네이키드 케피탈리즘에서 복사햇습니다.
오늘은 우리의 찌지리 성렬이가 또 무슨 닧짓을 처 할 것이며...김여사는 또 뭔 씹을 꺼리를 던저 주실까
노무현교 교도들은 뭐 라고 또 나발 거린 것인가....만 따라가기도 바쁜 우리들이.....
미국도 아니고 ...태평양 넘어 먼 나라 멕시코에서 일어난 일에 대해 관심을 갖을 필요는 없어 보입니다.
미국도 아닌 멕시코에 대해서 잘 알고 잇다 하여...누가 죶 빨라주는 것도 아니고..
하지만...맥시코 선거가 온통 멕시코 최초 여성 대통령 당선 이라는 가학적인 패미니즘 따위로나 휘 몰아가는 언론의 작태는
아무리 견디려 해 보아도...고약하고...좆 같습니다.
노소영이 이혼 한방으로 1조3000억 때돈을 챙기게 된것만 좆이 빠지게 부러워 악악거리며
정작 노태우의 불법과 부정, 전경 유착에 대한 과거비리는 언급조차 하지 않고 뭉게 버리는 작태과 눈꼽 만큼도 다르지 않습니다.
어진간히들 합시다...
욕 나오게 하지 말고..
Some Initial Thoughts on Mexico’s Genuinely Historic Election
Posted on June 4, 2024 by Nick Corbishley
Claudia Sheinbaum’s epic electoral victory would not have been possible without AMLO’s enduring — indeed, ripening — popularity. The question is: what will she do with her newfound power after the hand over on Oct. 1?
The word “historic” tends to slip too easily into newspaper headlines in post election analysis, but in the case of Mexico’s elections this past weekend, history was most definitely made — on a number of fronts. For the first time in over 200 years of (relative) national independence, Mexico has its first female president. As the Washington Post reported with time-honoured sensitivity, “Mexico is famous for its macho culture,” yet it “has just elected its first female president, Claudia Sheinbaum, in what was essentially a race between two women engineers.”
The Post contrasts this landmark achievement in Mexico with the “two-man contest” about to take place in the US between Biden and Trump, while predictably ignoring Robert Kennedy Junior’s independent candidacy in the presidential race. It correctly points out that Mexico is “eclipsing its northern neighbour on gender parity in governance”, and not just in the highest office: “women hold half the seats in Mexico’s legislature — roughly double the percentage in the U.S. Congress” — and there is a larger share of female governors than in the US.
Electoral Bloodbath
The elections were historic for another reason: the sheer scale of the bloodbath. According to projections made by the National Electoral Institute, or INE, the 61-year-old former Mexico City mayor garnered around 58-60% of votes. That is around 30 percentage points more than her conservative rival, Xóchitl Gálvez, and some 50 percentage points ahead of the only man in the race, centrist candidate Jorge Alvarez Maynez. It is also six percentage points more than Mexico’s outgoing President Andres Manuel López Obrador’s vote haul in 2018 (53.2%) and according to El País, the highest vote count of any presidential candidate in recent history.
Support for Mexico’s traditional parties, the National Action Party (PAN), the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), which in Gálvez fielded a unified candidate who was uniquely unqualified to govern, once again crumbled, both at the national and state level. Sheinbaum’s ruling MORENA party also benefited from a mass exodus into its ranks of PRI governors, senators and representatives, some, unfortunately, with long histories of corruption.
Sheinbaum’s crushing victory would not have been possible without López Obrador’s enduring — indeed, ripening — popularity. As the US pollster Gallup reported just days before the election, López Obrador (aka AMLO) is ending his six-year term with record high approval ratings of 80%,making him one of the world’s most popular national leaders. It puts to shame his presidential counterparts in North America. After less than four years in office, Joe Biden is the least popular US president in 75 years, according to Newsweek, while Trudeau’s approval ratings consistently hover at or below 40%. (한국의 윤석열 지지도 21%)
In 2023, confidence in the national government was twice as high in Mexico as it was in the U.S. (30%). What’s more, public approval of, and confidence in, the government actually grew over time, as opposed to steadily or rapidly declining. When was the last time that happened in your country?
Gallup
@Gallup
As millions in Mexico head to the polls on Sunday to choose President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s successor, he ends his term with record high approval ratings (80%). This rating makes him one of the most well-liked leaders in the world. When Obrador came to power in December 2018, just 29% had faith in their national government. Since then, confidence in his government has doubled. In 2023, confidence in the national government was twice as high in Mexico as it was in the U.S. (30%). Full story: https://on.gallup.com/4c0xCWQ
First Jewish President
Sheinbaum is not just Mexico’s first female president; she is also its first Jewish president — no mean feat in a country with one of the largest Catholic populations and whose Jewish community represents just 0.03% of the populace. A daughter of a Sephardic mother and an Ashkenazi father who were both active in left-wing movements in the 60’s, Sheinbaum is not a practising Jew. During the campaign she described herself as “non-religious.”
Like her parents, Sheinbaum’s background was in academia(우리로 치면 무식칸 이공계 출신입니다...중국으로 치면 유능한 과학자가 되겟지요) before entering politics in the late ’90s. Per Wikipedia:
A Sheinbaum presidency is unlikely to result in a substantial shift in Mexico’s stance toward Isreal and Palestine.(유대인 이라 하여 멕스코의 대 이스라엘 정책이 달라질것이 없다는 추측입니다) The North American nation has maintained ties with both Israel and Palestine for decades and has consistently held a fairly neutral position on the Middle Eastern conflict regardless of the ruling political party.(이런한 전통적인 접근도 이스라엘의 학살이 시작된 이후로 많이 바꿧습니다...표현의 차이 정도의 차이만 잇다 뿐이지....이스라엘의 비 인륜적인 학살에 대한 반대는 분명하고 명확합니다)
“If we take sides we would not help to bring about what should matter most to all of us: that the war stops, that there are no more deaths, dead, murdered in Gaza,” said AMLO last week. “That is why we have acted very cautiously.”
AMLO has repeatedly condemned the violence in Gaza and called for a ceasefire, though he has so far refused to call Israel’s onslaught of the enclave as “genocide”. But unlike many of his peers in Latin America, his government does not recognise Palestine as a state, though it did reclassify the Palestinian Authority’s diplomatic mission in Mexico City last year from special delegation to embassy. Last week, just days before the election, it requested to join the genocide case filed by South Africa against Israel.
Sheinbaum, like AMLO, has condemned Israel’s systematic attacks against civilians. She has also called for a cease-fire and reiterated her support for a two-state solution. During Israel’s bombardment of the Gaza Strip in 2009, she wrote a letter to the Mexican daily La Jornada condemning what she described as “the murder of Palestinians”:
“Total Power”(완전한 권력장악)
Following these elections, Sheinbaum’s ruling MORENA party and its coalition partners will have sizeable majorities in both of Mexico’s legislative houses and possibly even “super majorities” — i.e. more than two-thirds of the seats. This, as the Atlantic Council notes, “allows for constitutional changes which could not be obtained thus far by the López Obrador administration.”(amlo 정부로 해 보지 못한 엄청한 헌법적인 변화...우리로 치면 4.19이후의 민주당 권력으로 생각하면 될 듯 합니다...상원과 하원 지방권력 모두를 싹 쓸이 햇습니다...) The MORENA coalition also won at least six of the eight gubernatorial seats up for grabs, as well as Mexico City’s all-important mayoral race. As a result, it will control at least 23 of Mexico’s 32 states. From Jacobin‘s Kurt Hackbarth:
The front page of the news magazine, Proceso, sums it up nicely: “Total Power”. Of course, as Lord Acton once warned, too much power can be a dangerous thing, even for a political project that commands the widespread support of the public. There is a concern, not only among MORENA’s opponents, that without any meaningful counterweights or balances, the party could end up taking greater control of the federal system and even recreating the one-party system that governed the country for roughly 70 years.(한 마디로 개 소리라는 빈정거림입니다...지들이 70년이 넘게 권력을 휘두를 때는 아무 문제가 없던 권력의 쏠림이
좌파가 권력을 휩쓸자 ...독제의 위험 운운하는 작태들이 .....구역질이 나는 것이지요..
중요한것은 독제다 민주다 ...이런것이 아니고 ...그것이 어떤 결과를 내느냐?? 는 것이라고 햇지요??
우린 이런것을 일일히 다 경험해 본 이후에야 이제 겨우 알게 되엇습니다.
절차의 민주화???.........
실로 개 죶으로 풀 띁는 소리고..
그런 븅쉰짓을 멕시코도 격겨야 할 이유는 없겟지요.
뒤에 잇는 사람이 현 대통령 amlo 입니다.
멕시코 역사 최초의 좌파, 빨갱이 대통령으로...단임제인 멕시코에서 빨갱이 정권 재창출에 성공한 최초의 빨갱이 대통령이 되엇습니다..
그런데 Sheinbaum의 대중들의 신뢰는 amlo와는 다릅니다
Mexico City 시장 시절 George Soros 의 Open Society Foundation 나 Bloomberg Philanthropies 자금 지원을 받앗습니다..
전통적인 좌파들은 이런 월가 자본과의 거래에 대한 본능적인 거부감이 잇습니다.
잘 나갈때는 모르지만,,,여차 하면 돈의 노예로 전락하는 너무나 많은 사례를 세계역사-특히 중남미 역사-에서 너무 많이 봣기때문입니다.
노무현과 삼성의 관계를 기억해 보시기 바랍니다.
이런 사진에 환호할 좌파들은 없겟지요..
노무현교 쥐쇗끼들에게나 환장하게 좋을 사진이겟지만...
멕시코 인민들의 신뢰는 전적으로 Sheinbaum 자신에 달려잇습니다.
정책으로 그 결과로 보여주지 않으면......인민들은 등을 돌리겟지요....
A History of Outside Meddling
That said, Mexico’s government will always face opposition and interference from beyond its borders. In fact, MORENA’s electoral triumph has occurred despite a coordinated international campaign between the US Drug Enforcement Agency, Western think tanks and media to paint AMLO and MORENA as being in league with Mexico’s drug cartels. During the presidential debates, the conservative candidate, Xóchitl Galvez, repeatedly called Sheinbaum a “narco candidate,” to no avail.
As I noted in February, the accusations were unsubstantiated and their main source was a DEA informant who had earned a reputation for fabricating testimonies. The “exposé,” published simultaneously by two US publications and a German broadcaster, came just eight months after the Mexican government locked horns with the DEA over revelations that the agency had run a covert, 18-month incursion into Mexican territory, in direct contravention of Mexico’s 2020 National Security Law. In the end, these attempts by the DEA and international media to hijack the political debate ended up backfiring, as I warned could happen:
Most of Mexico’s corporate press will happily lap up and amplify any allegations against AMLO or Sheinbaum, whether demonstrably true or false. That said, it is unlikely that these allegations will have any material impact on Mexico’s elections and could end up backfiring. My guess is that those who already despise AMLO will despise him a little more while those who support him will continue to do so, just more fervently. In other words, it will help to fuel political polarisation in the country while increasing distrust of the DEA among AMLO supporters, who continue to represent over 60% of voters.
In fact, AMLO, now in his last year in office, is the second most popular national leader in the world after India’s Prime Minister Narendi Modi. I would argue that the main reason for this is that Mexico’s economy has fared far better than AMLO’s doomsaying detractors have consistently predicted over the past five years. In the IMF’s latest nominal GDP forecasts, in December 2023, Mexico placed 12th in the ranking of the world’s largest economies, having overtaken Spain, Australia and South Korea(에구~~~) in the past two years.
Given the economic sweet spot Mexico finds itself in right now, with the peso strong, unemployment at its lowest level in 20 years and investment pouring into the country from companies looking to take advantage of the nearshoring trend, all Sheinbaum had to do on the campaign trail was pledge to continue where AMLO left off while refusing to be goaded by the opposition’s “go-negative” campaign. Which is what she did.
As Hackbarth documents, her 100-point program includes “extending social programs and scholarships, continuing annual minimum-wage increases, consolidating Mexico’s push toward national health care, building a million affordable homes on a rent-to-buy plan, constructing seven long-distance train lines, mandating that companies investing in the “nearshoring” phenomenon provide higher wages and benefits, and — in what is certain to continue raising the hackles of multinational energy interests — a public sector–led energy transition building on Mexico’s state-owned oil, electricity, and lithium companies.”
The hackles have been raised throughout AMLO’s five-and-a-half-year mandate, with Western media, NGOs and think tanks relentlessly trying to depict AMLO as a threat to both Mexico’s economy and democratic system. In 2018, the Financial Times‘ Latin American editor, John Paul Rathbone, described him as a bigger threat to liberal democracy than Brazil’s strongman president Bolsonaro.(이딴 개 소리가 ..번역되어 학자나 유투버들사이에서 마구 마구 퍼집니다.....
코로나만 질병이 아니고
바로 이런 언론이 증말 심각한 질병입니다....))
Matt Kennard
@kennardmatt
When AMLO and Bolsonaro were elected, the FT’s Latin America editor wrote that the democratic socialist posed a bigger threat to ‘liberal democracy’ than the fascist. AMLO leaves office with 80% approval ratings. Bolsonaro is now being investigated for planning a military coup.
Contrast The Economist‘s depiction of AMLO with Time magazine’s near-messianic treatment of his predecessor Enrique Peña Nieto, whose PRI government would end up being one of the most corrupt of modern times. [Peña Nieto, like two other former presidents of Mexico, Carlos Salinas de Gotari and Felipe Calderon, is now a full-time resident of Spain].
In 2022, the Index on Corruption, a London-based NGO that has been around since the Cold War and which bashfully describes itself as “the global voice of free expression,” even named him as “tyrant of the year.” As we reported at the time, the NGO’s donors include the Charles Koch Foundation, George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, Google, Facebook, the European Commission and the National Endowment for Democracy (NED).
다시한번 강조합니다..
ngo에 현혹되지 마시기 바랍니다..
인권단체에 대해서도 좀 더 분명하게 알아둘 필요가 잇다고 햇지요??
The irony was palpable: a non-profit whose stated mission is to defend free expression and combat censorship worldwide accepting funding not only from three of the companies that, partly at the behest of certain governments, did more than just about any other to censor online information and debate in 2022 but also NED, which has spent the past 40 years trying to pull off soft coups and colour revolutions in Latin America, Asia and Eastern Europe.
Looking Ahead
Lastly, a few brief thoughts on the challenges, opportunities and possible betrayals that may lie ahead. One very obvious difference between Sheinbaum and AMLO is their leadership style. AMLO is a stay-at-home president who has left Mexico to attend overseas events and engagements on probably fewer than ten occasions since taking office in late 2018. To his credit, he has not once attended the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos. His focus has been squarely on the domestic agenda, and there are few national leaders on the global stage who have done such a good job at dominating national politics.
One of the main keys to AMLO’s success is the hours-long morning press conferences, or “mañaneras”, that he has chaired at the National Palace more or less everyday from Monday to Friday since the beginning of his presidency. This has enabled him to communicate directly with the Mexican people, cutting out the middlemen and women in the broadly hostile domestic and international media and nipping in the bud many crises before they bloom. It has allowed him to control most of the key narratives at a time when most Western governments are rapidly losing control of the narrative and having to resort to ever more blatant forms of censorship.
amlo의 성공 비결을 간단하게 언급한 것입니다..
==주로 국내문제에만 올빵햇다.........성열이와 재인이는 심심하면 기어 나가 딸러만 존나 쓰고 사진만 처 찍엇다
==수시간이 소요되는 아침 기자 회견을 취임부터 퇴임때까지 계속하엿다...국민들과 직접 소통하여 잡 소리가 끼어들어 훼방하는 것을 막앗다..............성열이는 이 쇼 하려다...밑천만 털렷고...나! 안해 ...토라져 버렷다...
그 빈 공간을 김건희 이야기와 천공스님이야기가 꽉 채웟다...
윤석열 지지도 21%(거의 노무현 퇴임때의 지지도를 향해 줄 다름질 치고 잇다)
즉..
이런것도 통치자의 실력이다는 것입니다..
노무현교 교도들의 ...조중동 때문에 우리 교주님이 할 수 잇는 일은 하나도 없엇다....식의 개소리는
나는 진실로 무능한 빈쉰 쇗끼엿소 라는 이실직고와 눈꼽 만큼도 다르지 않습니다..
국민들이 대게의 경우는 빙쉰짓을 하지만,,,믿어 지지 않을 만큼 똑똑할 때도 잇다고 햇지요?
노무현은 지가 하고 싶은 짖 꺼리 다 처 하고 나서....결과가 죶 같자 조중동때문에 실패 햇다고 깽깽거린 진정한 미츤갭니다.
조중동의 방해 때문에 노무현이 못 한것이 뭐가 잇지요?
조중동이 한미 fta를 반대 햇습니까??...
이락크 파병을 반대 햇습니까???
동북아 금융허브를 반대 햇습니까??
삼성과 강남 올빵질을 반대 햇습니까???
In this particular area, Sheinbaum will not be able to fill AMLO’s shoes though she is determined to keep direct lines of communication with the Mexican public open. As she herself admitted in an interview with the Russian journalist Inna Afinogenova a few months ago, “(AMLO) has an extraordinary form of communication that is recognised by locals and foreigners alike” as well as an encyclopedic knowledge of Mexican history, culture and geography, “so we have to adapt something special to our personality, but there must continue to be this awareness of the people of Mexico and this direct communication.”
There are certainly areas where Sheinbaum could improve on AMLO’s performance, including the environment (a subject on which she is an expert), women’s rights, and security, an area in which she has already excelled. As mayor of Mexico City (2018-23) she was able to reduce intentional homicides in the capital by half. Since 2019 Mexico City has accounted for almost a quarter of all high-profile arrests in the country. And unlike many other parts of the country, most of those arrests were carried out by local police — and not the army or national guard.
Sheinbaum attributes much of this success to her administration’s extensive use of data and surveillance technologies to tackle serious crime. As Biometric Update reports, over the last decade “Mexico City has installed the largest video surveillance system in the Americas, altering the way criminal investigations are conducted for better or worse.”
This highlights another key difference between AMLO and his successor: whereas AMLO is very much an old school Mexican politician with nationalist sensibilities, Sheinbaum appears to be more of a technocrat with globalist leanings. Before entering politics, she received a grant from the Rockefeller Foundation, one of the world’s longest-standing proponents of technocracy. During her time as mayor of Mexico City, her administration also received funding from George Soros’ Open Society Foundation and Bloomberg Philanthropies.(이런것이 한국이라면 대단한 장점이 되겟지만....중남미 좌파들에겐 오히려 약점입니다...)
중남미 좌파들에게 이런 사진이 어떤 인상을 줄까요???]
이런것들의 아갈통에서 계속해서 품어 나오는 민주주의, 진보, 정의 따위를 어떻게 이해 할 수 잇겟냐고...
In January, Todd Martinez, director of the sovereign debt group at Fitch Ratings, remarked in a seminar broadcast to investors that while “Sheinbaum does come from the left-wing Morena party, she seems like more of a technocratic figure.” And technocrats can apparently be trusted — at least by the investor class.(최소한 투기꾼들에겐) Interestingly, the word “technocratic,” denoting a system of governance based on technical approaches, is often used pejoratively by AMLO to refer to the ultra-neoliberal administrations that preceded him.
암로와 세인바움의 차이라고 보면 될 것 같습니다.
두고 보면 되겟지요...6년이란 시간도 생각보다 길지 않더라고..
멕시코 인민들이 amlo 라는 빨갱이 권력을 통해 얻은 것은
맥시코가 갖고 잇는 주요한 문제의 해결이 아닙니다. 자신감과 신뢰의 회복입니다.
우리가 민주화 세력인 ..김대중과 노무현 문재인 권력을 통해 얻은 것이 ...꼭 같은 쥐쇗끼들이엇다...는 실망과 자조엿던 것과는
정 반대입니다.
국민들은 거의 항상 멍청하고 죶 같지만,,,가끔씩은 놀라우리 만큼 똑똑할때가 잇다고 햇지요?
우리 국민들이 민주화 세력에 대한 냉정한 평가는 놀라우리 만큼 똑똑한 경우이고
그러면서도 국힘당이란 쓰레기 때들에게 권력을 주는 거의 항상 멍청하고 좆 같은 작태를 반복하고 잇는 중 입니다.
다른소린...이재명이 대통령이 되엇다 하여....윤석열과 어떤 차이를 보일 것이다는 생각 따윈 일찌감치 접엇습니다.
이재명이 민생 경제 물가를 석렬이 보다 더 안정하게 운영할 수 잇엇을 것이다는 생각 눈꼽 만큼도 들지 않고
연금 개혁, 의료 개혁, 교육개혁......그것이 개혁이던 개악이던 수정이던...지금과 다를 것이고 생각하지 않습니다.
김건희 꼴갑질이나 보지 않는 효과...남북관계나 외교에서의 약간의 변화 말고는 ...국민들이 누릴 수 잇는 유별한 효익은 없다......라는 확신입니다.
자유 민주주의 시장경제 체제 자체가 본시 부터 그런 체제입니다.
This invites the question: to what extent will Sheinbaum, a committed environmentalist with apparent globalist leanings who is determined to move ahead with the energy transition, stay true to AMLO’s political project, which is largely based on principles of energy (mainly oil) and food independence and security? Will she be another Lenin Moreno, the Ecuadorian president hand-picked by his predecessor, Rafael Correa, to continue the country’s economic development along largely left-wing lines, who, once elected, handed in Julian Assange to British authorities in return for an IMF loan? Or will she stay loyal to her long-time mentor?
For the moment, there is no way of knowing. Something else that is not yet clear is who she will have to deal with in Washington after the November elections. If Trump wins, as is widely expected despite his legal entanglements, will he follow through on his plans to covertly send “kill teams” into Mexico to take out cartel kingpins? Even if he doesn’t win, relations between the US and Mexico are likely to remain fraught, especially if the US, as the Council of Foreign Relations’ Shannon K. O’Neil suggests, seeks “to boost economic ties with Mexico by enforcing free trade rules and insisting on the fair and equal treatment of businesses.”