Fiscal space and the aftermath of financial crises: How it matters and why Brookings (2019-03-12)
In OECD countries over the period 1980-2017, countries with lower debt-to-GDP ratios responded to financial distress with much more expansionary fiscal policy and suffered much less severe aftermaths. Two lines of eviden .. more |
Currency Regimes and the Carry Trade CEPR (2019-03-12)
This study exploits a new long-run data set of daily bid and offered exchange rates in spot and forward markets from 1919 to the present to analyze carry returns in fixed and floating currency regimes. We first find that .. more |
The Return to Protectionism NBER (2019-03-12)
We analyze the short-run impacts of the 2018 trade war on the U.S. economy. We estimate import demand and export supply elasticities using changes in U.S. and retaliatory tariffs over time. Imports from targeted countrie .. more |