여론조사 믿으면 안 되는 이유 (feat. 강서구청장 보궐선거)

<div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin" data-link="https://cafe.daum.net/baemilytory/91cd/949278" data-link-newwindow="_blank"><a href="https://cafe.daum.net/baemilytory/91cd/949278" target="_blank" class="ke-link"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/599162c41322fb6ca2367dfe10a56f0b47e9a395" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/599162c41322fb6ca2367dfe10a56f0b47e9a395" data-origin-width="480" data-origin-height="150"></a></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/ec271f84a85d65f39b9704edb0a0f1211d42a897" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/ec271f84a85d65f39b9704edb0a0f1211d42a897" data-origin-width="1024" data-origin-height="1024"><div class="figcaption">미방</div></div><p style="text-align: center;"><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>강서구청장 보궐선거 당시 <br>각종 여론조사+언론에서 진교훈 김태우 박빙, 초접전이라 했음<br><br></p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/2c0be215833ca634b8e9b7ce73c16ed5b7b0318b_re_1709634083582" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/2c0be215833ca634b8e9b7ce73c16ed5b7b0318b_re_1709634083582" data-origin-width="1080" data-origin-height="310"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/d6721fae6522ba4bb6ad0c5a397d4e20a8673617_re_1709634083582" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/d6721fae6522ba4bb6ad0c5a397d4e20a8673617_re_1709634083582" data-origin-width="1079" data-origin-height="855"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/b39fd48e94a7d74b18614724f69a6f9542ace8a0_re_1709634083582" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/b39fd48e94a7d74b18614724f69a6f9542ace8a0_re_1709634083582" data-origin-width="1080" data-origin-height="306"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/bb2d03f4e1a7a7d58e7609f86551a475698553d0_re_1709634083583" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/bb2d03f4e1a7a7d58e7609f86551a475698553d0_re_1709634083583" data-origin-width="1080" data-origin-height="350"><div class="figcaption"></div></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/4f7bba0f02c7fbbfe92dc9ebfb0f3a52ddec882b_re_1709634083583" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/4f7bba0f02c7fbbfe92dc9ebfb0f3a52ddec882b_re_1709634083583" data-origin-width="544" data-origin-height="265"></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/3cbb50e9bfe83adb681f1f343db5618053a32d33_re_1709634083583" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/3cbb50e9bfe83adb681f1f343db5618053a32d33_re_1709634083583" data-origin-width="1080" data-origin-height="182"><div class="figcaption"></div></div><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8ffd0f950fdb9d37fdae4a05cafdd7b39558a562_re_1709634083583" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8ffd0f950fdb9d37fdae4a05cafdd7b39558a562_re_1709634083583" data-origin-width="676" data-origin-height="374"></div><p style="text-align: center;"><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>과거 서울시장 선거 같은 결과를 내보이고 싶은 건지 <span style="color: #DDDDDD;">(사진 캡션 참조)</span><br>자꾸 최소 1% ~ 최대 10% 밖에 차이 안 난다며 국힘 승산있다는 식으로 힘빠지는 여론조사만 내보였음 <br></p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/4ae9240aa3f9d56cb9cf679057d60519f9f7ecf3" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/4ae9240aa3f9d56cb9cf679057d60519f9f7ecf3" data-origin-width="480" data-origin-height="624"><div class="figcaption">여론조사 51 vs 28.4 로 오세훈이 크게 이긴다 해서 많은 한명숙 지지자들이 낙담하고 당일 투표를 안 했는데 막상 까보니 접전</div></div><p style="text-align: center;"><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>현실 = 격차 17%로 압도적 당선</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/7a2a911bb76eae55f47e416dc03de97bda60608c_re_1709634083582" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/7a2a911bb76eae55f47e416dc03de97bda60608c_re_1709634083582" data-origin-width="1280" data-origin-height="674"><div class="figcaption"></div></div><p style="text-align: center;"><br><br>심지어 사전투표에서는 격차가 35%까지 벌어짐</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8a43d5a063c55c75b03a6e46199c61a1ffa8df29_re_1709634083583" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8a43d5a063c55c75b03a6e46199c61a1ffa8df29_re_1709634083583" data-origin-width="494" data-origin-height="292"></div><p style="text-align: center;"><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>결론 = 총선 때 여론조사 믿지 말고 아묻따 투표하러 나가자</p><div class="figure-img" data-ke-type="image" data-ke-style="alignCenter" data-ke-mobilestyle="widthOrigin"><img src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8f173b325e4950ac57d31f870ecd3fb5ea99139d" class="txc-image" data-img-src="https://t1.daumcdn.net/cafeattach/1Yeqd/8f173b325e4950ac57d31f870ecd3fb5ea99139d" data-origin-width="640" data-origin-height="429"><div class="figcaption">투표의 중요성</div></div><p style="text-align: center;"></p>