Decision Analysis

<div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/e12cc867dc027c5c048203a95f58ae8bb1d6d136" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/e12cc867dc027c5c048203a95f58ae8bb1d6d136" data-origin-width="467" data-origin-height="643"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/7c82cae6f5d799410797155a5252bce623ccf24e" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/7c82cae6f5d799410797155a5252bce623ccf24e" data-origin-width="487" data-origin-height="640"></div><p>----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</p><p>MS60 실습</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/b33107bfff350a1d821eccfa693d1675eaf5ab7b" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/b33107bfff350a1d821eccfa693d1675eaf5ab7b" data-origin-width="686" data-origin-height="492"></div><p>1. Probabilities가 주어지지 않은 상태</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/a857f522ad469d6ff23a8bbfef617b4b460158ff" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/a857f522ad469d6ff23a8bbfef617b4b460158ff" data-origin-width="571" data-origin-height="357"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/41ae3c1425a2a1cba4f15f2ba7a44bbbec5d0f31" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/41ae3c1425a2a1cba4f15f2ba7a44bbbec5d0f31" data-origin-width="413" data-origin-height="332"></div><p> </p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/6151615a9b1f47a74ee327de685dfeae22709bd8" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/6151615a9b1f47a74ee327de685dfeae22709bd8" data-origin-width="598" data-origin-height="271"></div><p>이익의 관점이기에 Maximize</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/64981b7abc9dcef9294d3684d57bfa0bb2f4b0a5" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/64981b7abc9dcef9294d3684d57bfa0bb2f4b0a5" data-origin-width="778" data-origin-height="576"></div><p>1) Optimistic(낙관적인) 결과</p><p> </p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/8eb4cef3f0b51b881c2c167a0c41c800e83a6e63" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/8eb4cef3f0b51b881c2c167a0c41c800e83a6e63" data-origin-width="592" data-origin-height="273"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/9d8900d90366c9707755e179bcb8212cced69f48" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/9d8900d90366c9707755e179bcb8212cced69f48" data-origin-width="777" data-origin-height="485"></div><p>2) Conservaive(보수적인) 결과</p><p> </p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/c547b971e8927f2d9698ba39094b12b9e1778e02" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/c547b971e8927f2d9698ba39094b12b9e1778e02" data-origin-width="601" data-origin-height="276"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/504c236f5a9101619761597e36c1726c9721b332" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/504c236f5a9101619761597e36c1726c9721b332" data-origin-width="781" data-origin-height="476"></div><p>3) 후회를 최소화하는 결과</p><p> </p><p>2. Probabilities가 주어진 상황</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/6f0414be7c5e5c38e744603a82a140517d5f4766" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/6f0414be7c5e5c38e744603a82a140517d5f4766" data-origin-width="567" data-origin-height="362"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignLeft" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/f91f5cdfe4d4ec1216ea5aeb260ddab1734698bf" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/f91f5cdfe4d4ec1216ea5aeb260ddab1734698bf" data-origin-width="448" data-origin-height="442"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/4798a68e1f0b4457e599d5f33f10aa4a5f908a36" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/G7Le/4798a68e1f0b4457e599d5f33f10aa4a5f908a36" data-origin-width="782" data-origin-height="588"></div><p>1) 기댓값이 가장 높은 것을 선택하는 결과</p>