북한, 이틀에 걸쳐 탄도미사일 시험발사

[위종민]

북한이 일요일 오전 10시 37분, 월요일 오전 8시 24분에 두 차례에 걸쳐 탄도미사일을 시험발사했네요.

일요일 발사한 미사일은 최대 고도 31마일로 249마일을 비행해 동해에 떨어졌고, 월요일 발사한 것은 73분간 비행해 9시 37분 DL일본 EEZ 밖인 홋카이도 오쿠시리섬 북서쪽 155마일 지점에 떨어졌다고 합니다. 비행거리는 621마일, 최대 고도는 3,728마일 이상으로, 궤적 분석 결과 최대 사정거리는 9,321마일 이상으로 미 본토 어디든 타격 가능한 것으로 보인다고 합니다. 

https://news.usni.org/2023/12/18/north-korea-tests-two-long-range-icbms-drawing-condemnations-from-japan-u-s

North Korea Tests Two Long-Range ICBMs, Drawing Condemnations from Japan, U.S.

DZIRHAN MAHADZIR

DECEMBER 18, 2023 2:56 PM

North Korean ICBM. KCNA Photo

North Korea launched two missiles on Sunday and Monday, with Japan estimating the intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) launched on Monday was capable of reaching anywhere on the continental United States. The launches were denounced strongly by the United States, Japan and South Korea.

Japan’s Ministry of Defense (MOD) stated that on Sunday at 10.37 p.m, North Korea launched an eastbound missile from a location near its west coast, and that missile flew for 249 miles with a maximum altitude of 31 miles and landed in the Sea of Japan.

A second launch, this time an ICBM, occurred on Monday at 8.24 a.m. Japan’s MOD stated that the ICBM flew for approximately 73 minutes before landing into the Sea of Japan at 9.37 a.m. – 155 miles northwest of Okushiri Island, Hokkaido, outside of Japan’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ). The flight distance was estimated to be approximately 621 miles, with a maximum altitude of over 3,728 miles. The MOD subsequently released a photo of a falling object believed to be related to the ICBM. North Korea launched a Hwasong-18 ICBM in July, but as of press time has not issued any statements on Monday’s launch and the missile type fired.

Japan Parliamentary Vice Minister of Defense Shingo Miyake said in a press conference that based on the calculations drawn from the missile’s flight trajectory and subject to various factors such as the weight of the warhead, the ICBM could have a range of more than 9,321 miles, making it capable of striking anywhere in the continental United States. Miyake declined to answer questions regarding the ongoing destruction order issued in May in which the Japan Self-Defense Force has been ordered to destroy any North Korean missiles or missile debris that threaten Japan’s territory.

North Korea’s launches prompted calls for action from the leaders of South Korea and Japan. South Korea’s National Security Council issued a release stating that South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol ordered an immediate and overwhelming response to any provocations by North Korea against South Korean territory and people. The statement also said the South Korean leader ordered active solidarity with the international community to condemn and stop North Korea’s illegal nuclear and missile activities. Yook also ordered the tasks of the ROK-U.S. Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) be pursued with speed to further strengthen ROK-U.S. nuclear deterrence capabilities against North Korea. He also emphasized that the South Korean government and military must be fully prepared to respond to additional provocations by North Korea during the year-end and New Year holidays.

Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who was holding the first AZEC (Asia Zero Emission Community) Summit in Tokyo, condemned the launches and called for cooperation. “North Korea launched ballistic missiles last night, and this morning as well. We strongly condemn these launches, which are not only a clear violation of United Nations Security Council resolutions, but also threaten regional peace and stability. We look forward to continuing to work with you to achieve the complete verifiable and irreversible dismantling of all North Korean weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles of all ranges,” said Kishida in his speech.

The White House issued a readout saying that National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan spoke on Sunday evening U.S. time with South Korea’s National Security Office Director Cho Taeyong and Japan’s National Security Secretariat Secretary General Akiba Takeo following North Korea’s ICBM test. The national security advisors condemned the test, which is a flagrant violation of multiple UN Security Council resolutions. Sullivan reaffirmed the United States’ unwavering commitment to the defense of Japan and South Korea, said the readout, which also stated all three national security advisers underscored the importance of their work to share missile warning data and to coordinate responses to growing cooperation between Russia and North Korea.

North Korea’s launch comes after Friday’s meeting in Washington of the second U.S.-Republic of Korea Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG). Among the outcomes of the meeting, according to a White House release, was the review of enhanced visibility of strategic assets to bolster extended deterrence, including ballistic-missile submarine USS Kentucky’s (SSBN-737) port visit to Busan in July, B-52 strategic bomber flyover and landing on the Korean Peninsula in October and joint observation of an ICBM test launch in November. They also discussed plans to demonstrate strengthened deterrence.

On Sunday, attack submarine USS Missouri (SSN-780) arrived at Busan Naval Base in South Korea for a port visit. Both the port visit and the NCG meeting were denounced by the North Korean Ministry of National Defence in a Sunday in a statement carried by state-run Korean Central News Agency. “The revolutionary armed forces of the DPRK strongly denounce the reckless military moves of the U.S. and the military gangsters of the ROK who are maximizing the tension in and around the Korean peninsula with hostile and provocative acts against the DPRK until the end of the yea,r” read the statement which concluded with warning that any attempt to use armed forces against North Korea will face a preemptive and deadly counteraction.

Related

https://www.mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2023/12/18a.html

北朝鮮のミサイル等関連情報

令和５年１２月１８日
防衛省
内閣官房

印刷用

1. 北朝鮮は１２月１７日２２時３７分頃、北朝鮮西岸付近から、１発の弾道ミサイルを、東方向に向けて発射しました。詳細については現在分析中ですが、発射された弾道ミサイルは、最高高度約５０ｋｍ程度で、約４００ｋｍ程度飛翔し、落下したのは朝鮮半島東側の日本海の我が国の排他的経済水域（ＥＥＺ）外であると推定しています。
2. 政府より、付近を航行する航空機や船舶への情報提供を行ったところ、現時点において被害報告等の情報は確認されていません。
3. 総理には、本件について直ちに報告を行い、
   ① 情報収集・分析に全力を挙げ、国民に対して、迅速・的確な情報提供を行うこと
   ② 航空機、船舶等の安全確認を徹底すること
   ③ 不測の事態に備え、万全の態勢をとること
   の３点について指示がありました。
4. 政府においては、官邸危機管理センターに設置している「北朝鮮情勢に関する官邸対策室」において、関係省庁からの情報を集約するとともに、緊急参集チームを招集し、対応について協議を行いました。
5. また、防衛省においては、防衛大臣が総理指示を受け、
   ① 米国、韓国等と緊密に連携しつつ、情報収集・分析に全力を挙げること
   ② 不測の事態の発生に備え、引き続き警戒監視に万全を期すこと
   の２点について指示を出しました。
6. これまでの弾道ミサイル等の度重なる発射も含め、一連の北朝鮮の行動は、我が国、地域及び国際社会の平和と安全を脅かすものです。また、このような弾道ミサイル発射は、関連する安保理決議に違反し、国民の安全に関わる重大な問題です。我が国としては、北朝鮮に対して厳重に抗議し、強く非難しました。
7. 国民の生命・財産を守り抜くため、引き続き、米国や韓国等とも緊密に連携し、情報の収集・分析及び警戒監視に全力をあげるとともに、今後追加して公表すべき情報を入手した場合には、速やかに発表することとします。

https://www.mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2023/12/18d.html

北朝鮮のミサイル等関連情報

令和５年１２月１８日
防衛省
内閣官房

印刷用

1. 北朝鮮は本日８時２４分頃、平壌近郊から、１発のＩＣＢＭ級弾道ミサイルを、北東方向に向けて発射しました。詳細については現在分析中ですが、発射された弾道ミサイルは約７３分飛翔し９時３７分頃、北海道の奥尻島の北西約２５０ｋｍの日本海（我が国の排他的経済水域（ＥＥＺ）外）に落下したものと推定されます。飛翔距離は約１，０００ｋｍ、また最高高度は約６，０００ｋｍを超えると推定されます。
2. 政府より、付近を航行する航空機や船舶への情報提供を行ったところ、現時点において被害報告等の情報は確認されていません。
3. 総理には、本件について直ちに報告を行い、
   ① 情報収集・分析に全力を挙げ、国民に対して、迅速・的確な情報提供を行うこと
   ② 航空機、船舶等の安全確認を徹底すること
   ③ 不測の事態に備え、万全の態勢をとること
   の３点について指示がありました。
4. 政府においては、官邸危機管理センターに設置している「北朝鮮情勢に関する官邸対策室」において、関係省庁からの情報を集約するとともに、緊急参集チームを招集し、対応について協議を行いました。また、本日、国家安全保障会議を開催し、情報の集約及び対応について協議を行いました。
5. また、防衛省においては、防衛大臣が総理指示を受け、
   ① 米国、韓国等と緊密に連携しつつ、情報収集・分析に全力を挙げること
   ② 不測の事態の発生に備え、引き続き警戒監視に万全を期すこと
   の２点について指示を出しました。
6. これまでの弾道ミサイル等の度重なる発射も含め、一連の北朝鮮の行動は、我が国、地域及び国際社会の平和と安全を脅かすものです。また、このような弾道ミサイル発射は、関連する安保理決議に違反し、国民の安全に関わる重大な問題です。我が国としては、北朝鮮に対して厳重に抗議し、強く非難しました。
7. 国民の生命・財産を守り抜くため、引き続き、米国等とも緊密に連携し、情報の収集・分析及び警戒監視に全力をあげるとともに、今後追加して公表すべき情報を入手した場合には、速やかに発表することとします。

[백선호]

김정은이 핵탄두 달린 ICBM을 쏘기로 마음을 먹고 명령을 내려 TEL이 숨어 있는 터널에서 나와 ICBM 세우고 쏘기까지 얼마나 시간이 걸릴까요?

바로 쏘려면 숫자가 뻔한 것 같은 터널들에 ICBM을 숨기는 것보다 지하 사일로에 넣어 두는 것이 나을 것 같은데, 그러면 위치가 노출되어 선제 공격에 취약하겠죠?

[백선호]

TEL을 산 속 터널에 숨겨 두고 있다가 꺼내서 미사일 세우고 쏘는 것은 1969년 CIA 보고서에 나오는 이스라엘의 Jericho 미사일의 Missile-Under-Mountain Concept (MUM) 입니다.

https://cafe.daum.net/NTDS/5q4/508