOC model and as
of now there is no viable approach to conduct verified online exams. With video
streaming and other technology including biometric identification becoming
popular, it is only a question of time when students will be able complete all
exams online leading to certifications.
Another challenge is engineering and science
courses that require conducting experiments and hands-on projects. Virtual
experiment are a real possibility but there is no conclusive data if that can
replace actual physical experiment.
Finally, learning is not just about pure
academics alone. Interacting with other students with diverse cultural
backgrounds, club activities, working in group projects and having discussions
with a teacher are important part of campus life and it cannot be done
effectively online.
What is going to happen in the near future?
Nobody knows what will happen to the three leading contenders today.
Enrollments and attrition remain
flat. Interestingly, current MOOCs are not reaching the people who it is
originally supposed to reach.
The
immediate beneficiaries of the MOOC experiment, ironically, are those that did
not want anything to
do with online learning in the first place - universities.
With assessment issues unresolved, universities are well positioned to offer a
blended learning model, which takes advantage of their traditional classroom
sessions for discussion ("flipped classrooms")
and assessment while delivering most content online. In addition universities
offer all the advantages of a campus experience.
MOOCs have played an important role. They
promised a lot and did not deliver much.
At the same time, the MOOC movement has opened the
door for affordable and just-in-time education.