Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models
ECB (2016-05-17)
We run a real exchange rate forecasting \horse
race", which highlights that two principles hold. First, forecasts should not
replicate the high volatility of exchange rates observed in sample. Second,
models should exploit the mea .. more |
Bernanke's No-arbitrage Argument Revisited: Can Open Market Operations in
Real Assets Eliminate the Liquidity Trap? NBER (2016-05-17)
We
first show that, at least in theory, open market operations in real assets can
be a useful tool for overcoming a liquidity trap because they change the
inflation incentives of the government, and thus change private sector expe
.. more |
Exploring Risk-Adjusted Fiscal Sustainability Analysis for Asian
Economies ADB (2016-05-16)
This paper explores the analytical
tools available for gauging fiscal sustainability under uncertainty to help
national authorities in managing and mitigating fiscal vulnerability in Asia.
The paper explores risk-based fiscal .. more | |