a "few dozen" far more advanced weapons(美NBC뉴스 원문)

[방장]

*원문을 찾아보니.......

미쿡이 이제야 진실을 실토하기 시작했군요.

 

출처 : http://openchannel.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/04/24/11376100-nbc-north-korean-nuclear-test-could-happen-as-early-as-tuesday-night?lite

 

NBC: North Korean nuclear test could happen as early as Tuesday night

Slideshow:

Elizabeth Dalziel / AP

From work to play, see pictures from inside the secretive country.

Launch slideshow

By Richard Engel, Jim Miklaszewski and Robert Windrem, NBC News

North Korea could carry out an underground test of a nuclear weapon as early as Tuesday night as the North's reclusive leadership dramatically tries to up the stakes with the U.S. and the West, U.S. officials told NBC News.

U.S. officials say North Korea may already have an arsenal between 12 and a "few dozen" far more advanced weapons, many more than generally believed.

The officials couldn't be specific on a date for the test, but they told NBC News they were "100 percent" certain there would be a nuclear test within the next two weeks or "at any time."

---

Tensions between North and South Korea increased this week when Pyongyang threatened to turn Seoul into "ashes." While the North regularly issues such threats, the South seemed to be taking this round of threats more seriously by increasing its security.

U.S. and South Korean intelligence agencies have been monitoring test preparations at P'unggye-yok, the North Korean test site near the Chinese border, for the past several weeks. As new evidence of tunneling emerged, officials began to see Army Day celebrations scheduled for Wednesday (Tuesday night in the U.S.) as a possible date for the test.

It will be the first time the country's 29-year-old leader, Kim Jong Un, will get a chance to address the Korean People's Army as commander.

At the high end of the range, U.S. officials and other researchers said, North Korea may already have up to "a few dozen" nuclear weapons that could be fitted atop its vast fleet of ballistic missiles. Currently, North Korean missiles are limited to an intermediate range, capable of hitting cities in Japan or South Korea but not the United States. What the new test could reveal is an improvement in the type of weapons North Korea has.

For the past several years, the U.S. has been monitoring North Korean research into thermonuclear weapons, hydrogen bombs and bombs known as boosted fission weapons, in which plutonium and uranium are combined.

David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security, or ISIS, a nonpartisan nuclear arms research group, said Tuesday that the tests may also be about ensuring the reliability of North Korea's current weapons design.

"Once you get beyond a dozen, it makes sense to test type and reliability of your weapons," he said.

Albright said that his group's estimate of North Korea's weapons stockpile is a bit less than those provided by the U.S. officials but that ISIS, too, believes Pyongyang has "missile-deliverable weapons."

North Korea successfully tested nuclear weapons in 2006 and 2009. In both cases, the first word came in statements from the North Korean Foreign Ministry hours before the tests were carried out. No such statement has been issued yet, but a U.S. official said it's possible that this time North Korea wouldn't follow the same protocol.

Ten days ago, North Korea failed in its attempt to launch an observation satellite, a test the U.S. believed was a cover for test of intercontinental missile technology. In response, the U.S. canceled an agreement that would have provided 241,000 tons of nutritional aid, while the U.N. Security Council voted unanimously to "strongly condemn" the failed launch and said it would tighten sanctions against Pyongyang's government.

 

Albright added that North Korea might not want to test its weapons to their full yield in order to avoid another embarrassment, noting that the geology around the test site is fragile and that a large test could aggravate that issue.

[얌전한갱이]

무슨 글인지 까막눈이다보니,,

[방장]

1) 북한은 12기에서 수십기의 첨단 핵무기를 보유하고 있다.
2) 북한은 방대한 탄도미사일에 탑재한 수십기의 핵탄두를 보유하고 있다.
3) 과거 몇년동안 미국은 계속해서 북한의 열핵폭탄, 수소폭탄, 핵분열폭탄 개발을 모니터링 하고 있다.
4) 북한은 지형적 여건 등의 이유로 최대치의 폭발력을 내는 핵실험을 하지 않고 있다.
5) 북한을 핵실험을 향후 2주내에 "어느때든"실시할 확률이 100%다.

이런 내용인데, 저도 영문에 좀 약해서 약간 오역을 했을 수도 있습니다. 양해해 주세요

[방장]

여러 외신보도와 미국, 한국 및 주변국의 긴박한 움직임으로 보아
빠르면 내일이라도 당장 핵실험이 단행될 것으로 보입니다.

다만, 이번엔 과거와 달리 2차례이상 실시하든지
아니면 ICBM 발사와 세트를 이뤄 실시할 가능성이 높아 보입니다.

이제 전 세계가 경천동지할 일만 남은것 같습니다.

[얌전한갱이]

감사드림니다_()_

[정론직필]

북한은 이미 첨단 핵기술을 모두 보여 주었기 때문에
새삼스럽게 핵실험을 보여줄 필요성이 없다고 봅니다.

즉, 북한은 아마도 핵실험을 단행하지 않을 것으로 봅니다.

다만, 위 기사의 중요성은....미국이 이제 슬슬
북한 핵기술에 대한 진실을 공개하고 있다는 점입니다.

전에는 순전히 거짓말만 하다가 왜 갑자기
그런 진실을 밝히는가 하는 점이 궁금합니다.