2013 NBA Draft 1픽의 행방은?

[DDDefense]

캐벌리어스의 1픽 행방에 대한 관심과 궁금증이 커져가고 있습니다 왜냐하면 이번 드래프트에는 압도적인 확실한 1픽감이 없기

때문인데 이로인해 여러가지 루머가 나오고 있습니다.

1. 픽 다운 트레이드

위저즈-캐벌리어스는 2년 연속 로터리에서 묘하게 얽히게 되었는데 작년엔 브래들리 빌을 놓고 치열한 물밑작업을 했다면

이번엔 오토 포터를 놓고 다시 한 번 심리전을 할거라고 생각합니다 구글로 드래프트에 관한 기사들을 읽고 있는데 아직 수많은

변수가 많이 남아있지만 확실한건 오토 포터가 캐벌리어스에 당장 즉각적인 변화를 줄 수 있는 퍼펙트 핏이라는점 입니다

약점으로 지적되는 슛을 만들어내는 능력과 롤 플레이어 스타일은 1-2번 투 볼핸들러 백코트 듀오가 포제션을 많이 가져가는

현 상황에서는 오히려 지금의 캐벌리어스에게는 득이되는 스타일 입니다 문제는 롤플레이어를 1픽으로 지명하기에는 너무

아깝다는데 있습니다 여기서 캐브스-위저즈간에 머리싸움이 생길 수 있습니다 대외적으로 보이는 부분이 아닌 정말로 원하는

선수는 누구냐는점 인데 지금 위저즈는 3픽에서 포터와 베넷을 두고 저울질할 가능성이 높다고 봅니다 기사에는 위저즈가 베넷을

 높게 평가한다는 말도 있는데 결국 최우선순위가 포터냐? 베넷이냐?를 캐브스가 알아채느냐 못하느냐도 꽤 중요하다고 봅니다

왜냐하면 캐브스가 이번 드랩에서 가장 원하는 선수는 오토 포터일 가능성이 매우 높기 때문입니다 적어도 전 그렇게 봅니다만...

위저즈가 베넷을 뽑는다고 생각한다면 픽 다운 트레이드 확율은 더 높아질거라 보고 그게 아니라면 쉽게 픽 다운 트레이드 하기도

 힘들거라고 봅니다 기사들을 보면 캐브스가 1픽으로 오토 포터를 고려한다는 말도 있는데 가능성 없는 얘기도 아닙니다

캐브스팬으로 이왕이면 4,5픽팀인 샬럿 또는 피닉스와 픽 다운 트레이드를 하여 포터를 뽑고 +@를 얻을수 있다면 좋을거라는

생각인데 피닉스,샬럿이 벤 맥클레모어나 노엘을 원할 경우 가능성 있다고 봅니다 이럴 경우 베스트 시나리오는

1. 피닉스-벤 맥클레모어

2. 올랜도-너렌스 노엘 또는 트레이 버크

3. 워싱턴-앤써니 베넷 또는 오토 포터

4. 샬럿-빅터 올라디포

5. 클리블랜드-오토 포터 또는 알렉스 렌 또는 빅터 올라디포

1. 샬럿-벤 맥클레모어

2. 올랜도-너렌스 노엘 또는 트레이 버크

3. 워싱턴-앤써니 베넷 또는 오토 포터

4. 클리블랜드-오토 포터 또는 알렉스 렌 또는 빅터 올라디포

5. 피닉스-빅터 올라디포

캐브스는 포터,렌,올라디포 셋 중 남아있는 선수를 가져가도 나쁘지 않다고 봅니다

샬럿 또는 피닉스와 트레이드해 +@를 얻고 4픽 또는 5픽에서 오토 포터를 지명하는게 캐브스에게는 베스트 시나리오라고

생각합니다 또 하나 올랜도 역시 픽 다운을 시도할 가능성이 높은게 버크를 2픽에서 뽑긴 조금 아쉽고 피닉스-워싱턴-샬럿-클블은

더 이상의 PG는 필요치 않기 때문입니다 개인적으로 클리블랜드-샬럿간의 딜이 가능성 높다고 보고 언제 일어나도 놀라지 않을거

같습니다 샬럿은 탤런트가 필요하고 클리블랜드는 픽다운으로 포터+@를 얻는게 목표라고 봐서...  물론 웨이터스를 식스맨으로

돌리고 맥클레모어를 쓸수도 있지만 팀 방향성과 맞지않는 선택이라과봐 확율적으로 조금 떨어진다고 봅니다 디펜스를 보강하기  

위해 마이크 브라운을 선임한만큼 왠만하면 디펜스를 잡아줄 수 있는 선수를 선호할거 같네요 가드진을 어빙,맥클레모어,웨이터스

셋으로 구성하는건 좋은 퍼리미터 디펜더가 없어 수비력에 문제가 있지 않을까 하는 생각이 듭니다 차라피 가능만 하다면

캐브스는 픽 다운으로 올라디포를 뽑고 싶어 할거라 보는데 워낙 드랩 자원들이 고만고만해 +@를 크게 얻진 못할거 같습니다

2. 트레이드

여러 기사에서 캐벌리어스가 케빈 러브와 라마커스 알드리지에 관심을 보이며 픽+유망주로 알아볼거라는 말들이 나왔습니다

이유는 두 선수다 BQ가 좋고 외곽이 좋은 거기다 어빙-웨이터스와 2:2 게임을 잘할수 있는 선수들이기 때문입니다 현실성이

낮다고 치부했으나 캐브스가 1픽을 얻으면서 어느정도 가능성은 있지 않을까 하는 생각도 있습니다 러브라면 톰슨+1픽

알드리지 라면 바레장+1픽 정도를 제안하지 않을까 생각되는데 만약이라도 러브를 얻기 위해 톰슨+1픽을 제안한다면 개인적으로

 구단에 크게 실망할거 같습니다 반면 포틀에서 어떻게 생각할지 모르겠지만 바레장+1픽으로 알드리지라면 캐브스팬으로써

고려해볼만 하다고 봅니다 순전히 팬 입장에서 하는 얘기니 너무 언짢아 하지 마시길...;;;

제 생각에 캐브스는 바레장+1픽을 이용해 빅딜을 구상하지 않을까 생각해 봅니다 여차하면 19,31,33픽까지 포함될지도...

3. 너렌스 노엘

노엘에 대한 큰 의구심은 충분히 이해할 수 있으나 반대로 생각해보면 미국 나이로 18세인 선수가 앞으로 어떻게 성장할지

예측한다는것도 상당히 힘든일이 아닐까 생각됩니다 웃긴건 캐벌리어스 현지 팬들 사이에서도 의견이 분분하다는점 입니다 

노엘은 그만큼 하이 리스크로 취급받고 있습니다 제가 생각했을때 노엘의 관건은 3년 정도로 잡고 얼마나 자연스럽게 벌크업

시키냐 하는 부분인데 버티는 힘이 어느정도 생길 수 있느냐 체중이 늘었을때 얼마나 지금의 스피드 운동능력을 유지할수 있느냐

 하는 부분이 중요할듯 합니다 쉽게 말해 노엘이 버티는 힘만 생기고 풀시즌으로 경기당 30~35분을 소화해줄 수 있다면

NBA에서 센터로도 자리매김 할수 있지 않을까 조심스레 생각해 봅니다 정 아니면 이 선수는 PF로 가고 슛 레인지 있는 빅맨과

뛴다면 그것도 충분히 경쟁력 있을거라고 봅니다 왜냐면 그만큼 잘 뛰고 빠르고 농구센스와 디펜스 능력이 뛰어나기 때문인데

그래도 베스트는 C로 가능성이 있느냐는 부분이라고 봅니다 부족한 힘과 체격을 메울수 있는 농구센스와 운동능력은 분명 있는데

 얼마나 이 부족한 부분을 메우기 위해 노력하는지가 노엘의 커리어를 좌우할거라 봅니다 또 하나 문제는 노엘 역시 내년 시즌

중,후반은 되야 정상적으로 뛸거같고 미래를 내다보는 프로젝트성이 강한데 캐벌리어스도 이제는 플옵 컨텐더로 올라서야 한다는

점이 노엘을 지명하기 쉽지 않은 이유중 하나입니다 부상 회복 여부만 아니면 노엘을 뽑을 확율이 가장 높아보이긴 합니다만 근데

변수가 많고 하이 리스크 빅맨이라 13년은 1픽부터 예측하기 힘든 드래프트가 될거 같습니다 빅딜의 가능성도 충분히 있고

노엘-맥클레모어-포터 셋 중 누구를 뽑을지 팬인 저로써도 알기 힘드네요;;;

* NBA Drart 사이트에 올라온 목 드래프트 입니다 지금 목 드랩이 터져 나오는데 1픽에 포터보단 노엘-맥클레모어를 지목하는

분위기 입니다 이건 아무래도 그나마 노엘-맥클레모어가 높은 레벨의 선수라는 뜻이지 않을까 생각되네요 TOP 2 ? 이와 달리

채드포드를 비롯한 다른 전문가들은 캐브스가 맥클레모어를 쓰기위해 지명할거라 보지 않고 있습니다 맥클레모어가 1픽

후보로 뜨는것도 충분히 이해할 수 있는게 컴패리즌인 레이 알렌처럼 리그에서 오래 장수할 수 있는 압도적인 운동능력을 갖춘

좋은 슛터이기 때문입니다 SG 포지션이 상대적으로 빈약하기도 하구요 거기다 노엘의 ACL과 프로젝트성 빅맨이라는점 스키니한

몸으로 인해 부정적인 시각도 꽤 있는듯 합니다

Extended NBA Mock Draft 4.0

By Aran_Smith

 

1.			Ben McLemore 6-5 190 SG Kansas Fr.	After taking Dion Waiters with the fourth pick last year, going with Noel seems to make more sense, but if history is any lessen going with their top rated prospect regardless of position is the best recipe for success. This pick will come down to who the team values more between McLemore and Noel. And Tristan vs Waiters could also factor in, but Waiters probably would still work in a 6th man role, while Noel and Tristan probably duplicate one another too much. After Nerlens Noel suffered a season ending ACL injury, McLemore became the favorite to be the top pick. But with inconsistent play, culminated by a dreadful tourney performance in which he scored 2 points on 0-9 shooting vs. UNC, McLemore left the door open for Noel to go first even with the ACL injury. McLemore bounced back with a big final game against Michigan, showing off his feathery touch and athletic gifts. He is not a finished product and scouts will nitpick his level of assertiveness and lack of a fiery personality leading up to the draft. But at the end of the day, he's the guy in this draft with the greatest shot at becoming a superstar. While the feat has not been accomplished (a SG going 1) in 40 years, McLemore is in position to do it. His outside shot is comparable to a perfect golf swing, it's a thing of beauty. Combine that with freakish athleticism and you have a high level prospect. NBA Comparison: Ray Allen
2.			Nerlens Noel 6-11 206 PF Kentucky Fr.	Orlando executed their plan to rebuild quickly by trading away veterans and ending up with the most losses on the year. They got into ideal position with the 2nd pick and will likely take whomever is left over between Noel and McLemore. On the bright side for Noel in sustaining the ACL injury, he no longer had any more games for scouts to nitpick the deficiencies in his skill set. His value to the Wildcats also became abundantly clear as the team languished without him, falling short of the NCAA tournament, dropping 4 of 8 in his absence. Noel's length, leaping ability and cat-like reflexes make him an extraordinary shot blocker. He shows a willingness to hustle and play hard, which combined with his elite level athleticism is very encouraging. His offensive game, however, is extremely raw and may never be anything more than put back dunks and hook shots. He also needs to get much stronger as his upper body and legs are rail thin, evidenced by his 206 lb combine weight. Granted, added weight could ultimately put even more stress on what appear to be fragile knees. The other real concern is that Noel tore the same ACL that he had torn as a sophomore in high school. After coming back faster than doctors had recommended, some wonder if this recent injury was inevitable and whether there could be structural damage making further injuries to the same knee more likely. Regardless, Noel's ability to impact the defensive end puts him in the running for the top overall pick and he should land in the top 2, despite not being able to fully work out for teams leading up to the draft. NBA Comparison: Larry Sanders
3.			Otto Porter 6-9 200 SF Georgetown So.	The Jan Vesely experiment has not worked out leaving the door open to add local guy Otto Porter. Another local product Alex Len is a possibility. Porter made a very impressive jump from his freshman to sophomore seasons, showing no difficulty in becoming the leader of the team and winning Big East Player of the Year. Otto is about as low risk as it gets in this draft, however his ceiling isn't as great as some of the other top prospects. He's a relentless defender and a pro athlete, but it's unlikely that he will ever be an elite level scorer. He's very thin, but weight/strength shouldn't be an issue at the 3 position. He showed the ability to knock down key shots throughout his short college career. Despite a less than picture perfect jumpshot, he gets results. Porter's consistency and potential makes him a likely top 5 pick in this year's draft. NBA Comparison: Tayshaun Prince
4.			Victor Oladipo 6-4 214 SG/SF Indiana Jr.	Oladipo would be an absolute reach at 4, but when has Charlotte been known for making practical decisions? Oladipo is a late bloomer who draws rave reviews for his demeanor and personality from those who have spent time around him. While he may lack superstar potential, he appears to be the ultimate glue type player as an overachiever who brings boundless energy. His explosiveness is off the charts (42 inch vert at combine), particularly off of two feet and his shooting and ball handling have shown surprising improvement. At 6'4 in shoes, he's undersized, taking his long term potential down a notch. Some wild comparisons such as Dwyane Wade and even Michael Jordan have been thrown out for Oladipo. But those are unfair for a player who projects as a high level role player, but not a star at the next level. NBA Comparison: Tony Allen
5.			Anthony Bennett 6-7 240 PF UNLV Fr.	The Suns are in need of talent and bennett has been talented about as a possible #1 overall pick and gives them an upside pick. Despite being 6'7, Bennett's wingspan makes him essentially a 6'9 player and he's got massive shoulders and hands. Bennett wins the award for most vicious dunks in college as he had numerous dunks that reminded fans of Shaq. He lacks the foot speed to defend on the perimeter, essentially making him a stretch 4. Some scouts have even mentioned him as a potential #1 pick, though that's probably a reach, considering he's a tweener and the last 6'9 or under PF to go first was Kenyon Martin. Bennett battled injury problems in high school and appeared to be breaking down some towards the end of the year. His post season shoulder surgery reinforces his reputation for being injury prone and has made it impossible for him to work out for teams leading up to the draft. Without the injury concerns he'd likely be a top 5 pick, with them he could slide a few spots. NBA Comparison: Rodney Rogers
6.			Trey Burke 6-1 190 PG Michigan So.	New Orleans will hope that Burke can make the same type of impact that his idol Chris Paul made on the city. Burke's performance against Kansas was legendary, as he refused to allow his team to lose, coming up with all the big plays down the stretch including a game tying 3 in the final seconds. Burke was not only the top PG in the nation this year, he was the best player in the nation. He carried the Wolverines all season with a will to win that was unmatched on the college level. His 6'5 wingspan helps offset his 6'1 frame giving him some additional length to get shots off. On the negative side, Burke lacks elite level speed and athleticism, making it a challenge for him to gain separation on opponents. While detractors may argue that Burke's attributes will make the transition to the next level difficult, his "immeasurables"; competitiveness, heart and determination are off the charts. NBA Comparison: Kemba Walker
7.			Cody Zeller 7-0 230 PF/C Indiana So.	A high character guy like Zeller would be a nice addition to Sacramento's dysfunctional family. Zeller's stock took the bigest hit during the NCAA tournament as he looked shell shocked in their Sweet Sixteen loss to Syracuse and their 2-3 zone defense. He failed to live up to the preseason hype and much of the time chose to defer instead of taking on the role of the team's star. It obviously took a toll on his draft stock, but a tremendous combine has him back on track. His 35.5 inch standing jump is the highest recorded for a bigman in years. Zeller shows the ability to knock down mid range shots with regularity and runs the floor like a gazelle, which is rare for a 7-footer. Unfortunately his post game did not advance the way many expected, although big men take the longest to develop. It's easy to forget all the positives: Zeller is a 7 footer, he's 19 years old, a hard worker, and similar to Drummond last year, many seem to have overreacted after he failed to live up to the #1 preseason hype. NBA Comparison: LaMarcus Aldridge
8.			CJ McCollum 6-3 197 PG/SG Lehigh Sr.	McCollum would pair with Knight in the backcourt and push him as the team's future starting PG. As a likely first rounder in 2012, some questioned McCollum's decision to return to campus despite virtually knocking defending champion Duke out of the NCAA tournament single handedly. This year CJ was able to establish himself in many scout's minds before going down with a season ending broken foot. He's got a nasty crossover and ISO game, showing a great ability to get defenders on their heels a la Steph Curry, before pulling up for jumpers. There are some concerns surround his ability to play the PG position as well as defend. Despite missing a large portion of the season, McCollum has a real chance to go top 10 and is a sheik pick as the top PG prospect in this year's draft. NBA Comparison: Stephen Curry
9.			Alex Len 7-1 255 C Maryland So.	The Timberwolves have a promising young roster and could groom Len behind Pekovic for a few seasons. Len shows the agility to get up and down the floor, make plays at the rim and the touch to knock down shots from mid range. While some may knock his fluidity, toughness and consistency, bigs take time. For a 20 year old who is still adjusting to American culture, being away from Ukraine where he grew up, his sophomore season was excellent. His stress fracture came at a bad time as teams won't get the chance to see him work out leading up to the draft, but he doesn't figure to fall very far. Len is the classic boom or bust pick that teams in the mid lottery will be afraid to take as well as not miss on. NBA Comparison: Jonas Valanciunas
10.			Dario Saric 6-10 225 PF Split Croatia 1994	The Blazers don't have a real position of need but a versatile forward such as Saric would help bolster their frontcourt. Saric is an immensely skilled forward who was a point guard in his junior years but due to his growth spurt has become a forward. He lacks the foot speed to defend on the wing which means he must continue to put weight on and become a power forward. He has tremendous ball handling, passing and feel for the game, but whether or not he has the quickness to utilize those skills is the question. He still has a lot of work to do on his jump shot, but his desire to be great makes him one of the top international prospect for this years draft, despite some physical limitations. NBA Comparison: Dejan Bodiroga
11.			Kelly Olynyk 7-0 234 C Gonzaga Jr.	The Sixers are forced to start over at the center position after trading away a lot of assets for an absolute dud in Andrew Bynum. Olynyk is a little bit similar to Hawes but younger and gives them a skilled big who can contribute right away. He was flying way under the radar before this season, having red shirted last year with Robert Sacre as the team's starting center. He was arguably the most dominant big in the country and despite Gonzaga's flame out in the tourney, he was solid. Kelly lacks great athleticism and quickness, but shows the skill set of a 10 year veteran. Olynyk's ability to defend the pick and roll has led scouts to believe he can make it defensively in the league. He's got a Euro-style game, but many scouts are convinced that his skill level and size will be enough to overcome a lack of sheer athleticism and become a solid NBA post player. NBA Comparison: Spencer Hawes
12.			Dennis Schroeder 6-2 168 PG Germany 1993	Rumors persist that Schroeder has a promise, and the Thunder are known for utilizing them. Schroeder used a tremendous week in Portland at the Hoop Summit in practices and the game to skyrocket up team's draft boards. He combines elite level quickness with solid decision making. While his season in Germany was just average, he seems to have made real strides recently. His shot was a little inconsistent throughout the week of practices in Portland, but looked very solid in the game. His ability to handle the ball in traffic is impressive. He's got an extra gear that allows him to get by defenders any time he wants to. He also possesses good size at the PG position at 6-2 with a 6-7 wingspan. After a great Hoop Summit performance, Schroeder has jumped up into late lotto-mid first round area. NBA Comparison: Darren Collison
13.			Kentavious Caldwell Pope 6-6 205 SG Georgia So.	With OJ Mayo possibly on the way out a SG that can give them instant scoring like KCP would be a solid addition. KCP is an underrated athlete with the ability to get to the rack as well as create and knock down shots on the perimeter. He doesn't blow you away in any one area, but he's a good shooter and scorer. After a freshman season in which he struggled with efficiency, he was able to improve upon his shooting from the floor and beyond the arch. He'll get looks in the late lottery and should find a spot somewhere in the first round. NBA Comparison: Michael Redd
14.			Michael Carter Williams 6-6 185 PG Syracuse So.	Utah needs a PG and MCW gives them a lot of versatility at the position. Carter-Williams is a true point guard with tremendous size. At 6'6 he reminds some of the high school version of Shawn Livingston that many became so enamored with before his tragic knee injury. Though not quite the talent, MCW's ability to set teammates up for baskets is special for a player his size. His length, having a near 6'9 wingspan really helps his cause defensively. He has a lot of work to do on his outside shooting and must prove that he can hang with the speed of today's NBA PGs. He would likely pair well with a small 2-guard like Monta Ellis as he would probably be better suited defending 2 guards while running the point. He's got some off court baggage (shop lifting incident) that will need to be addressed in interviews with teams. Plus, the track record for Syracuse products has not been great in recent years. He's another boom or bust pick who could end up a star or not even making it in the league. In a down draft, Carter-Williams has top 10 potential. NBA Comparison: Shaun Livingston
15.			Steven Adams 7-0 255 C Pittsburgh Fr.	Milwaukee has had success taking projects like Larry Sanders, and Adams shows a lot of upside but will take time. Adams was a surprise entry as many felt he needed more time in college to develop his feel for the game and post skills. Adams used a very strong draft combine performance, displaying a surprisingly accurate midrange jumper to likely ensure a place in the top 20, and could even snag a late lotto spot. He is a long term project due to his lack of experience and feel for the game but could really develop into a high level center given time and the right situation. NBA Comparison: Meyers Leonard
16.			Shabazz Muhammad 6-6 225 SF UCLA Fr.	Boston usually does a good job of maximizing talent at their picks and Shabazz could be highly undervalued by draft night and slip out of the lottery. Credit Shabazz for participating in the combine, unfortunately his sub par shooting did not help his cause. This is a little low for him, but scouts aren't sure what he brings a team if he's asked to be a role player. He's got the desire but has a lot of skill development left to work on. Shabazz had a rough ending to the season with the report coming out that he's actually 20 instead of 19 as his father had purported. He also struggled in UCLA's tourney loss to Minnesota shooting 6-for-18. But he's still one of the most talented prospects in this year's draft with a killer instinct and high level scoring ability. He has turned living with Tourette Syndrome into a positive as he plays with a chip on his shoulder exerting a high level of intensity at all times. Detractors point to his less than 1 assist per game, labeling him one dimensional and even a "ball hog". His character and abilities on the court could ultimately be undervalued by the time the draft takes place. NBA Comparison: Nick Young
17.			Mason Plumlee 6-11 238 PF Duke Sr.	With back to back picks the surprise playoff team, Atlanta Hawks address their frontcourt with Mason Plumlee. Plumlee was one of the surprises in college this year, but may slip to the teens due to his case of "senior-itis" Similar to last year with Tyler Zeller, younger prospects with more perceived upside may ultimately push the senior into the second half of the first round. He added some offensive skills around the basket, and played the year with surprising consistency. He is a better version of his brother Miles who somehow landed in the late first round in 2012. While he's not overly skilled in the post, he shows nice explosiveness, runs the floor well and shows a willingness to fight for rebounds and play tough in the paint. In such a weak draft, Plumlee figures to land in the teens. NBA Comparison: Yi Jianlian
18.			Lucas Nogueira 7-0 220 PF Brazil 1992	Bebe would give the Hawks the ability to bring him over right away or allow him to develop for another season in Spain. Nogueira is extremely raw, but players with his size and agility are rare. He had a breakout performance at the Copa America U18 tournament in 2010 and some NBA scouts came away saying he had top 5 pick potential. He lost most of that hype with a dreadful showing at the 2011 adidas Eurocamp in Treviso, but has a huge bounce back season playing in Spain for Estudiantes. "Bebe" developed a reputation for being soft and lazy, but this season he showed dedication and maturity that had been lacking from his game. For him, it's just a matter of becoming more aggressive and maintaining his focus. Bebe has proven himself in the ACB, Europe's best national league and has become our top International prospect for this year's draft. NBA Comparison: Samuel Dalembert
19.			Tony Snell 6-7 198 SG/SF New Mexico Jr.	The Cavs won the lottery and can add a position of need here with a wing like Snell. He is a player that has been steadily moving up team's boards since declaring for the draft. He had better than expected athleticism numbers at the draft combine and shows excellent ability to knock down outside shots as well as find open looks off the dribble. He's an unselfish player with upside left to develop and just needs to work on his level of intensity and consistency. NBA Comparison: Wesley Person
20.			Giannis Adetokoubo 6-9 205 SF/PF Greece 1994	The Bulls have European forward Nikola Mirotic still playing in Europe and could look for another player to draft and stash to keep off their books this year. Adetokoubo is this year's "International man of mystery". He's got a tremendous basketball body and some wicked highlights on youtube. The problem for him and scouts is that the level of competition that he's played at at is very low, considered by scouts as the equivalent to Div 2-3 college ball. So getting an accurate gauge of his talent and potential is difficult. He'll need to improve upon his shooting, but he's said to be further along than Batum at the same age and he's a similar type of athletic specimen. NBA Comparison: Nicolas Batum
21.			Shane Larkin 5-11 171 PG Miami So.	Larkin would be doubling up at the position but he would be a value pick and insurance in case the boom or bust MCW selection doesn't go smoothly. Larkin recorded the highest vertical leap ever at the draft combine with a 44 inch running jump. He was not far behind Trey Burke in terms of being a team leader and floor general on the college level and there are a number of scouts that actually prefer Larkin to Burke as a prospect. Larkin lacks Burke's resume and size, but shows much better isolation and separation ability off the dribble. As the son of hall of fame shortstop Barry Larkin, Shane has the pedigree to overcome a significant lack of size. NBA Comparison: DJ Augustin
22.			Rudy Gobert 7-2 238 C France 1992	The Nets have cap concerns and could look for a European with the possibility to keep him overseas, or trade out. Gobert failed to impress at the draft combine as he looked mechanical and slow running the floor. He has ridiculous length with a 7-foot-9 wingspan. He also possesses good shooting touch and appears to have a body that will allow him to add strength and eventually battle in the paint in the NBA.He struggled to put up consistent numbers in the French League. So the question is whether teams will be willing to look past the lack of productivity and draft him on potential. His mobility and athleticism are average by NBA standards and he still needs to get tougher and develop a better feel for the game. The concern with Gobert is whether he has the speed and agility in an NBA where quickness often trumps size. NBA Comparison: Shawn Bradley
23.			Tim Hardaway Jr 6-6 200 SG Michigan Jr.	The Pacers are in pretty good shape at all positions and with Paul George and Lance Stephenson's emergence aren't in need of a young wing, but Hardaway would add depth and shooting on the perimeter. Hardaway Jr. shows mental toughness and consistent effort at all times. He has a well developed offensive game with good elevation and form on his shot. The big knock on him has always been foot speed as he lacks a great first step to beat opponents off the dribble. He grew up around the game, and that is apparent with his focus and feel. Hardaway lacks great upside and is seen as a likely rotation player, but his toughness and professional approach gives him a After a strong combine, his first round chances continue to improve. NBA Comparison: Shandon Anderson
24.			Gorgui Dieng 6-11 230 PF/C Louisville Jr.	Dieng would help add depth to an aging frontcourt that battled through injuries all year with Tyson Chandler and Amare Stoudemire. Dieng benefited from Louisville's deep tourney run, as he was able to display the ability to consistently knock down mid range shots. While not a speed burner, he shows good defensive abilities, particularly in blocking shots. Dieng missed a portion of the year with a fractured wrist, but his return coincided with the team's resurgence as he anchored Louisville's interior defense. His condor like 7'3.5 wingspan makes him a formidable obstacle around the basket. NBA Comparison: Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje
25.			Allen Crabbe 6-6 197 SG California Jr.	The Clips could use some additional firepower off the bench and Crabbe has nice scoring ability. The Pac 12 player of the year, Crabbe has a sweet outside shooting stroke and solid athleticism. He also possesses good size for the 2-guard position. The biggest knock against him has been his toughness, level of intensity and consistency. He had a solid finish to the year, leading Cal into the second round of the tourney, but it seems that he's a player that needs a push (or shove) to motivate him. He's not considered a self starter, so landing in the right situation and having coaches and people around him that will facilitate his development will be key. Crabbe didn't always display the best body language and showing that he's a team player with a positive attitude in will be paramount. He'll need to do well in individual match ups in team workouts in order to convince scouts that he's a legitimate first rounder for this year's draft. NBA Comparison: Francisco Garcia
26.			Tony Mitchell 6-9 236 SF/PF North Texas So.	Minnesota could look for an upside pick here, and while Mitchell is more of a 4, he would like to transition to the 3 spot. He surprised many by returning to North Texas and was unable to enhance his draft stock. Mitchell struggled to improve upon his freshman season, putting up essentially the same numbers as a FR and fell from his lofty preseason projections. He is a unique player as he combines freakish length (7-foot-3 wingspan) and explosiveness. He seems to be convinced that he's a 3, and despite his chiseled physique, apparently does not enjoy battling in the paint. NBA Comparison: Thomas Robinson
27.			Erick Green 6-3 180 PG/SG Virginia Tech Sr.	The Nuggets have a deep and talented roster and could look for a Euro stash pick here. Green would give them more perimeter offensive firepower off the bench. The leading scorer in the country at 25 ppg, Green was forced to shoot a ton as he didn't have much help playing at Virginia Tech. He was not asked to be a distributor, so the question is just how much of a point guard he is. He showed some ability to play the position earlier in his college career, and some scouts really like him. He's a combo guard and lacks ideal size/athleticism if he's forced to play the 2 position. NBA Comparison: Delonte West
28.			Sergey Karasev 6-7 197 SG/SF Russia 1993	Sticking with their long Euro theme, Karasev is in the mold of a Danny Green and could come over in a couple seasons after working on his body. Already has Olympic experience playing for the Russian National team in London. Karasev did not have a great Hoop Summit shooting just 1-6 from distance, (3-10 overall for 7 pts) but his outside shooting impressed scouts all week and he had a breakout season playing in Russia, as the top player on his team. He lacks great speed and may struggle defensively with slow feet, but he's a decent athlete and shows some ability to get to the basket off the dribble as he did against top defender Rondae Hollis-Jefferson early on in the Hoop Summit. His jump shot, while a bit unorthodox is his biggest strength and should have him in position to grab a late first round spot. His English is good, and he seems to have the type of personality that will allow him to adjust to American culture without much of an issue. NBA Comparison: Danny Green
29.			DeShaun Thomas 6-7 220 SF/PF Ohio State Jr.	OKC needs immediate contributors as a contender, and Thomas fits the bill as a guy that could come in and provide scoring right away. Thomas doesn't have great athleticism or foot speed. In fact his movements resemble a creaky old NBA veteran who is in his 12th season. But he's such a tremendous scorer that he's getting first round buzz from scouts. He was considered a top prospect in his class throughout high school and had a prolific college career. There are legitimate concerns about how well his game will translate as he plays like an undersized, stretch 4, but his ability to get "buckets" and score points can't be overlooked. NBA Comparison: Ryan Gomes
30.			Jamaal Franklin 6-5 191 SG/SF San Diego St. Jr.	The Suns take a somewhat local guy as SD and PHX are a hop and a skip away, and Franklin offers energy and athleticism to a team in need of talent. Franklin is a bit of a 2/3, showing better ability to slash and affect the game with his athleticism than smooth guard skills, but competes hard. Some concerns linger about character and attitude exist with an incident flipping off a fan and/or referee have him on the first round bubble. NBA Comparison: Will Barton

 여러가지 말이 많지만 캐브스팬 입장에서 봤을때 이번 드래프트에서 실질적으로 구단이 가장 원할 선수는 오토 포터와

알렉스 렌이라고 봅니다 픽다운을 하고 오토 포터나 알렉스 렌 둘 중 한명을 지명할 확율 충분히 있다고 봅니다 

[Melo-Drama]

오토포터가 1픽 베넷이 4픽이라.. 이번 드래프트 뎁스 진짜 너무하네요..

[Ty Awesome]

포틀은 알드리지가 트레이드 요청을 하지 않는 이상 저 딜 안할겁니다 미네라면 그나마 가능성이 조금 있다고 생각합니다

[muzzle]

강한 드래프트면 top5 픽이 올스타급 선수로도 팔리는데 올해는 어림도 없을겁니다.
클리블랜드가 1픽으로 얻을 수 있는 베테랑 스윙맨은 기껏해야 루올 뎅 정도겠죠.
미네소타도 널렌스 노엘+트리스탄 톰슨 받고 케빈 러브 팔진 않을겁니다.

채드 포드 얘기로는 GM들이 다들 이번 드래프트를 싫어해서
픽 팔거나 픽다운 하려는 GM은 많은데 픽 사려는 사람은 아무도 없다고 하더군요

[DDDefense]

이번 드랩 1픽의 가치가 낮은건 사실이나 벤 맥클레모어는 SG 기근인 NBA에서 분명 매력있는 선수라고 봅니다 압도적인 운동능력은 둘째로 하고 완성된 슛팅은 컴패리즌인 레이 알렌처럼 리그에서 장수할 가능성을 갖고 있다고 봐서요 그리고 러브에 대한 생각은 개개인마다 틀릴거 같네요 솔직히 전 가성비로 봐도 그렇고 톰슨+1픽을 내줄만큼인지는 굉장히 의문입니다 최근 러브가 개인,팀 성적이 부진했고 부상이 잦아 더 그런거 같네요

[muzzle]

맥클레모어가 레이 알렌과의 비교는 아직 시기상조죠.
브래들리 빌이나 에릭 고든과의 비교가 더 적합하다고 봅니다

[[CHA] MSI]

개인적으로 올랜도는 부셰비치도 있고 넬슨의 후계자가 필요한 시점이라 트레이 버크 뽑을것 같고요. 노엘이 어디서 픽될지는 잘 모르겠지만 올랜도가 버크를 뽑는다면 남은 팀들 모두 그럭저럭 자기들이 원하는 선수 뽑을 수 있어서 클블이 top 5내에서의 픽다운을 시도한다 해도 받아줄 팀이 있을지가 의문이네요.

[[CHA] MSI]

디온 웨이터스야...당시 말로는 8픽아래에서도 뽑았어도 충분히 뽑을 수 있는 선수였기 때문에 픽다운이 아쉬웠지만 올해는 어줍잖게 픽다운하느니 그냥 뽑고 싶은 선수 칼픽하는게 좋아보입니다

[DDDefense]

맞습니다 저 역시 올라디포가 매력적이고 좋은 선수라고 봐 픽업해서 맥클레모어를 원할팀이 많을지는 의문입니다;;

그래도 맥클레모어에 꽂혀서 1픽을 문의하는 팀이 한,두팀은 있지 않을까 하는 생각도 합니다 기존의 팀들 다 포함해서요

그게 샬럿,피닉스일 가능성도 꽤 있을거라고 봅니다만...

그리고 웨이터스 얘기는 사실 지겹지만 8픽 아래서 절대 뽑을수 없었습니다

5,7,8 킹스 워리어스 랩터스에서 큰 관심을 보였기 때문이죠

[[CHA] MSI]

그런가요. 언급해주신 3팀은 대부분 MKG, 반즈와 같은 스몰 포워드를 노리고 있지 않았나요. 웨이터스를 원하는 팀은 거의 없었던 걸로 기억하는데요.

[DDDefense]

MKG는 이미 드래프트 보드 가장 위쪽에 있었고 웨이터스 VS 반즈라고 본다면 구단의 속마음까지는 모르겠지만 킹스,랩터스,워리어스

세 팀은 분명 웨이터스에 관심을 두고 있다는 기사와 루머가 있었습니다 웨이터스를 원하는 팀이 거의 없었다는건 사실이 아닙니다

당시 전문가들 역시 SG를 구하는 캐브스가 빌을 뽑지 못하는 대신 웨이터스를 픽한것에 대해 그렇게 특별하게 여기지 않았었죠

웨이터스 같은 타입은 호불호가 갈릴 타입이긴 합니다... 가치를 보기에 따라 낮게도 높게도 볼 수 있겠죠

[[CHA] MSI]

일단 제가 웨이터스의 현재 가치를 절하하려는게 아니라는거 알아주셨으면 합니다. 하지만 당시에 웨이터스의 평가는 원탑이었던 AD 그리고 MKG, 토로, 반즈, 드류먼드, 빌, 올해의 ROY까지 7명의 top7의 확실한 아래였죠. 거기다 토론토가 8픽으로 top15중 하위로 여겨졌던 로스를 픽한것만 보아도 얼마나 SF보강에 절실했는지 알 수 있는 대목이었다고 생각합니다. 추가로 9픽인 디트로이트는 웨이터스에 특별한 관심을 가지지않았죠. 존 헨슨이나 혹시 미끄러져 내려올지 모르는 올스타급 재능을 보고 있었고요. 웨이터스는 대부분 이 9번픽 이후에 가드를 원하는 팀에서 언급되는 수준이었습니다

[[CHA] MSI]

대부분의 목드랩이나 전문가 예상에서도 웨이터스는 top10안에 이름을 넣기도 못넣기도 하는 정도였죠. 드랩 당시에 그랬다는거죠 뭐; 너무 기분나쁘게 받아들이시지 않았으면 하네요.

[muzzle]

우선, 테렌스 로스는 SF가 아니라 SG 입니다.
그리고 토론토에서는 드랩 보드에서 로스가 8번째 선수였고, 남은 선수 중 가장 높은 선수라 뽑았다고 했습니다.
즉, 토론토에서는 웨이터스를 로스 보다 위로 보고 있었습니다.
보통 웨이터스를 top 10으로는 보고 있었고
존 홀링저나 케빈 펠튼 같은 통계 전문가들은 최고 선수 중 하나로 웨이터스를 지목했었습니다.

[[CHA] MSI]

테렌스 로스가 가드였군요..그런데 저는 웨이터스의 재능이 top10안에 못든다는것이 아니라 top7을 제외하고 나서 팀들의 니즈를 고려했을때 웨이터스의 픽이 top10에서 왔다갔다한다고 판단한것입니다. 당시 목드랩들도 그런 예측 결과가 많았고요. 제 생각만 놓고 본다면 로스가 스포였고 토론토가 스포를 원한다는 생각을 깔았을 때의 이야기입니다. 머즐님 말씀대로면 만약 토론토 픽까지 웨이터스가 있었다면 뽑았겠네요. 정확한 정보 감사드립니다.

[muzzle]

위에 언급됐듯이 새크라멘토나 골든 스테이트도 웨이터스에게 관심 있었습니다.
그러니 어떻게 된다 해도 top 10 안에는 들었을겁니다.
만일 클리블랜드가 4번 픽으로 해리슨 반즈를 뽑았다면
골든 스테이트가 7번 픽으로 웨이터스를 뽑았을 가능성도 높죠.

[모르는사람]

이번 드랲은 정말 고만고만하면서 올스타급 포텐을 가진 선수가 적어서 픽하기 어려울 것 같네요...
클블을 확실히 포터를 영입하는 게 좋아보이는데~
샬럿을 꼬셔야겠죠;;;
그러면 샬럿이 처분하고 싶어하는 선수를 받아야 할텐데 누굴 줄까요?! 타토?!

[clon alone]

디엥, 사리치, 노게리아를 노려보고 있었는데 디엥은 주가가 떨어지고 사리치는 꽤 올랐네요.
근데 올해 로터리 말고 1라운드 하위픽 뎁스는 괜찮은 편이건가요?

[▶◀[天雨]Punch Drunk]

샤바즈 무하메드는 주가가 엄청 떨어졌네요

[광속가넷]

대체 슈가1픽이 얼마만인지 생각도 안나네요
제가 알기로 30년내에 없었던거 같은데
맥클모어 어떤선수인지 궁금해지네요