해외 전문가들의 어플릭션2 예상

[엠엠에이 하우스!]

WAMMA Heavyweight Title Bout:
	FEDOR EMELIANENKO	vs.	ANDREI ARLOVSKI
	"The Last Emperor"	Nickname	"The Pitbull"
	32	Age	29
	6-0	Height	6-4
	28-1-1	Record	14-5-0
	6	KO/TKOs	10
	15	Submissions	3
	9 wins	Streak	5 wins
	def. Tim Sylvia Affliction: Banned 7/19/2008	Last Fight	def. Roy Nelson EliteXC Heat 10/4/2008

Writers' Picks
Denny Burkholder: This is probably the strongest non-UFC main event you could possibly ask for. Arlovski has won five in a row and is a legit threat to beat Fedor Emelianenko with strikes. But the fight becomes a mismatch the second it hits the ground, and unless Arlovski can overwhelm Fedor with punches and finish it early, the bout will inevitably hit the canvas at some point. Arlovski can win, but will he? I don't think so. Emelianenko by submission, Round 2. And don't be shocked if it's via TKO, either... Arlovski is a threat standing, but Fedor is a threat everywhere.	Sam Caplan: Arlovski could possibly be the most skilled opposition that Fedor has ever faced. Arlovski not only trained with famed boxing trainer Freddie Roach leading up to this fight, but also worked with top wrestlers. I expect Arlovski to fight well and give Fedor a scare, but I expect Fedor to close the distance in the second round and get Arlovski to the mat either via an upper cut or a takedown throw. Once the fight hits the floor, it will be all Fedor.	Todd Martin: I think a lot of people are underselling Andrei Arlovski in this fight. He’s a great striker with solid takedown defense and knockout power. I would not be shocked if Arlovski won via decisive knockout in the first round. With that said, he’s facing Fedor. I haven’t picked against Fedor since he defeated Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira the first time, and I don’t plan on changing that any time soon. He finds a way, whether it’s by exposing a hole in Arlovski’s standup or taking Arlovski down and going to town.	Ben Fowlkes: I can’t tell you how sick I am of hearing about Arlovski’s boxing skills, so instead I’ll say one last time: this isn’t boxing. Freddie Roach may know “the sweet science,” but he doesn’t know MMA. If Arlovski tries to fight Fedor like a boxer he’ll get taken down and submitted early in the first. You need more than good striking skills to beat the world’s best heavyweight. You need a ground game that consists of more than a loose guard and a submissions arsenal with more than a straight foot lock. Arlovski doesn’t have what it takes on the mat, and he’ll get submitted before the second round is out.	Gary Herman: What Arlovski has more than anyone Emelianenko has faced in the past few years (including Mirko Cro Cop) is superior striking skills. That being said, Arlovski has only one chance to beat the world’s best fighter. Arlovski has to knock out Emelianenko. If the fight goes to the ground, Fedor wins. If the fight goes the distance, Fedor wins. And to underestimate Emelianenko’s striking skills would also be a big mistake. Emelianenko leveled Tim Sylvia with one of the most vicious standing assaults in recent memory. Arlovski is a great fighter, but this is an easy pick. Emelianenko gets the fight to ground and wins by submission.

 

Heavyweight Bout:
	JOSH BARNETT	vs.	GILBERT YVEL
	"The Babyfaced Assassin"	Nickname	"The Hurricane"
	31	Age	32
	6-3	Height	6-2
	23-5-0	Record	35-12-2
	5	KO/TKOs	30
	14	Submissions	5
	3 wins	Streak	7 wins
	def. Pedro Rizzo Affliction: Banned 7/19/2008	Last Fight	def. Alexander Timonov M-1 Challenge 9 11/21/2008

Writers' Picks
Denny Burkholder: Yvel has 35 career wins and 30 of those were via KO/TKO. For that reason alone, you can't completely count him out of any fight. But he's fighting Barnett, who hasn't been beaten by KO since Pedro Rizzo did it way back at UFC 30 in 2001. Barnett's a much better, smarter fighter now, and he'll exploit Yvel's weakness on the ground after weathering an early striking attack. Barnett via submission, Round 1.	Sam Caplan: This fight would have been intriguing four years ago but Yvel is definitely no longer in the peak of his career. He’s still a threat with his standup, but Barnett’s boxing has improved a great deal. Barnett usually fights smart so I expect him to take Yvel down and control him on the ground. I believe Barnett wins this fight via unanimous decision.	Todd Martin: Assuming everything succeeds in clearing Yvel for the fight, this is custom made for Josh Barnett. Yvel has always been susceptible to submissions, and Barnett is really slick on the ground. Barnett should take the fight to the ground and have Yvel tapping in a matter of minutes if not seconds.	Ben Fowlkes: Yvel is a scary guy to face in a kickboxing match or street fight, but he’s nowhere near the technician in all aspects of the game that Barnett is. As long as Barnett isn’t foolish enough to play his game (and I’ve never known Barnett to be a foolish man) he should have no problem beating Yvel. It’s just been too long since Yvel fought an MMA fighter at the top of his game, as Barnett is now. I foresee a first-round submission for “The Babyfaced Assassin.”	Gary Herman: I would rather this match have been Barnett vs. Tim Sylvia, but that would put a lot at risk for Affliction. Clearly, this fight was set up to give Barnett a victory over a decent opponent and to prepare Barnett for the Emelianenko-Arlovski winner. Yvel’s career has been marred by a myriad of disqualifications and other mental mistakes. There’s no way he fixes them here. He’s a good striker, but he’s not that good. Barnett will win the matchup by submission.

 

Middleweight Bout:
	VITOR BELFORT	vs.	MATT LINDLAND
	"The Phenom"	Nickname	"The Law"
	32	Age	38
	6-0	Height	6-0
	17-8-0	Record	21-5-0
	11	KO/TKOs	7
	2	Submissions	7
	3 wins	Streak	1 win
	def. Terry Martin Affliction: Banned 7/19/2008	Last Fight	def. Fabio Nascimento Affliction: Banned 7/19/2008

Writers' Picks
Denny Burkholder: Lindland's career as an active fighter is on the down slope. Belfort's career has been a series of ups and downs, but he's currently looking better than he has in years. Lindland is somewhat of a bad style matchup for Belfort, who prefers to stand and slug it out. Lindland is too smart to allow that, so this thing will hit the canvas relatively early. While I favor Lindland on the ground, I predict Belfort will successfully escape once or twice, and upon the standup, he will rock Lindland for a TKO. Round 3.	Sam Caplan: Belfort looked sensational while making his middleweight debut this past July when he knocked off Terry Martin during Affliction’s “Banned” event. Trainer Shawn Tompkins likes to say that we’re seeing a “new Vitor” as opposed to the old one. Lindland’s striking has improved but he’s not going to be able to hang with Belfort on the feet. He needs to get the fight to the floor. If he does, he wins. If not, he loses. I am going to pick Lindland to win via unanimous decision.	Todd Martin: Vitor Belfort’s explosiveness makes him an extremely difficult fighter to deal with early in a fight. But Belfort’s morale can be broken by wrestlers, and the template for that was provided by longtime Lindland allies Randy Couture and Dan Henderson. Lindland should win via decision.	Ben Fowlkes: The question with Belfort is always, which version of “The Phenom” will show up on fight night? If it’s the plodding, tentative fighter who loses steam if he doesn’t win early on, as we’ve seen in the past, Lindland will bully his way right through him. But if it’s the slick and explosive striker who knocked out Terry Martin with a broken hand in July, Lindland’s in for a long night. My money’s on the latter. Lindland looked like a shadow of his former self against Fabio Nascimento, and as long as Belfort’s takedown defense is in order, he’ll score a TKO win.	Gary Herman: Lindland is a very dangerous fighter. He does not fight a crowd-pleasing style, but he fights in a way that is very hard to beat. Lindland’s wrestling is amongst the best in the sport. When you add the fact that Lindland is not willing to change the way he fights for applause, Belfort is in a very difficult position. Belfort is an outstanding striker with decent ground skills. However, those ground skills are nowhere near Lindland’s. Much like Arlovski, Belfort needs the quick knockout to win. He won’t get it. In a potentially boring fight, Lindland wins by unanimous decision.

 

Light Heavyweight Bout:
	RENATO SOBRAL	vs.	RAMEAU THIERRY SOKOUDJOU
	"Babalu"	Nickname	"African Assassin"
	33	Age	24
	6-1	Height	6-0
	31-7-0	Record	5-3-0
	3	KO/TKOs	4
	16	Submissions	0
	4 wins	Streak	1 loss
	def. Bobby Southworth Strikeforce: Destruction 11/21/2008	Last Fight	lost to Luis Arthur Cane UFC 89 10/18/2008

Writers' Picks
Denny Burkholder: Sokoudjou's problem is that once somebody figured out how to beat him, everyone followed suit, and Sokoudjou hasn't improved enough to patch the holes in his game. He's always been a lethal striker who starts quickly, but it is now common knowledge that if a fighter can stifle his early attack or avoid it, the fight will eventually be theirs for the taking. Strikeforce light heavyweight champ Sobral is absolutely skilled enough to out-technique Sokoudjou, and will submit him late in Round 1.	Sam Caplan: Sokoudjou looked like the next big thing after taking out both Antonio Rogerio Nogueira and Ricardo Arona. However, opposing fighters caught on and learned how to expose Sokoudjou. If Sobral tries to stand and trade with Sokoudjou, he will make a mistake. But if he ties him up and takes him down, it will be all Babalu. The pick here is Sobral via first-round submission.	Todd Martin: This fight is likely to come down to a test of Sokoudjou’s stamina. Sokoudjou has the better standup, and Babalu will have trouble taking him down. If he has the gas to go three hard rounds, I see Sokoudjou winning this fight. Unfortunately for Sokoudjou, he has a tendency to fade as fights wear on, and I think Babalu will take advantage of that and score a submission win later in the fight.	Ben Fowlkes: Despite his athletic ability and seemingly limitless potential, Sokoudjou has a bad, bad habit of fading as the fight goes on, particularly after his opponent takes his best shots and doesn’t go away. Sobral certainly isn’t going to quit, nor is he going to stand in front of Sokoudjou and wait to get kicked. That’s why my guess is that Sokoudjou will start strong and get progressively weaker as the fight goes on. Then Sobral finishes him in the third.	Gary Herman: Is there any reason to think Sokoudjou has worked on his cardio? Not if you’ve seen his last three fights. He gassed against Lyota Machida. He didn’t look good against Kazuhiro Nakamura, and he fell apart against Luiz Cane. Sobral is a veteran fighter with great submission skills. He’s been in with some of the world’s best fighters, and he has proved to be an upper mid-card level fighter. Sokoudjou hasn’t. Babalu does the smart thing and makes sure the fight goes the distance. Sobral wins by unanimous decision.

 

Heavyweight Bout:
	PAUL BUENTELLO	vs.	KIRIL SIDELNIKOV
	"The Headhunter"	Nickname	"Baby Fedor"
	35	Age	20
	6-2	Height	5-11
	26-10-0	Record	5-2-0
	16	KO/TKOs	5
	9	Submissions	0
	1 win	Streak	2 wins
	def. Gary Goodridge Affliction: Banned 7/19/2008	Last Fight	def. Kim Jong Wang M-1 Challenge 9 11/21/2008

Writers' Picks
Denny Burkholder: So Sidelnikov, 20, has been christened "Baby Fedor." No pressure, huh? Clearly he's got potential and he's a striking threat, but he's in there with Buentello, who has a wealth of big-fight experience and is visibly fighting smarter with each passing bout. It's doubtful Sidelnikov will come at Buentello with any scenario "The Headhunter" hasn't seen before, so unless Buentello is physically unable to avoid it (such as if he gasses out, or gets injured), Buentello will prevail. Unanimous decision.	Sam Caplan: “Baby Fedor” has an amazing upside and definitely has the potential to knockout Buentello. However, Sidelnikov’s submission game is still a work in progress and while Buentello is nothing special on the ground, his experience could be a factor. Sidelnikov is also only 20 and nerves could be a factor in this bout. I expect Buentello to win via second-round TKO.	Todd Martin: It’s hard to figure out how good Sidelnikov is. He has looked impressive early in his career, but only against mid-level competition and he has already accumulated some losses. The strength of both of these men is their striking, and I don’t see either trying to take the fight to the ground. Buentello is tough to defeat in the standup, but that is far from an impossible task. I think Sidelnikov’s power will be the difference in a KO victory.	Ben Fowlkes: The most frightening thing about Sidelnikov right now is his nickname: “Baby Fedor.” There must be some reason for the moniker, but his record doesn’t give many clues as to what it might be. Buentello is a journeyman fighter who has only gotten better with age. Unless he makes a crucial error early on, his experience and ring savvy will earn him a TKO win.	Gary Herman: There’s no need to have comparisons with Fedor so early in a fighter’s career. Sidelnikov is a good standup fighter who trains at the same camp as Emelianenko. His only fight with a name opponent resulted in a loss to the smaller Antonio Mendes (Mendes sports an 0-2 UFC record). On the other hand, Buentello is a wily veteran. He’s a knockout puncher who’s been in the cage with many well-known opponents. He hasn’t beaten all of them, but it’s not possible to teach experience. In facing Buentello, Sidelnikov is stepping up in quality too quickly. Buentello overwhelms Sidelnikov en route to a second round TKO.

 

UNDERCARD BOUTS
(airing on HDNet from 7-9 p.m. ET)
ANTONIO ROGERIO NOGUEIRA Record: (15-3-0) Class: 205 lbs.	VS.	VLADIMIR "THE JANITOR" MATYUSHENKO Record: (21-3-0) Class: 205 lbs.
JAY HIERON Record: (16-4-0) Class: 170 lbs.	VS.	JASON HIGH Record: (6-0-0) Class: 170 lbs.
BAO QUACH Record: (15-8-1) Class: 145 lbs.	VS.	L.C. DAVIS Record: (12-1-0) Class: 145 lbs.
ALBERT "AL BOOGEY" RIOS Record: (10-3-0) Class: 145 lbs.	VS.	ANTONIO "EL TIGRE" DUARTE Record: (11-1-0) Class: 145 lbs.
BRETT COOPER Record: (7-4-0) Class: 170 lbs.	VS.	PATRICK SPEIGHT Record: (7-1-0) Class: 170 lbs.

 

Writer's Prediction Records for 2009: Records through Jan. 22, 2009. Denny Burkholder: 8-2 (80%) Todd Martin: 8-2 (80%) Ben Fowlkes: 7-3 (70%) Gary Herman: 7-3 (70%) Sam Caplan: 6-4 (60%)

2008 Records: Includes every predicted fight of 2008. Denny Burkholder: 147-67 (68.69%) Sam Caplan: 138-64 (68.32%) Todd Martin: 143-71 (66.82%) Ben Fowlkes: 126-68 (64.95%) Gregg Doyel: 126-77 (62.07%)

 

[뽀록 레스너]

토드- 아마 이 경기는 소쿠주의 체력을 시험하는 양상으로 흘러갈것 같다. 스탠딩에서는 소쿠주가 나을것이고, 소브랄이 소쿠주 테익다운 시키기는 쉽지 않을 것이다. 소쿠주가 3라운드를 버틸 체력이 있다면 소쿠주가 이길것이다. 그러나 불행하게도 소쿠주는 시간이 지날수록 처지는 경향이 있다. 소브랄이 체력적인 면에서는 우위에 있다. 경기 후반부에 가서 소브랄의 섭미션 승 예상.

[뽀록 레스너]

벤- 뛰어난 신체능력과 잠재력에도 불구하고, 소쿠주는 시간이 지날수록 처지는 나쁜 버릇을 가지고 있다. 특히 상대가 물러서지 않고 잘 받아칠경우는 더욱 그렇다. 소브랄은 포기하지도 않을거고, 그렇다고 소쿠주와 타격 맞불놓고 얻어 터지지도 않을거다. 그래서 난 소쿠주가 초반에 강하게 밀어붙이다가 갈수록 퍼질거라고 생각한다. 소브랄의 3라운드 승 예상.

[뽀록 레스너]

게리- 최근 3경기를 제외한다하더라도, 소쿠주가 전사의 심장을 가진 파이터라고 볼 근거가 있나? 료토, 나카무라, 루이스 전 세 경기 모두 개판이었다. 소브랄은 섭미션에 능한 베테랑이다. 그는 훌륭한 파이터였고, 상위랭커였음을 증명해왔다. 그러나 소쿠주는 뭐 하나 보여준게 없다. 소브랄은 영리하게 거리를 두고 싸울것이다. 소브랄의 전원일치 판정승 예상.

[뽀록 레스너]

폴 VS 키릴==================================================================

[뽀록 레스너]

데니- 키릴은 이제 겨우 20살이고 거기다 닉넴은 '베이비효돌'이래.. 심리저 압박이 없을거같냐? 물론 잠재력도 있고 타격도 위협적이지만.. 상대가 폴이라고. 폴은 큰 경기 경험이 많고 경기를 가질때마다 점점 더 영리하게 발전하고 있어. 키릴이 폴을 이기는 이변은 사이즈가 잘 안나오는데... 폴이 다치거나 체력이 고갈되는 경우를 빼고는 폴이 이길거다. 전원일치 판정승.

[뽀록 레스너]

샘- 키릴은 놀라운 장점을 갖고 있고, 폴을 KO시킬 잠재력도 갖고 있어. 그러나 아직 그라운드는 부족하고, 폴도 그라운드에선 그닥 볼건 없고. 경험의 차이가 영향을 줄듯. 키릴은 이제 20살이고 시합전 긴장은 경기에 영향을 미치지. 폴의 2라운드 승리 예상.

[뽀록 레스너]

토드- 키릴이 얼마나 좋은 선수인지 아직은 판단하긴 어려워. 일찍 두각을 나타내기 시작했지만 아직 상위레벨하고 붙어보질 않았고, 벌써 패배도 꽤 있어. 둘 다 타격이 강하고, 그래서 둘 다 그라운드게임은 하지 않을거같은데...폴이 스탠딩에서 끝장내는건 드물긴 하지만 그렇다고해서 전혀 불가능한건 아니야. 폴이 ko로 끝낼 수 있을지 없을지는 키릴의 파워에 달렸다고 생각해.

[뽀록 레스너]

벤- 지금 키릴의 가장 주목할만한 점은 그의 닉네임이 '베이비 효돌'이라는거. 그런 닉넴이 붙은 이유가 있을거 아냐. 근데 전적을 살펴보면 왜 그런 닉넴이 붙었는지 당최 잘 모르겠다. 폴은 이 단체 저 단체 떠돌아다니면서 나이 먹을수록 점점 좋아진 파이터야. 폴이 초반에 치명적 실수만 안 한다면 경험과 링 이해도가 높기때문에 tko로 이길거야.

[뽀록 레스너]

게리- 아직 햇병아리 파이터를 벌써 효돌과 비교할 필욘 없지. 키릴은 효돌과 같이 훈련하는 타격이 좋은 파이터야. 키릴이 그래도 이름 좀 있는 애와 싸운건 안토니오 멘데스(ufc전적은 2패)랑 붙은거밖에 없는데 졌지. 폴은 반면에 매우 노련한 베테랑이지. 한방도 있고, 케이지에서 이름 좀 있는 애들과도 많이 붙었어. 물론 다 이긴건 아니지만, 경험의 차이는 어떻게 할 수 있는게 아냐. 폴과 붙으면 키릴은 너무 성급하게 다가갈거야. 폴은 2라운드 도중에 키릴을 압도하면서 TKO로 이길거야.

[드라그노프]

와 정말 감사합니다. 수고하셨어요. ㅎㅎ

[소녀걸스]

대단하심니다 +_+

[나옹이하이킥]

-_ㅡ b

[크리스찬슬레이터]

헉..님아..대단